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2025 Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/18/2025

Jacksonville Jaguars predictions Trevor Lawrence

The Jacksonville Jaguars had a long season last year. They lost four straight games to open the season while they also experienced a five-game losing streak from Week 8 to Week 13. Three of the teams four wins did come in one possession games but overall, they went just 3-10 in close games last year. They wound up with a 4-13 record, winning just one game on the road, and finished with a -115-point differential.

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The Jaguars finished in the bottom third of the league in offense last season after averaging just 306.2 YPG and just 18.8 PPG. Trevor Lawrence could not stay healthy and appeared in just 10 games. He totaled 2,045 passing yards with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He added another three touchdowns on the ground. Mac Jones finished with 1,672 passing yards while throwing eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Tank Bigsby led the team with 766 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 168 carries while his backup Travis Etienne Jr. added 558 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 150 carries. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 1,282 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns on 87 receptions. Brenton Strange finished second on the team with just 411 receiving yards on 40 receptions. Parker Washington finished third with 390 receiving yards and second with three touchdowns. Christian Kirk was held to just 379 yards and one touchdown as an injury limited him to just eight games.

Jacksonville’s defense wasn’t any help to their struggling offense. They finished 31st in allowed YPG (389.9 yards) while they also allowed 25.6 PPG. Devin Lloyd led the team with 113 tackles while he also added two sacks, seven TFL’s, four pass deflections, one interception, and a forced fumble. Foyesade Oluokun finished with 108 tackles, one sack, six TFL’s, seven pass deflections, and one interception. Travon Walker was the team leader in sacks with 10.5 and in TFL’s with 13 while Josh Hines-Allen was on his heels with eight sacks and 10 TFL’s.

Key Additions/Losses

The quarterback room was emptied aside from Lawrence as CJ Beathard and Jones hit the free agent market. The wide receiver room also took a big hit with the departures of Gabe Davis, Devin Duvernay, Christian Kirk, and Josh Reynolds while tight ends Evan Engram and Luke Farrell also found themselves with another team. The offensive line lost Blake Hance to Tennessee while Brandon Scherff and Mitch Morse retired. The defense lost Jeremiah Ledbetter to the Giants, Andre Cisco to the Jets, and Ronald Darby to retirement.

Despite all the losses to their receiver room the Jaguars only added Dyami Brown and tight ends Hunter Long and Johnny Mundt. The team also added Nick Mullens to back up Lawrence while also adding offensive linemen Chuma Edoga, Robert Hainsey, Fred Johnson, and Patrick Mekari to protect the quarterback. The defense also made some significant additions with the signings of Emmanuel Ogbah, Jourdan Lewis, and Eric Murray.

New Kids on the Block

In a surprise draft day trade, Jacksonville swapped with Cleveland and acquired the second pick in the draft where they took two-way star Travis Hunter. He will be able to play on both sides of the ball and will be able round out what should be a solid secondary for the Jaguars. Jacksonville added more depth with their two third round selections by adding cornerback Caleb Ransaw from Tulane and offensive guard Wyatt Milum from West Virginia. The rest of the draft class is as follows: Bhayshul Tuten (RB, Virginia Tech), Jack Kiser (LB, Notre Dame), Jalen McLeod (LB, Auburn), Rayuan Lane III (S, Navy), Jonah Monheim (C, USC), and LeQuint Allen (RB, Syracuse).

X-Factors

The Remnants of the Offense- The big question for Jacksonville heading into the season is if there is enough offensive talent left on the roster for the Jaguars to return to the playoffs. Lawrence hasn’t lived up to his potential, the run game is average, and there is a real wonder as to Thomas being able to live up to WR1 potential. With all these questions surrounding an offense that ranked in the lower third of the league last season, the front office did little to take it to the next level. After winning nine games just two seasons ago, the Jaguars don’t seem to have what it takes to put together another winning record here.

Jacksonville Jaguars Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +7000

AFC Champion: +3400

AFC South Winner: +290

NFL MVP- Trevor Lawrence: +4500

AP Offensive Player of the Year- Brian Thomas Jr.: +3500

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Travis Hunter: +1100

AP Defensive Rookie of the Year- Travis Hunter: +1000

Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 7.5 Wins

I think the ceiling for the Jaguars is six wins. It is quite possible that the Jaguars could lose the first seven games of the season. After a home game against Carolina, the Jaguars then have to take on Cincinnati on the road, Houston at home, San Francisco on the road, and Kansas City at home. The latter portions of their schedule include road games at Houston and Denver and likely home losses to the Chargers and Rams (though this one is an overseas game, the Jaguars are still the home team). The lone game that appears to favor Jacksonville is their Week 18 game against Tennessee at home. It is hard to find seven more wins on the schedule, making the under an easy call here.

2025 Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Jacksonville will likely be in serious competition with the Titans for the bottom spot in the AFC South thanks to a questionable offseason approach for the Jaguars. Their defense ranked 31st in the league and their offense wasn’t any better and they did little to improve the roster. Outside of drafting Hunter, the draft class doesn’t excite anyone, and the roster lacks elite offensive play makers. Don’t be surprised to see this Jacksonville team finish near the bottom of the league standings this season which would make the Browns the clear winner of the big Hunter deal made on draft day. It will be a long season for the Jaguars.

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