NFL Office Pool Picks Week 10 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
All season long, Doc’s Sports will be providing free NFL against the spread picks for every one of the 272 regular season matchups. Last week, we got back in the win column with an impressive 9-6 showing against the spread. The highlight was correctly calling the exact score of 38-17 for the 49ers over the Raiders, our third perfect prediction of the season. One week won’t make or break the season, but after back-to-back negative weeks, it was nice to get some wins on the board. This week, there are four teams on bye, which leaves us 14 matchups to comb over. Let’s dive in.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Washington Commanders (+2.5) Over New York Giants
This is a must win game for Washington if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive, and their offensive advantage will allow them to prevail. Jayden Daniels has been playing well since injuring his elbow, while the Giants don’t even know who is starting with the game kicking off tomorrow. J.J. McCarthy is trending towards being available, but limited practice reps on a short week is a recipe for disaster. Washington keeps the NFC East race interesting with a win, and the extra insurance on the spread is just a bonus. Commanders 23, Giants 20
Detroit Lions (-2.5) Over New England Patriots
Both of these teams keep playing poorly but finding ways to win. However, as the injuries pile up for New England, it is hard to see how they keep up with Detroit. The Patriots RB1, RB2, WR1, WR2, and WR3 are all expected to miss this game in Germany, making this minimal spread hard to justify. Detroit’s offense is one of the most consistent units in the league, and when they put up 20+ points, potentially even 30+, New England will have no answer. Drake Maye leads the league in multi-turnover games this year and also has the most over the last two seasons, so even a lackluster Detroit defense will be able to make a game-changing play. Lions 27, Patriots 13
Minnesota Vikings (+3.5) Over Green Bay Packers
The Vikings have found their answer at quarterback with the return of Kirk Cousins. Their defense only needs average offensive play to see this team turn into a Super Bowl contender, and this is the perfect spot for them to get back on track after losing two straight. Green Bay is dangerous, but with the spread at a key number in a high stakes divisional matchup, we will take every point we can get. This one goes down to the wire with the Packers winning on a last second field goal. Packers 15, Vikings 14
Cleveland Browns (+4.5) Over Houston Texans
Cleveland keeps finding ways to score late in games, and that is exactly what we are looking for with a spread like this. The Texans have started to find their groove on offense, but this is a much tougher defensive matchup than the winless Chargers. Cleveland is incredibly strong defensively, especially at home, and with the playoffs still a legitimate aspiration for the Browns at this stage in the season, I don’t expect them to go down easy. Can Deshaun Watson lead another game-winning drive? Maybe. Either way, Browns cover. Browns 20, Texans 17
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) Over Atlanta Falcons
Assuming Patrick Mahomes escaped without a serious elbow injury, which it appears as though he has, there is no reason this spread should be so short. Kansas City has looked like one of the best teams on both sides of the ball this season, and now that Mahomes has a new target in Josh Downs to aim at, they may be even better. Meanwhile, the Falcons defense is acceptable, but their lack of consistency on offense makes them hard to trust. Chiefs 29, Falcons 20
Miami Dolphins (+3.5) Over Indianapolis Colts
Is this the worst game of all-time? The Colts have traded away all their valuable assets outside of Jonathan Taylor, while the Dolphins have more than half of their salary cap space tied up in dead money. Indianapolis has lost 14 of their last 16 games dating back to last year, while the Dolphins have one win on the season. The edge goes to Miami with their defense playing well over the last few weeks, especially once you consider that we are getting a key number on the spread. Dolphins 17, Colts 11
Carolina Panthers (+2.5) Over New Orleans Saints
A good ol’ fashioned NFC South battle with the top spot in the division awarded to the winner of this matchup between 3-5 teams. Ouch. The Saints have the edge on the defensive side of the ball, but I don’t trust them to score with a minimal run game and a struggling Tyler Shough. Bryce Young has all the tools he needs to thrive on offense, and when the Panthers put up a respectable number, the Saints will fall short more often than not. Panthers 24, Saints 21
Jacksonville Jaguars (-10.5) Over Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars have won their last two games by a combined score of 75-17, and another blowout is on the cards here. Jacksonville sent the NFL a message with a pair of deadline deals for defensive support, and this is one of the biggest mismatches possible in the league right now. It is a double digit spread for the road team in a divisional matchup, but unless this hits two or more touchdowns, laying the points with Jacksonville is still the move. Jaguars 30, Titans 17
New York Jets (+7.5) Over Buffalo Bills
The Bills are off to their best start of the 21st century, but that doesn’t mean it is an automatic blowout against the Jets. New York played better than the scoreline suggested against the Chiefs, and while they have lost four straight, that was the only margin of defeat over seven points. The Jets defense is respectable, their offense is mediocre after keeping Geno Smith at the deadline, and this spread is a little too thick for the home team. The Bills will win, but a potential backdoor cover will allow the Jets to keep things close. Bills 30, Jets 23
Arizona Cardinals (+9.5) Over Los Angeles Rams
The Los Angeles Rams scraped by the Commanders last week with abysmal play on offense, and they have now lost Puka Nacua in addition to Devante Adams. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have been the upset kings this season with three wins from the underdog role, including one against the Rams earlier this year. Carson Beck getting his first career start is why this spread is still wide, but with Arizona at home and playing well as of late, we will take the points. I will also get gutsy and call for the outright upset. Cardinals 21, Rams 20
Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza is in line for his first career start, and it is coming against the reigning Super Bowl champions. Seattle has an incredibly lethal defense that will eat up the rookie quarterback, making it hard to imagine the Raiders finding any success on offense. Their defense has also allowed 30+ points in six straight weeks, which hasn’t done them any favors. This one is my most confident pick of the week, as Seattle wins this one in embarrassing fashion. Seahawks 30, Raiders 0
San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) Over Dallas Cowboys
The San Francisco 49ers are firing on all cylinders right now while the Cowboys find new and creative ways to lose games. Dallas barely eked by a Colts side trying to lose last week, while the 49ers made it look easy again. The arrival of Keenan Allen will help give San Francisco some depth at wide receiver with the injuries piling up, and they are getting a soft defensive matchup against Dallas. Even with the Cowboys in the home underdog role, their inability to play four consecutive quarters of competent football has me looking the other way. 49ers 28, Cowboys 20
Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have been one of the biggest surprises this season, but their fairytale comes to an end at the hands of the Bengals. Pittsburgh’s defense is solid, but not exceptional, and it will take a Herculean effort for them to slow down Joe Burrow and company. Cincinnati has scored 31+ points in four straight games, which is a mark Pittsburgh has only reached once this year. The spread will make this one a sweat in the fourth, but it is still short enough where laying the points is the way to go. Bengals 30, Steelers 20
Los Angeles Chargers (+4.5) Over Baltimore Ravens
How are the Ravens 4-and-a-half point favorites against anyone? I know the Chargers are winless, and most of their games haven’t even been close, but we are talking about a Ravens side rolling out Jacoby Brissett. The newly acquired journeyman quarterback is an upgrade over Joe Fagnano, but not a big enough one to warrant this line. Los Angeles will eventually figure things out (maybe?), and while I can’t call for their first win of the year, they will keep things close in Baltimore. Ravens 19, Chargers 17
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