NFL Office Pool Picks Week 17 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
While Week 16 didn’t offer much by way of excitement, it was a relatively even week for both favorite and underdog bettors as the slate was split 8-8 ATS over the three days of action. On the season, underdogs hold a slight edge (124-111-3) and road underdogs are to thank for that record as they have 79 of those wins and only 61 losses (2 pushes). This week, there are a ton of huge spreads and spreads that are still up in the air because of COVID issues. Whatever side you are on, best of luck!
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Week 17 Picks Against the Spread
Miami Dolphins +3 over Tennessee Titans: I think it would be silly to bet against the hottest team in the NFL right now. The Dolphins are rolling and playing some good football on both sides of the ball. The Titans are still spinning their wheels despite a huge win on Thursday night. Give me the points.
Buffalo Bills -14.5 over Atlanta Falcons: The Bills tend to blow out bad teams at home. The Falcons are a bad football team. I don’t think we need to overthink this one too much. Besides, the Bills are playing for the division title. They’ll be ready and focused.
New England Patriots -15.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars: Can the Patriots blow out the Jags? Yup, I think so. They have an elite defense, and the Jags offer very little fight on both sides of the football. Patriots win by 21.
Indianapolis Colts -2.5 over Las Vegas Raiders: News broke while I was writing this that Carson Wentz was placed on the COVID list. If he can’t go, the line will hover around -2.5 or maybe even flip the way of the Raiders. Either way, the Colts’ defense is plenty good enough to win this game on their own.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13 over New York Jets: I don’t think on the Jets’ best day they would be able to beat the Bucs. I’m banking on Tom Brady to put a stomping to the Jets like he usually does and for the Bucs to cover this spread with relative ease.
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 over Baltimore Ravens: The biggest question all week will surround the health of Lamar Jackson. Regardless of if he plays or not, the Rams are the better team, and I like them to win this game and win it by at least a touchdown.
Philadelphia Eagles -4 over Washington Football team: It should have been a telling sign that the Football Team was throwing in the towel when they willingly flew in their own benches to Dallas for an indoor game. They wanted to have a great view of the ass-kicking they would go on to receive. Philly isn’t great by any stretch but will do enough here to get the cover.
New York Giants +6 over Chicago Bears: The Bears should not be six-point favorites over anyone. They have a feeble offense, and the defense is getting shredded on a weekly basis. The Giants stink as well, but I have this one chalked up as a three-point ball game either way.
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cincinnati Bengals: Unless the Chiefs decided to sit everyone (which won’t happen), they are going to shred the Bengals’ defense. They put up 30 last week without Travis Kelce. And with him expected back in the lineup, I see another similar output.
Los Angeles Chargers -5.5 over Denver Broncos: The Chargers were terrible in every aspect last week against the Texans, but they still control their own destiny in the hunt for a wild card spot. They just need to win out, and I see that happening with the Broncos and Raiders on deck.
San Francisco 49ers -12.5 over Houston Texans: I very highly doubt the Texans will spring a massive upset like they did this week, and I’m expecting a bounce-back game from Jimmy Garoppolo in this contest after he was the reason the Niners lost to Tennessee. AT home, the Niners should roll.
Dallas Cowboys -5.5 over Arizona Cardinals: The Cowboys are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. They have an explosive offense, and the defense can play above average when they need to. The Cardinals have major issues, and I don’t trust them on the road right now. Cowboys by 10+.
Detroit Lions +6.5 over Seattle Seahawks: Two teams going nowhere fast. The Seahawks just lost to the Bears, while the Lions were using a third-string QB. If Goff clears COVID protocols and starts, Lions will stay within this number. I’m banking on him being in the lineup.
Carolina Panthers +7.5 over New Orleans Saints: I don’t care who is under center for the Saints. They should not be a favorite of over a touchdown to anyone, not even the Panthers. The Panthers have a bit of talent on their roster. And with the Saints throwing in the towel, I can see the Panthers keeping it close.
Green Bay Packers -6.5 over Minnesota Vikings: Aaron Rodgers. Lambeau Field. Primetime. There are way too many trends to fit into this blurb that back up the play, but just trust me on this one.
Cleveland Browns -3 over Pittsburgh Steelers: After watching the Steelers get blown out by the Chiefs last week, I would be comfortably laying at least a touchdown with the Browns in this one. The Browns will be able to run the ball and keep the feeble Steelers’ offense at bay. Give me the Browns at this short price.
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