2014 Odds to Win AFC East with Picks and NFL Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 7/2/2014
As part of a complete list of NFL futures odds, BetOnline has recently updated its board for the betting odds to win each of the NFL's eight division titles in the 2014 regular season. This week I am wrapping up my trip through the AFC with a closer look at the current odds to win the AFC East.
New England Patriots Odds to Win the AFC East -275
'Dynasty' is a word that can be used rather loosely in the NFL, but if you look back upon the Bill Belichick era in New England as the team's head coach, it looks like a perfect fit to me. He took over the reins in 2000, and after his team went 5-11 that year, it has produced 13 straight winning seasons that have included double-digit victories each of the last 11 years. It also helps when you have a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Tom Brady running your offense.
No matter what happens in the offseason, the Patriots always seem to reload with the right weapons to make another long run at a Super Bowl title. This past offseason they added All-Pro cornerback Derrelle Revis to bolster a pass defense that was ranked 18th in the NFL last year. New England also added some punch to its run defense by drafting lineman Dominique Easley with the 29thoverall pick in the first round.
Miami Dolphins Odds to Win the AFC East +450
The futures odds suggest that Miami has the best shot at dethroning the Patriots this season in the AFC East, but given a projected total of just eight wins that has the moneyline odds favoring the "under" at -130, it looks like the Dolphins will be a distant second at best. They went 8-8 last season and finished four full games of the pace.
If Miami is going to have any shot at posting its first winning season since 2008 it's going to need Ryan Tannehill to keep progressing as a legitimate franchise quarterback in this league. He did start all 16 games in his first two seasons in the NFL, and last year he threw for 3,913 yards while completing 60.4 percent of this passes. The Dolphins added wide receiver Jarvis Landry in the second round of the draft and they beefed-up their offensive line with the addition of free-agent linemen Branden Albert and Shelley Smith.
New York Jets Odds to Win the AFC East +900
Jets head coach Rex Ryan made a major splash in his first two seasons at the helm by guiding his team to back-to-back appearances in the AFC Championship, but since then New York has missed the postseason the last three seasons while failing to win more than eight games. BetOnline has set the team's projected win total in 2014 at seven games, with the moneyline favoring the over at -140, so the Jets will need more than a few things to go right to successfully compete for the AFC East title.
It could be a pair of Pro Bowl veterans that lead the way with the addition of quarterback Michael Vick and running back Chris Johnson as free agents. To add some much-needed depth to a defense that finished the 2014 season ranked 22nd in the NFL against the pass and 19th in points allowed, Ryan used a first-round pick to add safety Calvin Pryor and a third-round pick to select cornerback Dexter McDougle. All told, New York had a total of 12 draft picks this year to inject some much-needed youth into its roster.
Buffalo Bills Odds to Win the AFC East +1000
A few NFL experts out there are expecting bigger and better things from Buffalo this season after battling its way to a 6-10 mark in 2013, but that could simply be a case of wishful thinking for a franchise that has not made a trip to the postseason since 1999. The Bills have now won six games in each of their last three seasons. However, the projected win total for 2014 has been set at 6.5, with the moneyline odds favoring the over at -170. Does this mean they will go 7-9 or take that quantum leap to double-digit victories to compete with New England?
EJ Manual enters his second season as Buffalo's starting quarterback after producing some mixed results as a rookie. The offense finished the 2014 season ranked 28th in the league in passing yards, and it was ranked 22nd in scoring with an average of 21.2 points a game. The addition of wide receiver Sammy Watkins with the fourth overall pick in the draft was a major step in the right direction, and the Bills addressed some issues on their offensive line by signing tackle Chris Williams as a free agent.
AFC East Picks and Predictions
There are plenty of other NFL division futures you can wager on that offer quite a bit of value with some of the teams' odds, so it is not worth the risk to bet on New England to once again repeat as AFC East Champs at -275. That being said, it makes absolutely no sense to bet against the Patriots with any of the other three teams in this division. My official pick is that New England wins the East at 11-5, which would be just enough to cash in on its projected win total of 10.5 games despite the risk involved with the -175 moneyline on this play.
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Read more articles by Dave Schwab
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