Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 11
by Dave Schwab - 11/12/2014
I have been riding Philadelphia the past few weeks in my NFC East "pick of the week," and it has been paying some huge dividends. This past Monday night's 45-21 rout against Carolina as a seven-point home favorite raised my overall record on the year to 7-3.
Each and every week of this year's NFL regular season I will be previewing all the games in the NFC East. I will also release my NFC East "pick of the week" along with a recommended play using Doc's Sports Unit Betting System based on BetOnline's NFL betting odds. My ultimate goal is to generate a solid profit with these free picks, and I so far I am ahead of the game with a +$1,300 yearly return on a $100 wager using the recommended unit play.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Redskins (Sunday, Nov. 16, 1 p.m.)
Tampa Bay was touted as a "sleeper team" heading into this season by quite a few NFL experts with Lovie Smith taking over the helm as head coach. So far this team has basically sleep-walked its way through its first nine games with a straight up record of 1-8 and a 3-6 mark against the spread. The Buccaneers have been able to cover in three of four road games this season, and the total has stayed "under" in their last three outings.
Jay Gruden is also in his first season as head coach of the Redskins, and while the results have been somewhat better, they are once battling to stay out of the basement in the NFC East at 3-6 on the year both SU and ATS. Robert Griffin III added a bit of a spark to the offense last Sunday after missing most of the season with an ankle injury, but the end result was the same in Washington's 29-26 loss to Minnesota as a one-point road underdog. One of the biggest problems with this team has been an inconsistent defense that is ranked 23rd in the league in points allowed (25.4).
BetOnline has listed the Redskins as seven-point home favorites against Tampa Bay, and the total for the game has been set at 45.
San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants (Sunday, Nov. 16, 1 p.m.)
San Francisco may have posted a season-saving win this past Sunday with a huge 27-24 overtime victory against New Orleans as a six-point underdog on the road. At 5-4 SU (4-5 ATS) the 49ers still have quite a bit of work to do to get back into the thick of the NFC playoff race, but this is definitely something to build on. The defense should get a boost this week with the return of Aldon Smith, who is finished serving his recent nine-game NFL suspension.
Things have gone from bad to worse for the Giants, and, in the midst of a four-game losing streak both SU and ATS, it is safe to say that head coach Tom Coughlin is officially on the hot seat in New York. As the losses continue to pile up, the Giants appear to be getting less and less competitive with each passing week, which has not been a past characteristic of a Coughlin-coached team. New York's offense has been equally mediocre in both passing and running the ball, and the defense is ranked dead-last in the NFL in average yards allowed while giving up an average of 27.4 points a game.
The 49ers come into this matchup as 4.5-point road favorites with the total line set at 44.
NFC East Week 11 'Pick of the Week'
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers (Sunday, Nov. 16, 4:25 p.m.)
Mark Sanchez may have caught everyone's eye in his first start at quarterback for an injured Nick Foles, but last week's blowout should really be attributed to Eagles' head coach Chip Kelly's up-tempo, high-octane offensive system. The second-year offensive guru's only goal in any game Philadelphia plays is to score as many points as humanly possible. Credit Philly's defense for getting to Cam Newton nine times last Monday night, but keep in mind that Packers' quarterback Aaron Rodger will present an entirely different set of problems this Sunday afternoon.
Green Bay got back on track this past Sunday night by trouncing Chicago 55-14 as a nine-point favorite at home. This followed a less-than-stellar 44-23 loss to New Orleans in Week 8 as a two-point road underdog. However, over the course of the Packers last six games, they have averaged 37.2 points a game. The one area of concern heading into this matchup is a defense that is ranked 30th in the NFL against the run by allowing an average of 142.6 yards a game. Kelly would love nothing more than to hand the ball off 25 to 30 times to LeSean McCoy to test this weak spot.
The Eagles come into this matchup as five-point road underdogs, and they are just 1-3 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings. While they will be hard-pressed to get out of Lambeau with a SU win, I can easily see both of these teams putting up at least 30 points to take the total "over" an already inflated betting line of 55 points.
Year to Date Record: 7-3 (+$1,300)
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