NFL Office Pool Picks Week 5 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
And then you wonder why football is the hardest sport to beat long term.
You have a great Week 3, and then you go ahead and go 8-8 in Week 3 and give all the profit back to the books. Teams that should have covered (Saints and Falcons) squandered away great opportunities to help me hit another winning week. And as the saying goes, “c’est la vie.” We move onwards and upwards into Week 5 of the National Football League. And, as always, the goal is to win your weekly Office Pool and turn a profit.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Week 5 Picks Against the Spread
Seattle Seahawks +2.5 over Los Angeles Rams: I know it’s early in the season, but Seattle as a dog is always more enticing than them as a favorite. For whatever reason, they just play better when their backs are against the wall. And with the Rams being exposed last week, we like the points in this short week division showdown.
New England Patriots -9 over Houston Texans: I know that the Patriots’ offense isn’t built to blow teams out, but the Texans stink. And if the Patriots hold the Texans to 14 or less, they should be able to score 24 points to win this game and cover.
Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 over Carolina Panthers: I thought the Eagles played well despite giving up 42 to the Chiefs in a 12-point loss. I think they can take the Panthers on grass as they are used to the surface. Carolina’s defense was brutal against the Cowboys. And without McCaffrey, the team looks lost on offense.
Tennessee Titans -4 over Jacksonville Jaguars: This is a bounce-back game for the Titans after no-showing vs the Jets. The Jags have too many distractions around them right now, and we see Tennessee putting up 30+ in a win and cover.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10 over Miami Dolphins: The Bucs did just enough to get out of New England with a win, but we see a breakthrough offensively for this team against a weak Dolphins’ defense. Remember, the Fins are still starting Jacoby Brissett, and he’s not the answer at QB.
Minnesota Vikings -7.5 over Detroit Lions: After putting up just seven points last week vs the Browns, the Vikings get a “get right” game against the Lions. Look for Cook, Thielen and Jefferson to dominate and for Kirk Cousins to have a big game.
Green Bay Packers -3 over Cincinnati Bengals: I’ll take Aaron Rodgers any day of the week as a field goal favorite or less. That’s the case here, and the Bengals simply won’t have an answer for the Packers’ offense.
New York Jets +3 over Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons found every which way possible to lose last week vs the Football Team. We don’t believe they’ll have the “oomph” to bounce back against the lowly Jets. Speaking of the Jets, they were full marks for their win vs the Titans, and we see some momentum carrying over into this one.
New Orleans Saints -2 over Washington Football Team: Speaking of momentum, Washington should have a bunch after a come-from-behind win against the Falcons, while the Saints blew a big lead to lose in OT vs the Giants. However, I still trust the Saints more as they have the better coach and playmakers.
Denver Broncos +1 over Pittsburgh Steelers: I don’t really care who the Steelers are playing. I am fading them every step of the way. The offense is brutal, and the defense is a shell of what it’s been over the last handful of seasons. Denver wins outright.
Dallas Cowboys -7 over New York Giants: I hate to say it, but I really think the Dallas Cowboys are one of the best teams in the NFC this season. They have a good QB, a solid running game and very talented receivers. I think they run wild against a poor Giants team that got lucky to beat the Saints.
Arizona Cardinals -5.5 over San Francisco 49ers: If you thought the Cardinals would be the only remaining unbeaten team through four weeks, I want whatever it is you use as a lucky charm. The Cards have played well all four weeks and made a statement last week by beating the Rams. The Niners continue to be overrated and overvalued, and I see another Cardinals rout incoming.
Los Angeles Chargers -1.5 over Cleveland Browns: I like what the Chargers have done through four games. They are playing aggressive football, and I believe they have the coaching and defense advantage in this one. I think they win this game and make yet another statement.
Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 over Chicago Bears: The Raiders were a no-show for the first half of Monday’s game against the Chargers. They got going a bit late, but it was too little. They should be able to beat a Bears team that just isn’t very good and that is starting a rookie quarterback.
Buffalo Bills +2.5 over Kansas City Chiefs: I’ll take the team with the better defense. The Bills’ defense has been amazing over the last three games, while the Chiefs are giving up a ton of points. This is a very meaningful game for the Bills as this is an AFC title game rematch, and beating the Chiefs here will give them a mental boost once the playoffs roll around.
Baltimore Ravens -7 over Indianapolis Colts: Perhaps the best bet of Week 4 was getting the Ravens as an underdog against the Broncos. They won by 16 points, and it was never really close. Now they get to face a bad Colts team, and I expect a dominant performance from start to finish in front of their home crowd on Monday night.
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