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2025 NFL Draft Betting Predictions for Best Prop Wagers

by Ryan Cobbett - 4/22/2025

NFL Draft betting predictions Jaxson Dart

With the NFL Draft on deck, let’s dive into some of the most exciting props surrounding the NFL Draft. Four out of the last five Mr. Irrelevant selections have been on the defensive side of the ball. And with the Kansas City Chiefs currently holding the rights to the final selection, they could potentially carry that trend with some needs on the defensive line. Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders have been the two favored quarterbacks in this draft, but Jaxson Dart may also hear his name called in the first round. In this article we will go through first round position group totals, player draft positions, and who will go down as 2025’s infamous Mr. Irrelevant. Let’s build the bet slip.

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Position of Mr. Irrelevant

Since the 2000 Draft, there have been more tight ends selected as Mr. Irrelevant than any other position group. Over the last 25 drafts Mr. Irrelevant has been a tight end five times with wide receiver and linebacker following with four. The last pick in the NFL Draft, since 2000, has been a defensive lineman three times, a cornerback three times, and a quarterback three times. As of now, the defensive lineman group has the best odds (+320) of being Mr. Irrelevant once again this season as the Kansas City Chiefs hold the final pick in this year’s draft and they have glaring needs in the trenches. Despite having the highest frequency over the last 25 years, the tight end position group has +1200 odds of being Mr. Irrelevant in this draft. Travis Kelce is aging, and the Chiefs may not look to add his replacement in this draft, but they may look to add a developmental piece to add some depth in the room. However, with the glaring and exploited need for offensive line help, I am going to take someone from the offensive line group to be picked as Mr. Irrelevant in this draft.

My Pick: Offensive Lineman +450

First Round Position Group Selections

QB – O/U 2.5

Cam Ward will be the first player to hear his name called on Thursday night as the Titans will take the reigns from Will Levis and hand them to Ward. After Ward the quarterback class dips off tremendously. Shedeur Sanders has been rumored to fall in the draft compared to early projections, but he will almost certainly hear his name called before the end of the first round. Joining Sanders in the second tier of quarterbacks in this class are Jaxson Dart and Tyler Shough. One or both will be drafted in the first round here as the Steelers and Rams are both in need of a long-term solution at the position.

My Pick: Over 2.5, -135

RB – O/U 2.5

The running back group will not fare the same way. There is only one certainty at the position to be drafted in the first round and that is Ashton Jeanty. Due to need, the Dallas Cowboys and the Denver Broncos are in desperate need of help at the position, but the Cowboys will likely settle for the best pass catcher available at the 12th pick, leaving the Broncos to snag Omarion Hampton before the end of the first round. Kaleb Johnson, Quinshon Judkins, and Treveyon Henderson will have to wait till Day Two to hear their name called.

My Pick: Under 2.5, -300

WR – O/U 2.5

Similarly to the running back group, there is a ton of value picks in the second and third rounds for the wide receiver class. However, the over on this is easy with Travis Hunter being able to play some wide receiver while Tetairoa McMillan and Matthew Golden join him as first-round graded wide outs. Don’t be surprised if a team trades back into the first round to snag Luther Burden III or Emeka Egbuka. The over is an easy pick here.

My Pick: Over 2.5, -285

OL – O/U 6.5

Will Campbell and Armand Membou are favored to be Top 10 picks in this draft. However, after their names are called, we will likely have to wait until the final third of the first round before we hear another offensive lineman taken. If the Chiefs remain in the first round they will likely add to their offensive line while guys like Donovan Jackson and Kelvin Banks Jr. will find a team in the first round. However, the first round, especially the bottom third of it, will have a heavy defensive presence.

My Pick: Under 6.5, +105

Total Offensive – O/U 15.5

Adding up on my previous picks, there are likely 14 offensive players off the board here, but when you add in the tight end group which includes likely Top 10 pick Tyler Warren and Top 15 pick Colston Loveland the offense has hit the over. Guys like Burden III or offensive tackle Josh Conerly Jr. could also be taken in the first round. Easy over here.

My Pick: Over 15.5, -115

CB – O/U 4.5

Hunter and Will Johnson are the only two cornerbacks cemented into the first round. While there are talented backs behind them, hearing three more corners’ names in the first round is unlikely. Jahdae Barron, Trey Amos, Maxwell Hairston, and Azareye’h Thomas could all find a team in the first round but expect to hear just one and no more than two of their names called in the opening round.

My Pick: Under 4.5, 360

DL/Edges – O/U 8.5

The first round will feature a lot of defensive linemen this year. Abdul Carter and Mason Graham are potential Top Five picks with Jalon Walker as a potential Top 10 selection. Shemar Stewart, Mike Green, and Derrick Harmon will likely hear their names called between picks 11-22. James Pearce Jr., Mykel Williams, Kenneth Grant, Donovan Ezeiruaku, and Walter Nolen all have first round potential, but not all of them will hear their names called on the first night. It is hard for me to see the Eagles pass on a defensive lineman late while the Detroit Lions, Washington Commanders, and Green Bay Packers could also pick from the talented defensive line group.

My Pick: Over 8.5, -270

Player Draft Position Specials

Jaxson Dart – O/U 25.5

Dart will hear his name called at some point in the opening round. He has the tools to be a long-term option for a team like the Los Angeles Rams or the Pittsburgh Steelers and those are the two likely teams to take him, unless Tampa Bay trades down a few spots. The Steelers have the 21st pick if they stay put while the Rams have the 26th. Barring any surprises, I expect the Steelers to take a chance on the young quarterback as they have the biggest question mark at the position.

My Pick Under 25.5, -126

Omarion Hampton – O/U 20.5

Hampton will be a taken in the Top 20. The Chicago Bears (10th pick) and the Dallas Cowboys (12th pick) will be considering the UNC product, but he will not fall further than the Denver Broncos selection with the 20th pick.

My Pick: Under 20.5, -280

Emeka Egbuka – O/U 29.5

After the Steelers snag Dart with the 21st pick, the Rams will now pivot from the quarterback position and look for an exciting, high upside running mate for Puka Nacua. Egbuka would be a great fit if the board falls this way. Regardless, I expect Egbuka to be the fourth wide receiver off the board in the first round.

My Pick: Under 29.5, -275

Mike Green – O/U 17.5

Green led the FBS in sacks last year and he has the makeup of being an incredibly presence off the edge for whoever takes him. The Cowboys could be a wild card pick for Green here after Demarcus Lawrence left for Seattle. The Atlanta Falcons (15th pick) and the Cincinnati Bengals (17th pick) would also benefit from adding an explosive edge rusher. Between these three teams, Green will be drafted at or before the 17th pick.

My Pick: Under 17.5, +260

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