NFL Handicapping Articles
Oddsmakers Release Odds for 2020 NFL Top Draft Pick
by Trevor Whenham - 5/8/2019
The 2019 NFL Draft has only barely passed us by. That means that the 2020 Draft is still almost a full year away. And that there is both an entire college season for the prospects, and an entire year of the NFL teams making their needs and the urgency of them clear. But because, as sports fans and bettors, we are ridiculous, we can't help ourselves.
Most Interesting Quarterbacks Taken in 2019 NFL Draft
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019
There were 11 quarterbacks selected in the 2019 NFL Draft. Chances are that a few will become good players at some level, perhaps one or two will become stars, and several will be completely forgotten by everyone but their mothers in just a few years.
Expert NFL Handicapping: New England Patriots Chances to Repeat
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019
The New England Patriots have got this whole winning the Super Bowl thing figured out. They have done it three times in the last five years. But now they are faced with trying to do something that they - and everyone else - has failed to do since 2005 as they seek to repeat as champions. They head into the coming season as Super Bowl favorites at BetOnline, but it is lukewarm at best - they are only at +800, with the Rams at +900, and the Chiefs and Saints at +1000.
NFL Teams That Changed Most Through Draft
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019
Our job here today is to look at the NFL teams that saw the most positive change for bettors through the NFL Draft. But before we do that, we have to put things into perspective. The only team that saw their Super Bowl odds change in the days immediately following the draft was Kansas City, and that was much more to do with the Tyreek Hill debacle than anything else.
Expert NFL Handicapping: Do Cleveland Browns Moves Make a Super Bowl Contender?
by Trevor Whenham - 3/19/2019
If you get claustrophobic in tight spaces, then you probably aren't going to enjoy being on the Cleveland Browns bandwagon right now. It's getting mighty crowded up there. It's not a surprise. The franchise has stunningly passionate fans, and those fans have been kicked in the teeth time and time and time again over the years. And now there is hope. Coming from all directions. More than they have seen, well… ever.
Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. Betting Props with Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 3/19/2019
The NFL offseason finds way to get more and more interesting every year, and this year is already among the best we have ever seen -- and we haven't even got to the draft yet. Partly that is because the Super Bowl was so boring that anything looks better in comparison. But mostly it is because of all the fireworks that have been created, and chief among those have been the two big wide receiver trades.
Potential NFL No. 1 Draft Pick: Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/27/2019
The NFL Combine has begun, which means that this is a good time to look ahead to the NFL Draft. Barring a major shock, at this point you can narrow down the list of potential first overall picks to about six guys. And whenever something is as high profile as the first overall pick, and the field can be easily identified, there is a betting opportunity. BetOnline has set odds for the first overall pick, and our job here today is to look at them to see if there is any value.
Kyler Murray NFL Betting Props with Expert NFL Draft Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/27/2019
Kyler Murray is one of the most interesting players to enter the NFL Draft in recent memory. At this time last year, he was just one of two guys who could be in line to replace Heisman winner Baker Mayfield at Oklahoma. He was the slight favorite over Austin Kendall, but he was no lock. Then, in June, the story started getting more complicated. He was the ninth pick in the MLB Draft by Oakland, and he signed a contract with them.
Gronk New England Patriots Betting Prop Odds with Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/12/2019
If you have read any of what I have written over the last many years, you know that I love prop bets. And I may have a new favorite on because it's just so stupid. Stupid in a very good way, to be clear. I'm speaking of the prop at Bovada that allows us to speculate about what the first thing Rob Gronkowski will do when he retires from the NFL. We don't know if that will be now or later down the road - and if I had to choose, I still think he'll be back for more - but the timing doesn't matter.
Bet on Where the Oakland Raiders will Play Next Season: Odds and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/11/2019
If you have been in a coma then you will want to sit down because this will come as a shock - the Oakland Raiders have made a mess of a situation. I know, it seems impossible that a franchise run forever by the Davis family -- the organization that gave Jon Gruden full ability to do whatever he wants to do to the team -- could possibly do anything that was less than perfect. But such is the case.
Which NFL Teams are in the Market for a New QB?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019
The Super Bowl is in the rearview mirror, so it's time for the NFL offseason. And in many ways that is just as interesting as the regular season. And far more interesting than that Super Bowl game was. This year's offseason promises to be an exciting one because there are plenty of teams that need quarterbacks, and quarterbacks mean fireworks. And there are lots of choices on the market - no great ones, but plenty of decent enough ones. Buckle up - this is going to be fun. Here's a quick primer on the market as it stands.
Expert NFL Handicapping: What Does Future Hold for Patriots?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019
This could be the easiest assignment I ever have. What does the future hold for the New England Patriots? Well, they are probably going to play in the Super Bowl, and they are a good bet to win it. That's as true next year as it was this year. And it will be just as true in 19 years when Tom Brady becomes the first QB in his 60s to win a Super Bowl, and the first living athlete to win more than 20 Super Bowls, and Bill Belichick surpasses that IBM chess computer thingy to become the most successful robot in competitive history.
NFL Betting and Handicapping: Can LA Rams Bounce Back?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019
I hope that the Los Angeles Rams have a giant mirror somewhere in their facility, because there is not a single person on that roster or that staff that doesn't need to look deep into their own eyes and figure out what they are made of after that game. It was a close Super Bowl on the scoreboard, but if there was a moment in which it felt like the Rams were going to win the game, I sure didn't see it.
NFL Championship Weekend Odds: Public Action Betting Report
by Trevor Whenham - 1/17/2019
As I write this it is late Wednesday night, so the lines for Sunday's playoff games have been set for a long time now. They have gotten a lot of attention from sharp bettors, and casual bettors have started hitting them as well. It's a good time, then, to look at how bettors are reacting to the lines and how the lines are reacting to the early betting. With so much money bet on the two games this weekend, we can often learn a whole lot just by looking at the public action and what it can tell is.
NFL Betting Advice: AFC Championship Game Keys and Distractions
by Trevor Whenham - 1/16/2019
The top two teams in the AFC - by the standings if not by record - meet in frigid Kansas City with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. The oldest quarterback in the league against a first-year starter. A three-time and reigning MVP against, presumably, the guy who is about to earn his first MVP award. Two of the longest serving and savviest coaches in the league - albeit two guys with very different playoff records.
NFC Championship Game Expert Handicapping: Keys and Distractions
by Trevor Whenham - 1/16/2019
The NFC Championship Game is a very intriguing battle even if it isn't exactly surprising - this is exactly the game it seemed like we would be getting since at least the beginning of November. It really should be fun - the two best offenses in the NFC with the two best point differentials. Both teams are very well coached, but the battle of the Seans is still a study in contrasts - when Payton started coaching the Saints,
Expert NFL Handicapping: Are New England Patriots Vulnerable?
by Trevor Whenham - 1/10/2019
Of all the eight teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs, the New England Patriots are the ones that probably make my head hurt most. They are like one of those paintings that looks entirely different depending on which direction you look at it from. Sometimes the painting is beautiful, and other times it is hideous, and you never know quite which.
NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Betting: Keys and Distractions
by Trevor Whenham - 1/8/2019
Handicapping successfully at any time is all about separating what actually matters from all the stuff that doesn't. If you can do that consistently, you will probably be a winner. And that is more important than ever in the NFL Playoffs when everyone is an expert, and there is wall-to-wall coverage of every game. Don't worry, though, we are here to help. Here is one of the biggest keys for each playoff team if they want to live to fight another day and a distraction that you will hear a lot about but you need to ignore.
NFL Betting Trends: Playoff Teams off Bye Week
by Trevor Whenham - 1/6/2019
We have a unique experience coming up in the second round of the NFL Playoffs. Each year we see four teams that have played for their playoff lives and won in the opening week. And their reward is to play against a well-rested team, typically with a better record, on the road. The playoffs are set up to give a distinct advantage to teams that finish in the top two spots in their conference. As bettors, our jobs are to figure out what that home-field advantage and the extra rest translates to in terms of a betting advantage.
Expert NFL Betting Advice: Ranking the Playoff Teams
by Trevor Whenham - 1/4/2019
Every wild card game this year is tight and compelling. And for bettors, that means that these playoffs are going to be a bit of a nightmare. I don't remember going into the playoffs with a more wide-open field. I can make at least something of a case for 10 different teams to win it all this year. And while one team, New Orleans, is above the rest, the gap isn't nearly what it has been in some years, and there isn't a single team that would be shocking to see lose their first or second game.
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