Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

2025 Miami Dolphins Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/4/2025

Miami Dolphins predictions Tyreek Hill

The Miami Dolphins 2-6 start in 2024 derailed their season and kept them from the playoffs. Four of their eight wins were by just one possession, though they benefited from playing in one of the weakest divisions in the league last season. They finished with a -19-point differential, and they went just 3-6 on the road last season. Last season ended their two-season playoff appearance streak.

Tua Tagovailoa finished 21st in the league in passing yards with 2,867 as he was limited to just 11 games last season. He finished with a 72.9% CMP% while throwing 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. In his absence, the underwhelming QB room featured Tyler Huntley, Skylar Thompson, and Tim Boyle. Huntley finished with 829 passing yards and 135 rushing yards in five games played, though he did have four turnovers and just five touchdowns. De’Von Achane led the rushing attack for Miami as he finished with 907 yards on 203 carries and totaled six touchdowns on the ground. He was also a receiving threat as he finished fourth on the team in receiving yards with 592 while adding another six touchdowns. Tyreek Hill led the team in receiving yards with 959 and he brought in six touchdowns. Jonnu Smith led the team with eight receiving touchdowns, and he finished second on the team in receiving yards with 884. Jaylen Waddle had a bit of a down year as he totaled 744 yards on 58 receptions in 15 games last season with just two touchdowns.

The defense ranked fourth in allowed YPG as they held their opponents to just 314.3 YPG. The Dolphins held opponents to just 21.4 PPG which ranked 10th in the NFL. Jordyn Brooks led the team with 143 tackles which was tied for the 10th most tackles in the league last season. Brooks also added six pass deflections, three sacks, and 11 TFL’s to his strong season. Tyrel Dodson led the team with three interceptions while Jalen Ramsey and Kader Kohou added two each. Ramsey led the team with 11 pass deflections while also adding six TFL’s and a sack. Zach Sieler led the way with 10 sacks which ranked 16th in the league last season while Chop Robinson added another six and Calais Campbell and Emmanuel Ogbah added five each.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Key Additions/Losses

The offseason was an interesting one for the Dolphins. They traded Ramsey and Smith to the Steelers while Jordan Poyer hit the free agent market. That is two of their best secondary pieces and their team leader in receiving touchdowns no longer on the roster. The team also saw key role players like Huntley, Ogbah, Campbell, Anthony Walker Jr., Jevon Holland, and Raheem Mostert depart from the roster as well. Not only that but the Dolphins lost a lot on their offensive line with Terron Armstead retiring and Robert Jones and Kendall Lamm heading to the NFC East.

Miami signed Zach Wilson to replace Huntley, Alexander Mattison to replace Mostert while they traded for Darren Waller to fill in Smith’s shoes and Minkah Fitzpatrick heads south as the return in the Smith/Ramsey trade to Pittsburgh. The Dolphins also brough in Willie Gay Jr. and K.J. Britt to replace some of the team’s top tackles from a year ago.

New Kids on the Block

Miami did upgrade in the trenches via the draft. They used their top pick on defensive tackle Kenneth Grant out of Michigan who has the ability to disrupt both the running lanes and the passing game. With their second-round pick, they added Jonah Savaiinaea out of Arizona. The 324-pound offensive guard posted some incredible numbers at the Combine, showcasing athleticism to make the front office believe in long-term development. Savaiinaea has the traits to be one of the best offensive linemen in this draft. Miami did not pick again until the fifth round and the rest of their draft class is as follows: Jordan Phillips (DT, Maryland), Jason Marshall Jr. (CB, Florida), Dante Trader Jr. (S, Maryland), Ollie Gordon II (RB, Oklahoma State), Quinn Ewers (QB, Texas), and Zeek Biggers (DT, Georgia Tech).

X-Factors

The Defense- Miami is a long shot to make the playoffs this season as they traded away Ramsey and Smith while having a rather underwhelming offseason. The defense was a Top 10 unit in the league last season, but the Dolphins lost seven of their top nine tacklers from last season as well as two of their top four sacks leaders, as well as some key pieces in an already struggling secondary. Grant should reinforce the defensive line, but the secondary will once again be a big problem for Miami. They will need to address this in order to find their way back into the playoff picture.

Tua’s Health- This might be the most important variable for Miami’s season. Their quarterback has had some scary head injuries and anymore may completely derail his career. Dolphin’s fans will be holding their breath every time Tagovailoa takes a hit, and it certainly doesn’t help that their offensive line may be in a weaker state this season compared to last.  

Miami Dolphins Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +10000

AFC Champion: +4300

AFC East Winner: +750

NFL MVP- Tua Tagovailoa: +6000

AP Offensive Player of the Year- De’Von Achane: +3500

AP Offensive Player of the Year- Tyreek Hill: +4000

AP Defensive Rookie of the Year- Kenneth Grant: +7500

Miami Dolphins Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 7.5 Games

With the win total set at 7.5, Miami could be one of the tougher teams to gauge. If Tua has health issues like last season, there is no chance that Miami will reach eight wins. They have an incredible tough stretch from Week 8 to Week 11 where they are at Atlanta and home against Baltimore and Buffalo and then in Madrid for a game against Washington. It is highly likely that Miami will lose all four of these games. They struggled on the road last season and while their road opponents aren’t entirely overbearing, their home schedule is incredibly tough. They play host to the much-improved New England Patriots, the Los Angeles Chargers, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, as well as one “home” game in Spain, and back-to-back weeks of Baltimore and Buffalo. The only home games that look like wins are in Week 4 against the Jets and Week 13 against the Saints. Miami seems like a six-win team this season with a regressing team and an unfavorable home schedule.

2025 Miami Dolphins Predictions

Miami will fall short of their win total as they project to have a ceiling of six wins. Outside of picking their win total, there is not a lot of excitement in future bets with Miami. They will finish third in the AFC East, miss the playoffs, and may even be in contention for the AFC basement. Achane is one of the most electric players in the NFL and he is worth some couch change to be named the AP Offensive Player of the Year thanks to his elite speed and ability to get involved in the passing game. Unfortunately, his stats will depend on the health of his quarterback and his offensive line is weaker than it was last season.  At +3500 it is worth a flier, but nothing more than that. All in all, it will be a disappointing season in Miami.

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NFL Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers