NFL Office Pool Picks Week 10 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
It was a hectic Week 9 in the NFL. While favorites may have gone 9-4 outright, they were just 3-8-2 against the spread, with some surprising results being shown. The most notable upset was the Jets over the Bills, as Buffalo entered the matchup as 12.5-point favorites. Despite this, New York secured a 20-17 victory. Heading into Week 10, about half of the teams across the league have enjoyed their bye week already. The Ravens, Bengals, Patriots, and Jets will each take their turn in resting this week. Here is an early look at the slate of games and what to expect from each matchup.
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Thursday Night: Atlanta Falcons (-3) over Carolina Panthers
The 4-5 Falcons will travel to Carolina to face off with the 2-7 Panthers, with both teams coming off a loss. These two teams squared off less than two weeks ago, as Atlanta picked up a 37-34 overtime win over Carolina on October 30 despite PJ Walker’s late heroics. Cordarrelle Patterson is set to make his return to the lineup, which will boost Atlanta’s running game. The Falcons are also 8-2 straight up in their last 10 games against the Panthers and have not lost in Carolina in their last four matchups. Expect them to do some damage against the fourth-worst scoring defense in the league and for the Falcons to cruise to a convincing victory. Atlanta 31, Carolina 17.
Sunday Morning: Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This Sunday morning matchup is set to square off in Munich, Germany. Seattle is one of the hottest teams in the NFL with a 6-3 record and riding a four-game winning streak. The Buccaneers picked up a much needed 16-13 win over the Rams to get back to 4-5 on the season on a throwback Tom Brady game-winning drive. While Tom Brady is 3-0 all-time in international games, the overall performance last week was still not convincing enough that they are on the right track. Look for Geno Smith to add another notable bullet point on his resume this season and lead the fourth-ranked scoring offense to another victory. Seahawks 27, Buccaneers 23.
Buffalo Bills (-5.5) over Minnesota Vikings
This game has lost some of its allure following the Bills’ loss to the Jets last week. Josh Allen also picked up an elbow injury in the loss, which is a storyline to monitor leading up to this matchup. The team appears optimistic he will be able to play, but it would change their offense in a major way if Case Keenum is forced to start. The 7-1 Vikings are no joke and coming off a matchup in which they took down the Commanders and Kirk Cousins went viral for his shirtless antics on the plane. Assuming Allen can play, look for the Bills to have a bounce back game and make a statement in the matchup. Allen played one of the worst games of his career in the previous game, and it was the root of the Bills’ issues. He has shown the mental fortitude to bounce back in the past, and expect this to be the case. Buffalo 28, Minnesota 20.
Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions
The 2-6 Lions will travel to Chicago to face the 3-6 Bears for an NFC North showdown. The Lions are coming off a thrilling 15-9 win over the Packers in which their defense shut down Aaron Rodgers and caused him to throw three interceptions. In contrast, the Bears were unable to get just about any defensive stops against the Dolphins and were narrowly defeated by a score of 35-32. The biggest storyline has been Justin Fields, who continues to take strides forward in his development and is coming off a ridiculous 178-yard rushing performance. Expect Fields to be the difference in this matchup, and the Bears’ offense has been clicking of late. They have scored at least 29 points in their last three matchups, and the Lions defense ranks last in the NFL by allowing 29.3 points per game. Bears 38, Lions 27.
Tennessee Titans (-3) over Denver Broncos
The 3-5 Broncos are traveling to Tennessee to face the 5-3 Titans but with more life than they had early in the season. The Broncos defense ranks 2nd in the NFL in scoring by giving up just 16.5 points per game, but this will be put to the test against the hard-nosed rushing attack of the Titans. While Tennessee ranks last in the NFL in yards per game at 278.5, they averaged 142.3 of these yards in the rush attack. Denver ranks 21st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed at 122.6. The matchup likely will be won or lost in the trenches, and the advantage points toward the Titans. Expect Tennessee to pull this one out in what will be an old-fashioned grind it out game. Titans 17, Broncos 10.
Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars
The 6-2 Chiefs will welcome the 3-6 Jaguars to Arrowhead Stadium, with both teams coming off a win. Kansas City is leading the NFL in scoring this year at 30.4 points per game and also tops the rankings in overall passing yards. It has been an up-and-down season for the Jaguars, who came back from being down 17-0 against the Raiders to pick up the 27-20 win. While it was an impressive effort, they cannot afford to have this kind of slow start against the Chiefs. The Jaguars are averaging just 22.1 points per game, although the defense has impressed by holding teams to an average of 19.8 points per contest. Expect the Chiefs high-powered offense to be the difference in this one. While it may stay close for an extended period, count on Patrick Mahomes to blow the game open at some point. Chiefs 31, Jaguars 17.
Miami Dolphins (-3.5) over Cleveland Browns
The Browns will be coming off their bye week and hold a record of 3-5 coming into this matchup. They most recently put a stop to their four-game losing streak during the Week 8 Monday Night victory over the Bengals. The Dolphins are riding the momentum of a 35-32 shootout over the Bears and hold a 6-3 record on the season. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas, as there is a three-way tie in the AFC East with the Bills and Jets sharing the 6-3 record. The Dolphins are 9-1 straight up in their last 10 home games, while the Browns are 1-7 straight up in their last eight road games. Count on the offensive firepower of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill to be too much for the Browns secondary and for Miami to pick up another win. They rank second in the NFL in yards per play and are first in this category over the past three weeks. Dolphins 31, Browns 20.
New York Giants (-6.5) over Houston Texans
It may be time to start believing the New York Giants are legitimate. They will be coming off their bye week with a record of 6-2, and the franchise has won their last four matchups with the Texans. Houston is currently on a three-game losing skid and holds a 1-6-1 record overall. They rank 28th in the NFL in points scored and 29th in yards. Their defense is also ranked 30th in yards allowed and last in rushing yards allowed. This is not good news against a team’s whose primary weapon is Saquon Barkley. Expect the Giants to feed the Penn State product and remain in the mix to win the NFC East with a victory. New York 27, Houston 13.
New Orleans Saints (-2.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers
The 2-6 Steelers will face off with the 3-6 Saints at home this week. New Orleans most recently lost on Monday night at the hands of the Ravens. They will face off with the Steelers, who are averaging 299 yards per game, which ranks 28th in the NFL. Pittsburgh also ranks 31st in scoring, 29th in passing touchdowns, and 27th in rushing touchdowns. Expect this to be an ugly game but for Kenny Pickett and the Steelers to ultimately not have enough firepower. The Saints have underperformed but this is a great chance to get in the win column. Don’t expect it to be pretty, but count on New Orleans to pick up a win by a touchdown or more.
Las Vegas Raiders (-6.5) over Indianapolis Colts
Each of these teams have disappointed this season by major margins. The Colts had enough of their frustrating start and fired Frank Reich this week following their 3-5-1 start. They will now lean on former Colts standout Jeff Saturday to attempt to right the ship despite the fact he has never coached above the high school level. This should not fully excuse the Raiders failures as Las Vegas comes into the matchup 2-6 and most recently blew a 17-point lead to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Regardless, expect the state of disarray within the Colts organization to be too much for them to win. They will be rolling out a new coaching staff, new play caller, and have shown little signs of life on offense so far this season. Raiders 27, Colts 17.
Dallas Cowboys (-5) over Green Bay Packers
The 6-2 Cowboys will travel to Lambeau Field to face the 3-6 Packers this week. Green Bay has now lost five straight games, with the most recent loss at the hands of the Lions by a score of 15-9. Aaron Rodgers has struggled in a major way, with the Packers offense ranking 27th in scoring overall. He also threw three interceptions in the previous matchup. There have been very few signs of life for the franchise, and they are set to square off with the Cowboys coming off their bye week. Dallas has the third-best scoring defense and allows the 10th fewest yards per game. It is time to stop waiting for the Rodgers magic to kick in and accept this Packers team may just not have enough talent. Cowboys 34, Packers 20.
Arizona Cardinals (+3) over Los Angeles Rams
This will be the second matchup of the season between the Rams and Cardinals. Los Angeles managed to pick up a 20-12 victory in Week 3, which meant the Rams have now come out on top in 11 of the past 12 matchups. Nine of these 11 victories have been by 10 points or more. Neither team will be fully satisfied with their performance this year as the Cardinals hold a record of 3-6, while the Rams are 3-5. The Cardinals have gotten a boost from the return of DeAndre Hopkins, who has already raked up 26 receptions for 298 yards in his three games back. Expect the Cardinals offense to be the difference in this one and for the Rams to struggle to keep up. They have ranked 29th in the NFL in scoring and 31st in yards so far this year. Arizona 30, Los Angeles 21.
Sunday Night: San Francisco 49ers (-7) over Los Angeles Chargers
The 4-4 49ers enter the matchup as significant favorites over the 5-3 Chargers. The addition of Christian McCaffrey has taken San Francisco to another level., which is a huge deal considering their defense ranks 1st in the NFL in yards allowed and 6th in points. The Chargers are coming off a 20-17 victory over the Falcons. Despite the new additions in the offseason, Los Angeles has struggled defensively and ranks 30th in points allowed and 21st in yardage. The 49ers will be looking to put forth a convincing victory as they look to establish themselves as true contenders… and they have a primetime opportunity to do just this. 49ers 27, Chargers 17.
Monday Night: Philadelphia Eagles (-11) over Washington Commanders
The 8-0 Philadelphia Eagles continue to look unstoppable. They had likely their worst performance of the year on Thursday night against the Texans but still managed to secure a 29-17 victory. The Commanders come in with a record of 4-5 and come off a narrow loss to the Vikings by a score of 20-17. Injecting Taylor Heinicke into the starting lineup has provided the team with some life, and the QB did all he could to keep them in the game against Minnesota. Regardless, the Eagles are too talented on both sides of the ball. With the home crowd behind them, and on primetime TV, expect Philadelphia to take care of business. Eagles 35, Commanders 20.
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