Scott Spreitzer Week 8 NFL Handicapping Notes

by Scott Spreitzer - 10/31/2018

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs

This is an informal look into my weekly NFL notes as I take them from highlight shows, internet recaps, and my own eyes while watching games. Please excuse the crudeness...consider a weekly rough draft.

We finished 4-1 in CFB and 3-2 in the NFL this week, which ups our CFB / NFL run to 35-12. We're also on a 19-6 CFB run the last 5 weeks and we're 18-8, 69% on NFL Sundays this season and 38-17-1 with our last 56 NFL plays overall. We have a 7-Unit CFB Main Event and our first 8-Unit NFL side going this Saturday and Sunday and we're on a 9-1, 90% CFB/NFL top plays run. Be sure to grab it all this week!

NFL WEEK-8 2018 RECAP:

SEAHAWKS 28-14 LIONS: Carson 25-105 rushing…Russell Wilson didn't have to throw a lot...14-17-248 yards-3 TD (perfect passer rating of 158.3)...3 straight games with 3 TD passes. SEA 4 straight games rushing for 150 or more yards. +10 turnover margin during current 4-1 SU run. Stafford 27-40-310-2-1....Lions Kerryon Johnson only 8 carries...far cry from last week when the Lions ran for 248...just 34 this week. Lions have allowed at least 160 yards rushing 4 times this season...they're 0-4 in those games.

JETS 10-24 BEARS: Darnold 14-29-153-1. Darnold 5th time this season with 1 or no TD passes. Crowell held in check again...25 yards on 13 carries. 5th time this season the Jets have failed to top 17 points. Trubisky 16-29-220-2...and 51 rushing. Trubisky 13-3 TD-INTs last 4 games. Howard 22 carries - 81 yards.

SKINS 20-13 NY GIANTS: Eli sacked 7 times. Adrian Peterson 149 yards rushing. Skins 5 wins AP 22 carries per game for 112 yards per game 5 TDs. Alex Smith 20-32-178-1. Barkley 13 rush for 38 yards...did have 73 rec yards. Eli 30-47-316-1-2. NYG 0-4 at home this season. 5 losses by 7 points or fewer.

RAVENS 21-36 PANTHERS: Balt fumble inside its own 30 turned the game. Flacco 22-39-192-1-2. Cam Newton 21-29-219-2...and 52 yards rushing 1 TD...6th straight game with at least 2 TD passes. Balt went into the game allowing just 14.4 ppg. Balt led NFL with 27 sacks...had 0 on Sunday. Carolina 9th straight home win.

BROWNS 18-33 STEELERS: Hue Jackson and Todd Haley - fired. Mayfield 22-36-180-2-1. Chubb 18 rush 65 yards. Big Ben 24-36-257-2-1. James Conner 24 rush 146 yards 2 TD...66 rec yards. Antonio Brown 5 straight games with a TD rec. Browns 15th straight loss at Pittsburgh. 25 straight road losses. Have not scored a 1st qrtr TD this season.

49ERS 15-18 ARIZONA: Josh Rosen TD pass inside a minute to go in the game. AZ a 15-3 final qrtr. AZ averaged 5 yards per play and 4.2 yards per run….and held SFO to 5 yards per pass. Rosen 23-40-252-2-1.

BUCCS 34-37 CINCY: Jameis stinks...18-35-276-1-4. 148 passes this season and 10 have been picked off...horrible. Fitzpatrick to start week 9. Fitz 11-15-194-2. Came in down 33-16 late 3rd. Barber 19 rush 85 yards 1 TD. Evans 6 rec 179 yards 1 TD. Dalton 21-34-280-2. Mixon 21-123-2. TB allowing 33 ppg on the season. Bengals defense 6 sacks...4 INTs...TD. But also allowed 576 yards.

EAGLES 24-18 JAGS (London): Wentz 21-30-286-3-1...13 TD, 2 INTs this season. Adams 9 rush 61 yards. Bortles 24-41-286-1...43 yards rushing. Jags 4 straight losses...averaging just 11.5 ppg and losing by an average of 17 ppg. 0-4 when rushing for less than 100 yards. Can't have Bortles throwing it 40+ times.

COLTS 42-28 RAIDERS: Luck 22-31-239-3. Mack 25 rush 132 yards 2 TD. Carr 21-28-244-3 and 1 rushing TD. Marlon Martin 13 rush 72 yards. Colts 21-0 4th qrtr after trailing 28-21 thru 3. Oak 3rd loss this season after leading thru 3 qrtrs. Allowing 31 ppg on the season.

BRONCOS 23-30 KC CHIEFS: Keenum 23-34-262-2-1. Lindsey 18 rush 95 yards, TD. Booker 9 rush 78 yards. Mahomes 24-34-303-4-1. Kareem Hunt 18 rush 50 yards and 36 rec & 1 TD. Watkins & Kelce 8 & 7 rec...combined 186 yards 3 TDs. 7 straight wins over Denver. Denver out-rushed KC 189-49. Denver 0-7 slide on div road. KC 19-1 SU run in divisional games.

PACKERS 27-29 RAMS: Gurley makes smart decision and sits at the 3 yard line to wrap-up the game. Rodgers 18-30-286-1 (13 TDs 1 INT season). Jones 12 rush 86 yards, 1 TD. Goff 19-35-295-3. Gurley 25 rush 114 yards...81 rec yards and a TD. Rams punted 1st 5 possessions...scored on 5 of the next 7. Aaron Donald 2 sacks...6 sacks last 2 games. Ty Montgomery fumbles kickoff return...game over.

SAINTS 30-20 VIKINGS: Vikings 423-270 yardage advantage...held the Saints to 270 yards...Vikes over 6 yards per play to 5 yards per play. Held Drew Brees to 120 passing yards 1 TD and 1 INT. But the PJ Williams pick-6 of a Case Keenum pass was the biggest difference in the game.

MNF: PATS 25-6 BILLS: Bills defense was terrific...but the offensive line was a disaster...and once again, a pick-6 was the difference, at least as far as the spread was concerned. Both offenses 6 yards per play. New England with a +2 turnover margin. Brady 29-45-324. Game featured zero offensive TDs.

Pick:	KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5.5
Start:	December 15, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

Scott Spreitzer Week 8 NFL Handicapping Notes

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