NFL Office Pool Picks Week 14 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
There are just five weeks left in the NFL regular season, and the playoff picture is starting to take shape. Some teams are fighting for the No. 1 seed in both conferences, and some are just fighting to get into the dance via the wild card route. At the bottom of the standings, it’s the Lions who lead the way in the race for the No. 1 overall draft pick in next year’s draft, but they better not get too hot or else they could throw that pick away to the Jags or Texans. It’s imperative to understand motivation and what a team is playing for at this late stage in the season when making your selections.
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Week 14 Picks Against the Spread
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over Minnesota Vikings: I’m not entirely sure how the Steelers are above .500 this season, but here we are. They have a very winnable game on Thursday as they take on a Vikings team that is all but done as they come off a brutal loss to the previously winless Lions. I don’t think anyone should be a “favorite” in this game, but I think the Steelers’ defense will be the difference in this one.
Cleveland Browns -2.5 over Baltimore Ravens: Speaking of overrated teams: somehow the Ravens lost to the Steelers, but only just. Now they are heading to the Dawg Pound to take on a Cleveland team that has been stewing since a Week 12 loss to these very Ravens. I’ll play the revenge factor in this one.
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 over Washington Football Team: It wasn’t pretty, but the Football Team pulled out a last-second win over the Raiders and now travel home for a division showdown with the Cowboys. The Cowboys have had extra rest/prep, and I like them in this spot to get another key win.
Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 over Las Vegas Raiders: The Raiders’ defense is Swiss Cheese. I see Mahomes and Co. putting up 30+ points in a very easy win. The Chiefs are sniffing around the No. 1 seed in the AFC, and a win here would inch them closer.
Houston Texans +8 over Seattle Seahawks: I understand I’m backing a team that was just shut out in its latest game, but there is only one way to go from there, and that is up. The Seahawks should not be eight-point favorites over anyone, especially on the road.
Tennessee Titans -9.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars: I know it’s a tough ask for the Titans to win this game by double digits given how bad they’ve looked since Derrick Henry went down. However, the Jags are awful, and I see this as a game where the Titans take out some pent-up anger and aggression and the offense puts up a 30-point effort.
New Orleans Saints -5 over New York Jets: Both teams are not very good this year, but we’ll give the edge to the Saints, who have extra rest/prep time and as they have Taysom Hill running the ball from under center (posing as a QB).
Detroit Lions +8 over Denver Broncos: I was all over the Lions last week on the spread and had a nice little sprinkle on them on the moneyline. I’m going back to the well here with the spread because the Broncos should not be a -8 point favorites over anyone. I think the Broncos will win, but it’ll be a field goal game.
New York Giants +10.5 over Los Angeles Chargers: This is a tough spot for the Chargers to win by double digits. They played a physical Bengals team last week and now return home and will likely be without Keenan Allen, who is on the COVID list. The Giants should find a way to sneak in the backdoor for the cover.
Cincinnati Bengals -1 over San Francisco 49ers: These two teams simply cannot be trusted. Just when you think they are starting to turn the corner and are about to make a push, they lose very winnable games. I’ll side with the home team in this one as I don’t see the Niners traveling well for a late start.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 over Buffalo Bills: The Bills had trouble running the football against the Patriots. Now they take on the No. 1 ranked run defense, and It will be on Josh Allen to move the ball through the air. If there is one team you don’t want to get into a track meet with. it’s the Bucs. as they have way too many weapons to cover. I’ll take the home side at a field goal.
Green Bay Packers -12.5 over Chicago Bears: The Packers are off a bye, and I see them pumping the Bears here. The Bears somehow managed 22 points against the Cardinals, but I see them returning to the norm and 16.6 points per game. The Packers should have no issues putting up 30+ points, barring any sort of inclement weather.
Los Angeles Rams +3 over Arizona Cardinals: I’ll take the dog in this one. Both teams are off of good wins, but the Rams need this one a tad more than the Cardinals. I like the Rams’ defense more, and I think Stafford offers more stability than Murray does when the going gets tough.