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Monday Night Football Predictions Week 10: Vikings at Bears

by Chris Vasile - 11/13/2020

Minnesota Vikings Quarterback Kirk Cousins

If anyone of you watched last Monday’s football game between the New England Patriots and New York Jets and are still baffled as to how the hell the Patriots won, you are not alone. Prior to the game, I wrote about 1,000 words talking about how the Patriots, specifically Bill Belichick may be better off “letting” the Jets win in order to do their part in trying to keep Trevor Lawrence (if he opts for the draft) out of the conference for the next decade. It was all going to plan until the Jets decided that they REALLY wanted to draft first overall. I mean, they ran four (yes, four) plays in the fourth quarter. One of them was an interception with six minutes left up 10 points, where they were trying to air it out for 50 yards. The next series was a three-and-out. And as they say, the rest is history. The Jets fall to 0-9 and continue to lead the tank race for their coveted franchise quarterback. For what it’s worth though, it was an entertaining game, much more than the highly anticipated Saints/Bucs debacle the night before. As for this week, we have a streaking Vikings team traveling to the Windy City to take on the reeling Bears.

Vikings at Bears Betting Story Lines

As I mentioned above, the Vikings roll into this game riding a two-game winning streak, and that’s in large part due to the return of Dalvin Cook at running back. In those two wins – wins over Green Bay and Detroit – Cook has amassed 369 yards rushing and five touchdowns while catching four passes for 109 yards and a score. He single-handily was responsible for all 28 points the Vikings scored in beating the Packers 28-22 and followed that up by torching the Lions. This week, Cook goes up against the 14th-ranked rush defense, and we expect another heavy dose of the third-year back out of Florida State. Another reason for the resurgence, that piggybacks off the production of Cook, is the play of Kirk Cousins. When the Vikings are running the ball with great effectiveness, Cousins isn’t asked to try and win football games. Over the last two wins, he’s thrown for 380 yards on just 34 pass attempts. In today’s football, 34 pass attempts usually get you to about midway through the fourth quarter. Cousins isn’t turning the ball over. And if he can continue to manage the game and make the throws required of him, the Vikings may be able to string together enough wins to make a late-season push for a wild-card spot.

As for the Bears, they are reeling and need to find a way to stop the bleeding before it gets out of hand. The Bears have lost three straight games, and the offense hasn’t scored more than 24 points in any of those games. Hell, the offense hasn’t scored more than 23 points since Week 3 when they beat Atlanta 30-26. The defense hasn’t been any better, giving up 24+ points during their three-game losing streak. And if the defense can’t stop anyone and the offense can’t score, that’s a recipe for disaster. What’s more surprising is that the Bears are just one game back of a wild-card spot and 1.5 games back of the Packers for top spot in the NFC North. With a little luck and a bit of a run down the stretch, the Bears could find themselves as only the second-worst division winners in football (next to whoever wins the NFC East).

Vikings at Bears Betting Odds and Trends

Depending on where you look, sportsbooks are offering the at Vikings -2.5 or -3 (-110) with the total set at 43. On the moneyline, the Vikings are between -140 to -150, while the Bears are between +130 to +140. The Vikings are 5-3 ATS after beating the Lions last week as small home favorites. They come into this game on an 8-3 ATS run in November and 5-2 ATS in the last seven as games as a road favorite. The Bears are 5-4 ATS but have failed to cover in two of their last three games. They come into this game 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games while hosting the Vikings. 

Vikings at Bears Betting Predictions

It’s been a weird season so far for these two teams. They come into this game trending in opposite directions, and I believe this game means more to the Bears than it does the Vikings. However, the offensive woes of the Bears is worrisome. In today’s NFL, you need to be able to score points in order to win. You won’t see very many 14-10 or 10-7 football games. With that said, I think the Vikings are the play at -2.5. They can control the time of possession by running Cook all game, and they have the better QB and wide receivers to make plays in the passing game when needed. I’ll take the Vikings in this one as we look to extend our own streak to two in a row.

Play: Vikings -2.5. 

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