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2025 Los Angeles Chargers Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/21/2025

Los Angeles Chargers predictions Justin Herbert

The Los Angeles Chargers had a strong season in large part due to their stout defense. They ended the year on a three-game winning streak that pushed their record to 11-6 and to a second-place finish in the AFC West behind Kansas City. Unfortunately, the season would end for the Chargers in the Wild Card round thanks to a 32-12 loss at the hands of Houston. Los Angeles would end up finishing with a +101-point differential which was the fourth best in the AFC last season and their 6-3 road record was tied for the second-best mark in the conference.

The offense averaged 324.2 YPG last season which ranked in the middle of the pack and their 23.6 PPG ranked 11th in the NFL. Justin Herbert finished the season with 3,870, averaged 227.6 passing YPG and finished the season with 23 touchdowns while only throwing three interceptions. Herbert also added another 306 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. J.K. Dobbins led the ground game with 905 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns for the Chargers while his backup, Gus Edwards, recorded 365 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 101 carries. Ladd McConkey was the top receiver for the Chargers this past season as he recorded 1,149 yards and seven touchdowns as he filled in the WR1 role nicely with the absence of Keenan Allen. Quentin Johnson finished second on the team in receiving yards with 711, but he led the team with eight touchdowns. Joshua Palmer and Will Dissly had solid years as well as the two combined for 1,065 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 89 receptions.

As for the defense, they held opponents to 324.4 YPG which ranked outside the Top 10. However, they led the NFL in scoring defense as they allowed just 17.7 PPG and the Chargers finished the year with a +12-turnover margin. Daylan Henley led the team with 147 tackles, and he was the only Chargers player to reach the 100+ tackle milestone. Henley also added seven TFL’s, eight pass deflections, and one interception. The Chargers had an incredible pass rush as they had five players finish the season with five or more sacks. Tuli Tuipulotu led the way with 8.5 with Khalil Mack and Bud Dupree trailing with six each. Derwin James Jr. (5.5) and Bud Dupree (5) rounded out the top pass rush. Tarheeb Still led the team with four interceptions and 10 pass deflections while Elijah Molden was right on his heels with three interceptions and seven pass deflections while the two ranked third and fourth on the team in tackles.

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Key Additions/Losses

The Chargers team lost a lot of star players from last year’s roster. Dobbins has moved on to join the Denver Broncos while Simi Fehoko, DJ Chark, and Palmer have all left the teams wide receiver room. Hayden Hurst along with offensive linemen Brenden Jaimes and Sam Mustipher also hit the free agent market. On defense, the team lost edge rusher Joey Bosa as he is now with Buffalo. They also lost Poona Ford to the Rams and Morgan Fox to the Falcons. The secondary was thinned out with the departures of Eli Apple, Kristian Fulton, Asante Samuel Jr., and Marcus Maye.

Los Angeles got to work quickly on filling the holes in their roster. Trey Lance was brought in as a backup for Herbert while the running back room added Najee Harris and Nyheim Hines to replace Dobbins. Tyler Conklin joined the team as Hurst’s replacement, and the offensive line added Andre James and Mekhi Becton. The defense added edge rusher Da’Shawn Hand and lineman Naquan Jones while also adding cornerbacks Donte Jackson and Benjamin St-Juste as well as safety Tony Jefferson to boost the secondary.

New Kids on the Block

The Chargers also added nine new players from this year’s draft. Their draft class is headlined by dynamic playmaker Omarion Hampton who ranked third in the country in rushing yards last season and has some incredible top-level speed. With their second round pick they added wide receiver Tre Harris who was one of Jaxson Dart’s favorite targets at Ole Miss. Harris is a wild card pick as he had first round potential, but injuries limited his tape. The rest of the Chargers draft class is as follows: Jamaree Caldwell (DT, Oregon), Kyle Kennard (Edge, South Carolina), KeAndre Lambert-Smith (WR, Auburn), Oronde Gadsden II (TE, Syracuse), Branson Taylor (OT, Pittsburgh), R.J. Mickens (S, Clemson), and Trikweze Bridges (S, Florida).

X-Factors

Quentin Johnston- Johnston gets a lot of bad publicity when it comes to his drops. However, he plays a huge role in this offense and can really elevate the Chargers’ weapons if he can step up as a true producer behind McConkey. Johnston led the team in receiving touchdowns and his big frame makes him a redzone threat, but more consistency and less drops could take this Chargers team deep in the playoffs.

The Secondary- The secondary has some holes after the departures of Apple, Samuel, and Maye and they did little in the offseason to address that. James and Elijah Molden will need to repeat their impact from a season ago to keep this Chargers secondary as tough as it was last season. Any let up here and the defense could be a heck of a lot weaker, especially now that Bosa is not putting pressure on the opposing quarterbacks anymore.

Los Angeles Chargers Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +2600

AFC Champion: +1300

AFC South Winner: +290

NFL MVP- Justin Herbert: +2000

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Khalil Mack: +15000

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- Omarion Hampton: +1000

Los Angeles Chargers Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games

This is another Under pick for me. The Charger’s schedule is not as tough as the Chiefs, but there are a lot of tough matchups, particularly at home which may take away some cushioning at home. They have road games against Kansas City, Dallas, and Denver while their home schedule includes Denver, Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Houston, and Washington. Not exactly the easiest home schedule. There are only five wins on the schedule and about eight toss up games, meaning the Chargers would have to go 5-3 against the likes of Denver (home), Washington (home), Miami (road), Minnesota (home), Pittsburgh (home), Jacksonville (road), Dallas (road), and Houston (home).

2025 Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

I am on the south side of the Chargers win total as I think nine wins is the absolute ceiling for this team. Johnston’s play could make this offense one of the best in the league, but the defense may regress from last season which could hurt their chances at a run. Hampton at +1000 to win the AP Rookie of the Year is a great look because he will be getting a lot of looks and he may be one of the fastest rookies to be established in the league this season. There is some couch change appeal for the Chargers if you think they can make a run at the AFC, but the Chiefs will win this division again and the Broncos may finish second.

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