Monday Night Football Picks Week 6: Betting Predictions for Both Games
COVID-19 struck again in the National Football League, this time postponing the Denver/New England game that was scheduled for Week 5 and forcing the Bills and Titans to play on Tuesday in just the second ever Tuesday night football game. The ramifications of that Tuesday game are evident here as the Chiefs and Bills saw their Thursday night game pushed to Monday night, which means this coming week we have an NFL doubleheader. From a betting standpoint and a football fan’s point of view, the more football the better and a double-dip on Monday night certainly gets people fired up.
As for this week, the Chiefs travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills, who come into this game on extremely short rest having just played on Tuesday in Tennessee. If there is one team in the NFL that you don’t want to give extra prep/rest days to, it’s Andy Reid and the Chiefs. If this game was played under normal circumstances, I could make a case for the Bills. However, with the Chiefs rested and off a loss, Kansas City may be my top play of the week. And in the nightcap, the Cardinals travel to Big D to take on the Andy Dalton-led Cowboys. Both teams are coming off wins. However, it’s the Cardinals who are by far the healthier of the two teams, and one that still indeed has their starting QB under center.
Chiefs at Bills Betting Story Lines
This paragraph basically wrote itself with how many storylines there are to cover between both the Bills and Chiefs. For starters, the Bills are decimated on the defensive side of the ball. And coming off a short week, we don’t believe they’ll be healthy in time to deal with the plethora of options that the Chiefs bring to the table. The Bills got run off the field on Tuesday vs. the Titans. And with Josh Allen coming crashing back down to earth and looking like the Allen of the last two years, it’s hard to imagine the Bills doing enough to keep up with the Chiefs offensively. As for the Chiefs, they come into this game off a rare loss to Oakland, one in which they gave up 40 points at home. That can’t sit well with Andy Reid, and we expect them to be at their very best on Monday on defense. The offense still managed to put up 32 but never seemed to get it going full throttle. We expect that to change on Monday, and we expect a bounce-back game from Mahomes and Co. Oh, and we haven’t even mentioned that the Chiefs just signed Le’Veon Bell on a one-year deal. He won’t be available to play in Week 6, but he gives the Chiefs another dimension moving forward.
Chiefs at Bills Betting Odds and Trends
Almost every sportsbook is offering the Chiefs -3.5 (-110) with the total set at 57.5. On the moneyline, the Chiefs are between -190 to -200, while the Bills are between +165 to +175. If your feeling crazy, the alternate lines offer up plenty of value as the Chiefs on the alternate are -13.5 (+245), -9.5 (+162) or you can take the Bills by -2.5 for a big +190. payout. The Chiefs are 3-2 ATS after losing outright, as they did to Las Vegas as 11-point favorites. The Chiefs come into this game on a 6-0-1 ATS run on Monday Night, and a 9-2-1 ATS run against the AFC. The Bills are also 3-2 ATS after getting blown out by the Titans on Tuesday. They come into this game 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings vs the Chiefs.
Cardinals at Cowboys Betting Story Lines
By now I’m sure we’ve all heard and saw what happened to Dak Prescott last week against the Giants. Prescott suffered a gruesome ankle injury and has since undergone surgery and is now out for the remainder of the season and likely well into the offseason. So, where do the Cowboys go from here? Well, they have Andy Dalton starting for them now. And while it’s a drop-off from Prescott, Dalton is a serviceable quarterback that has the ability to produce given the chance. He certainly has the weapons to do, but the problem with the Cowboys lies with the defense, as they are among the league’s worst units. It’s one thing to ask Dalton to score 21-24 points and have your defense play well. But with the Cowboys defense, he may have to put up 30+ every game in order to keep his team in the game.
As for the Cardinals, they come into this game off a great win against the Jets. This was a game in which they dominated every facet of the game, and that should give them the momentum needed to string together some wins. They are certainly facing the right defense in order to keep the offensive output going, and I believe Murray and Hopkins are going to have a big day as a tandem throwing the ball downfield.
Cardinals at Cowboys Betting Odds and Trends
As for this Arizona vs. Dallas contest, every sportsbook is offering the Cardinals -2.5 (-110) with the total set at 54.5 or 55. On the moneyline, the Cardinals are between -120 to -125, while the Cowboys are between +100 to +105. If your feeling crazy, the alternate lines offer up plenty of value as the Cardinals on the alternate are -9.5 (+235) or you can take the Cowboys by -2.5 for a +135 payout. The Cardinals are 3-2 ATS after beating the lowly Jets last weekend. They also come into this game on an 8-2-2 ATS run in their last 12 road games and 4-1 ATS against the Cowboys in the last five meetings. The Cowboys are brutal 0-5 ATS despite beating the Giants in their last game. They come into this game 0-4 ATS in their last five vs the NFC but are 4-1 ATS in their last five on Monday night.
Monday Night Football Betting Predictions
As I mentioned above, if the Bills hosted the Chiefs under normal circumstances, meaning both teams had the same amount of rest, I’d be inclined to possibly take the Bills as primetime home underdogs. Since it’s 2020, that’s not the case. And with the extra rest/prep and the fact that the Chiefs come into this game off an embarrassing loss, I’ll gladly lay less than a touchdown with the best quarterback in the game right now. We saw how bad the Bills’ defense played against the Titans – a one-dimensional team. One can only imagine the ways Andy Reid will deploy his offense against a reeling Bills’ team.
As for the Cardinals/Cowboys game, this is going to be the ultimate Ewing Theory game. The Cowboys have every reason to fold up shop despite being 2-3 and atop the NFC East. However, they do have a veteran QB taking the reigns and an offense that has the weapons to be explosive. I don’t think that’s going to be enough in the short-term to propel them to victories. Arizona is a good team, one that can be just as explosive as the Cowboys and one with a better defense. The Cards should smell blood, and a win would push them closer to the Seahawks as they are on a bye.
Play: Kansas City -3.5 + Arizona -1.5
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