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2025 Cleveland Browns Season Win Total Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 8/6/2025

Cleveland Browns season win total picks Joe Flacco

Someone must be The Worst Team In The NFL.

For 2025 it might as well be the Cleveland Browns. It’s certainly a position they are used to.

Cleveland has finished with a losing record in 15 of the last 17 NFL seasons. They went 3-14 last season and they enter 2025 with more questions than answers at several key positions, including quarterback.

As bad as all that sounds, it’s actually worse.

Not only have the Browns been below .500 in 15 of 17 years, but they are a jaw-dropping 3-14 against their Las Vegas season win total during that stretch. Cleveland is also just 39-60-1 against the spread in its last 100 games.

So even though they have the same level of expectations as the East Timor men’s basketball team trying to win an Olympic gold medal, the Cleveland Browns STILL manage to consistently underperform against absurdly low expectations.

These guys just never seem to hit rock bottom.

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CLEVELAND BROWNS 2025 OFFENSE

The primary reason that I have Cleveland as the worst team in the NFL is their comical quarterback situation.

Joe Flacco sucks. The guy is shot. He was shot six years ago. Since he left Baltimore in 2019, Flacco is 9-19 as a starting quarterback with 45 touchdowns, 26 interceptions and 28 fumbles. His ‘amazing’ 2023, when he came off the couch, started six games, and somehow won Comeback Player of the Year, was a complete and total fluke and I would put the over/under on the number of starts this dude makes this season at 4.5 games.

The other options aren’t any better. Kenny Pickett is trash. And Dillon Gabriel and Shadeur Sanders, regardless of their potential, are rookies. None of those guys are going to fix anything.

That is do say nothing of all-time scumbag Deshaun Watson, whose signing was the worst free agent deal in NFL history. Watson is still recovering from a torn Achilles but could be in the mix as early as October. What is his presence in the locker room going to be like?

Cleveland should still be able to run the ball and I think that Kevin Stefanski is a very good offensive coach. But even he can’t overcome the black hole that is currently the Browns quarterback situation.

Last year the Browns’ 19.8 offensive yards per point was by far the lowest in the NFL and one of the worst marks in the decade. They were at 14.7 the year prior, allowing for a Top 10 scoring offense. And if they can rein in their -22 turnover differential they should at least be able to put some points on the board while they are getting blown out.

CLEVELAND BROWNS 2025 DEFENSE

The Browns had the No. 1 defense in football just two years ago. Then the wheels fell off and they dropped to No. 19 in total defense and No. 28 in points allowed last fall.

Part of that is just the boom-or-bust nature of defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz’s blitz-crazy system. In his career, Schwartz has led seven defenses that were in the Top 10 in the NFL in either total defense or points allowed. He has also fielded nine defenses that were in the bottom 10 in one or both categories.

Of course, Cleveland’s defense could also use just a smidgen of help from the offense.

Myles Garrett is a future Hall of Famer and there is talent and experience in the secondary. The Browns may end up starting two rookies, though, and if they get hit by the injury bug for a second straight season their lack of depth will become a problem.

CLEVELAND BROWNS 2025 SCHEDULE

Sun, Sep 7        vs Cincinnati Bengals              1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 14     @ Baltimore Ravens                1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 21     vs Green Bay Packers              1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 28     @ Detroit Lions                         1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 5        vs Minnesota (London)          9:30 a.m.

Sun, Oct 12      @ Pittsburgh Steelers             1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 19      vs Miami Dolphins                    1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 26      @ New England Patriots        1:00 p.m.

Week 10           BYE

Sun, Nov 9       @ New York Jets                        1:00 p.m.

Sun, Nov 16     vs Baltimore Ravens                4:25 p.m.

Sun, Nov 23     @ Las Vegas Raiders               4:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 30     vs San Francisco 49ers           1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 7        vs Tennessee Titans                 1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 14     @ Chicago Bears                       1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 21     vs Buffalo Bills                           1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 28     vs Pittsburgh Steelers             1:00 p.m.

Sun, Jan 4/5    @ Cincinnati Bengals              TBD

CLEVELAND BROWNS 2025 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS

All my metrics point to an improved Browns team in 2025. Their offensive and defensive yards per point are both in high regression ranges. As is their turnover differential.

But the Browns don’t get the benefit of the doubt.

They were outscored by 10.7 points per game last year so they have a ton of ground to make up. If this season starts to go sideways again then it may be more about developing young players and building for the future than trying to be competitive, which the Browns so rarely are.

There is also the consideration that Cleveland, with two first round picks in next year’s draft, will go into full-blown tank mode for Arch Manning.

Regardless, it’s Cleveland. Always bet ‘under’.

Robert Ferringo has posted seven of 10 winning football seasons, including last year thanks to an astounding +10,830 three-month run. Robert banked nearly +40,000 in profit between 2010-2019 for a 10-year average profit of nearly +4,000. He has earned 11 of 16 overall winning years and 69 of 114 winning months while also going 23-9 with his football futures rated 5.0+ and earning 16 of 19 winning Super Bowls. He is a member of the Football Writers Association of America and he is set for another amazing football season. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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