NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 14
by Dave Schwab - 12/4/2013
Dallas and Philadelphia kept pace with one another atop the NFC East with victories last week, and New York remained in the race with a crucial win over Washington. I had the Giants last week as my ‘pick of the week’ in a game that closed with the Redskins favored by a point. It was one of my biggest plays of the year, and with another five units my total profit for the year is now $3,250 on a $100-per-unit wager. My overall record for the season with these picks is a sterling 11-2 as things continue to fall into place.
Each week of the season I will briefly preview all the games in the NFC East and highlight my top ‘pick of the week’ with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System. I will be tracking the results of these selections as the season progresses with the goal of ending up with at least a $1,000 profit by the end of the year. With the success we have had so far, let’s go for $4,000! All lines quoted have been provided by 5Dimes.
Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday, Dec. 1, 1 p.m.)
Detroit rolled over the toothless Green Bay Packers 40-10 on Thanksgiving Day as a seven-point home favorite to open a one-game lead over Chicago in the NFC North at 7-5 straight up. The Lions are 6-6 against the spread overall and 3-3 ATS on the road. The total has stayed “under” in four of their six road games.
Philadelphia had to sweat out another late-game rally, but last Sunday’s 24-21 victory over Arizona was its fourth straight win. The Eagles are 7-5 SU and 6-5-1 ATS after that game ended as a “push”. They had previously lost 10 straight games at home, but they are now on a two-game home winning streak after beating Washington in Week 11.
The Eagles have been opened as 2.5-point home favorites for this NFC clash with the total set at 54.
New York Giants vs. San Diego Chargers (Sunday, Dec. 8, 4:25 p.m.)
The Giants improved to 5-7 SU with last week’s win, but they know they will probably have to run the table to have any shot at winning the division. They are also 5-7 ATS with a 3-3 ATS record on the road. New York was -16 in turnovers through the first six weeks of the season, but it has a +5 ratio ever since.
San Diego is still in the running for a wild-card spot in the AFC at 5-7 SU. The Chargers are 6-5-1 ATS on the year, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five games. Last Sunday they lost to Cincinnati 17-10 as one-point home favorites to fall to 3-6 ATS in their last nine games at home.
The Giants head into San Diego has three-point underdogs with the total set at 47.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears (Monday, Dec. 9, 8:30 p.m.)
The Cowboys control their own destiny in the East with a prior win over Philadelphia and a perfect 4-0 SU record in the division. They have been profitable to wager on with an 8-4 record ATS that includes a 4-2 ATS record on the road. The total has gone “over” in four of those six road games.
Chicago’s division title hopes took a serious hit with last Sunday’s 23-20 overtime loss to Minnesota as a one-point road underdog. It is now and even 6-6 SU on the year but a costly 2-9-1 ATS. The Bears have yet to cover a spread in their first six games this season, and the total has gone over in four of those contests.
This matchup remains listed as a “pick’em” on 5Dimes latest board with the total set at 49.5
NFC East ‘Pick of the Week’
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Washington Redskins (Sunday, Dec. 8, 1 p.m.)
Kansas City (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) will be looking to get back to its winning ways after losing a home-and-home series to Denver sandwiched around a loss to San Diego in its last three games. Playing a team from the NFC East has to be a welcomed sight after rolling over the other three teams earlier in the year. In order to pull off the sweep over his old division, ex-Philly coach Andy Reid will need a much better effort from a defense that has gotten bounced around during this recent slide. This unit is still ranked fourth in the NFL in points allowed (17.8).
The Redskins are pretty much riding out the string at 3-9 (both SU and ATS) in what has been an extremely disappointing season after winning the division last year. Robert Griffin III has taken a major step backwards after a stellar rookie campaign, and there is a good chance that head coach Mike Shanahan might lose his job if the losses continue to pile up. The one positive of this offense was its ability to score points, but even that has fallen off in recent weeks. The Redskins are now ranked 19th in the NFL in scoring with an average of 22.4 points a game.
The total line for this game has been set at a generous 45 points. Look for Kansas City’s defense and a heavy dose of Jamaal Charles running the ball to keep the final total well below that number.
3-Unit Play take Kansas City vs. Washington UNDER 45
YTD Record 11-2 (+$3,230)
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