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2025 Las Vegas Raiders Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/21/2025

Las Vegas Raiders predictions Geno Smith

Last season was brutal for the Las Vegas Raiders. They had one of the worst offenses in the NFL and their record reflects that. They finished the year 4-13, lost 10 straight games (Week 5-Week 15), and failed to reach the 30-point mark last season with their season high being 26 points. Their -125-point differential was the fourth worst in the AFC and seventh worst in the NFL.

The Raiders had three quarterbacks record a touchdown last season. Gardner Minshew led the team with 2,013 passing yards and nine touchdowns, though he did throw 10 interceptions in 10 games. Aidan O’Connell finished with 1,612 passing yards and eight touchdowns while Desmond Ridder also appeared in six games and finished with 458 passing yards and two touchdowns. As if that wasn’t underwhelming enough, the Raiders leading rusher (Alexander Mattison) finished the year with just 420 yards and four touchdowns. Ameer Abdullah finished second behind Mattison with 311 rushing yards and two touchdowns while Sincere McCormick and Zamir White each finished with 183 rushing yards. Brock Bowers was far and away and the best player on this Raiders offense as he led the team with 1,194 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Jakobi Meyers also had an impact as he finished with 1,027 receiving yards and four touchdowns in 15 games. Tre Tucker and Ameer Abdullah finished tied for third on the team with three receiving touchdowns.

The Las Vegas defense ranked 26th in scoring defense as opponents averaged 25.5 PPG against them last season. Robert Spillane led the team with 158 tackles while he also added 10 TFL’s, seven pass deflections, two interceptions, and two sacks. Tre’von Moehrig finished second on the Raiders with 104 tackles while he too brought in two interceptions and he added 10 pass deflections and five TFL’s in his career year. Jack Jones had a team best three interceptions while Maxx Crosby’s 7.5 sacks and 17 TFL’s led the defense.

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Key Additions/Losses

The Raiders had a mass exodus of players from last season. Minshew and Ridder have joined up with new AFC teams while the running back room lost Abdullah and Mattison. The offensive line also lost Andre James to the Chargers and Andrus Peat and Cody Whitehair are not returning to the team. Christian Wilkins was let go by the team and the defense also lost K’Lavon Chaisson to New England, John Jenkins to Baltimore, Divine Deablo to Atlanta, Spillane to New England, Nate Hobbs to Green Bay, Marcus Epps to New England, and Moehrig to Carolina.

As for the additions, the Raiders traded for Geno Smith to come in and lead this offense as the quarterback. They also signed Raheem Mostert, Phillip Dorsett, and Collin Johnson to add skill position depth. Las Vegas made some upgrades in the trenches by adding offensive guard Alex Cappa and defensive lineman Leki Fotu. The Raiders also padded their defense by signing Germaine Pratt, Elandon Roberts, Devin White, Jaylon Smith, Eric Stokes, Jamal Adams, and Jeremy Chinn.

New Kids on the Block

As if the offseason wasn’t busy enough for the Raiders, they also welcomed 11 new faces from this past year’s draft. They added Ashton Jeanty with the sixth overall pick in the draft which immediately elevates this run game to new heights. Jeanty was by far the most impactful running back in college football last season and he also is a threat as a receiver. The Raiders then opened the field up for Meyers and Bowers with their second-round pick in Jack Bech, wide receiver out of TCU. Bech boosted his draft stock in the Senior Bowl, and he should be the Raiders’ biggest deep ball threat. The rest of the Raiders draft class is as follows: Darien Porter (CB, Iowa State), Caleb Rogers (OT, Texas Tech), Charles Grant (OT, Willaim & Mary), Dont’e Thornton Jr. (WR, Tennesee), Tonka Hemingway (DT, South Carolina), JJ Pegues (DT, Ole Miss), Tommy Mellott (WR, Montana State), Cam Miller (QB, North Dakota State), and Cody Lindenberg (LB, Minnesota).

X-Factors

Patience- The Raiders have a long way to go before they find themselves fielding a competitive team and therefore being in the playoff picture. Jeanty is a generational talent, and the rest of the draft class is littered with potential gems. However, their development will take time, and the Raiders will need to make some more moves to better prepare for the future. Expect them to be sleepers in the Arch Manning sweepstakes next draft.

Las Vegas Raiders Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +11000

AFC Champion: +5000

AFC West Winner: +1200

NFL MVP- Geno Smith: +10000

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Maxx Crosby: +1600

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Ashton Jeanty: +250

Las Vegas Raiders Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 6.5 Games

I expect the Raiders to be near the bottom of the AFC standings this season. The offense is unproven and nonexistent until the newly drafted Jeanty and Bech get going and help Bowers out. The Raiders’ last six games are incredibly tough, and it is quite possible they lose every game after Week 12. The Raiders end with a tough stretch of Los Angeles Chargers (road), Denver (home), Philadelphia (road), Houston (road), New York Giants (home), and Kansas City (home). That is not a friendly stretch for any team in the NFL much less a team with no offense. Take the under on the win total.

2025 Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

The Raiders may win three games this season. The offense is atrocious and until the new rookies can prove themselves, there is little to like about the future direction of this team. Smith makes a fine addition at quarterback, but he has little to work with on this offense and the defense doesn’t project to be much improved if at all this season. Do not buy in to any futures here except for Jeanty to win AP Rookie of the Year at +250.

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