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2025 New England Patriots Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Ryan Cobbett - 8/4/2025

New England Patriots predictions Drake Maye

Last season was not kind to the New England Patriots. They would have two separate six-game losing skids on their way to a 4-13 record. Their offense was abysmal, as they never reached higher than the 25-point mark in a single game. The Patriots were joined by the Cleveland Browns as the only two teams in the AFC to fail to score 300 points on the season. Their -128-point differential was the third worst in the conference, ahead of only the Browns and Titans.

The Patriots offense ranked 31st in YPG and 30th in PPG. The offensive line was a big problem, and it really limited Drake Maye last season. He finished the season with 2,276 yards with 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while being sacked 34 times. He did add another 421 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team with 801 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 207 carries. Antonio Gibson recorded another 538 yards on 120 carries as his backup. The team also lacked impact wide receivers. Hunter Henry led the team with 674 receiving yards while DeMario Douglas was the only other receiver to reach the 600+ yard mark (621). Douglas, Kayshon Boutte, and Austin Hooper were tied for the team lead with three receiving touchdowns each. Boutte finished with 589 receiving yards while Hooper added another 476.

The defense was not much better. They allowed 24.5 PPG, which ranked 22nd in the league while they also allowed 343.4 YPG which also ranked 22nd. Jahlani Tavai was the only Patriots player to reach the 100-tackle milestone last season as he finished with 115 total tackles. Tavai also added seven TFL’s, one sack, five pass deflections, and one interception. Christian Gonzalez was the only Patriots player to record more than one interception last season as he finished with two. He also led the team with 11 pass deflections while totaling 59 tackles. Keion White and Deatrich Wise Jr. were tied for the team lead with five sacks each last season while Kyle Dugger led the team with eight TFL’s.

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Key Additions/Losses

The offseason was rather quiet for the rebuilding Patriots. The team lost backup quarterbacks Jacoby Brissett who is now with Arizona and Joe Milton who was traded to Dallas. David Andrews retired, leaving a big hole in the middle of their offensive line. Wise, who was tied for the team lead in sacks, is gone while Davon Godchaux is also absent from the defensive line.

The team signed Garrett Bradbury to replace Andrews and Morgan Moses to give Maye some more protection upfront. The Patriots also found their star wide receiver in Stefon Diggs in hopes that he will elevate their receiver’s room. Mack Hollins joins Diggs as a reinforcement at receiver while they brought in Joshua Dobbs to backup Maye. The defensive line was rebuilt as the team brought in Milton Williams, K’Lavon Chaisson, and Harold Landry to boost the trenches.

New Kids on the Block

New England had 11 picks in the draft, and they took advantage of their abundance by putting together one of the best draft classes this year. They used their first pick on Will Campbell, who is an immediate boost to their offensive line. New England then took TreVeyon Henderson who is a huge sleeper pick and could really elevate the offense. Then they added wide receiver Kyle Williams who ran a 4.4 40 at the Combine and center Jared Wilson to give them another option inside on their offensive line. The rest of the draft class is as follows: Craig Woodson (S, California), Joshua Farmer (DT, Florida State), Bradyn Swinson (Edge, LSU), Andres Borregales (K, Miami), Marcus Bryant (OT, Missouri), Julian Ashby (LS, Vanderbilt), Kobee Minor (CB, Memphis).

X-Factors

Their Schedule- More on this below, but the Patriots may have been handed a ticket to the playoffs thanks to an easy schedule. All they have to do is live up to expectations they set for themselves this offseason.

Drake Maye- Maye threw 10 interceptions last season and while his offensive line was not great, he still needs to clean that up. He showed off flashes of excellence at times, but he needs to be more consistent if the Patriots want to return to the playoffs this season. He has some more weapons around him in Diggs and Henderson as well as better protection up front, but the Patriots will rise and fall with the performance of their sophomore quarterback.

New England Patriots Notable Odds

Super Bowl Winner: +8000

AFC Champion: +3500

AFC East Winner: +550

NFL MVP- Drake Maye: +6000

AP Defensive Player of the Year- Christian Gonzalez: +8500

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year- TreVeyon Henderson: +2500

New England Patriots Schedule Breakdown

Predicted Win Total: 8.5 Games

On paper, the Patriots certainly don’t scream playoff potential. However, they have an incredibly easy schedule. There are only four obvious losses on the schedule, three of which are on the road. Their home schedule features the Raiders, Jets, Dolphins, Panthers, Browns, and Giants while they have back-to-back road games against the Titans and Saints who project to be bottom dwellers this season. I give the Patriots six wins against the Raiders, Saints, Panthers, Browns, Jets, and Giants which leaves eight toss up games. In order for them to hit the over on the win total, they would need to go at least 3-5 in those toss up games which includes road games against the Titans, Dolphins, Bengals, Jets and home games against the Steelers, Falcons, and Dolphins. Not a bad schedule for a team looking to get their budding stars some confidence while also setting up some intrigue for the front office to make some impact moves before the deadline.

2025 New England Patriots Predictions

Needing to go just 3-5 in the aforementioned toss up games, makes the Over the way to go on their win totals. They won’t win the division, but there is a ton of value with their +160 mark to make the playoffs when you see just how easy their schedule is. Yes, the offensive line has to gel and Diggs needs to find his stride as WR1 again, but the Patriots will have a lot of their easier games early in the season which allows for some mistakes. A big factor in their success could be found in Henderson finally giving New England an impactful ground attack. He is a sleeper pick and could be one of the most impactful rookies this season making him worth a flier at +2500 to win the AP Offensive Rookie of the Year. Cash in on New England sneaking into the playoffs this season.

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