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2025 Las Vegas Raiders Season Win Total Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 8/6/2025

Las Vegas Raiders predictions Geno Smith

Las Vegas is a place where hope gets STDs and dies of a meth overdose.

The Raiders spent the offseason adding glitz and glam. They paid top dollar to haul in names that look good on the marquee. Pete Carroll! Chip Kelly! Ashton Jeanty!

The idea is to get their fledgling Vegas fan base excited. And the Raiders franchise is doing so in the most Vegas way possible. Instead of adding brick-and-mortar pieces to build a foundation that could lead this organization out of the AFC West basement they have spent the offseason adding retreads and transients who won’t be here in five years.

It's all just vintage Vegas.

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Here is a closer look at the 2025 Las Vegas Raiders:

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 2025 OFFENSE

Absolutely nothing worked for this unit last year. That shouldn’t be a surprise considering that Luke Getsy, who was laughed out of Chicago after two inept years, was the Raiders offensive coordinator.

Getsy’s guys finished 29th in scoring, No. 27 in yardage, and with a 16.7 offensive yards per point. Those numbers don’t fully explain how brutal this group was to watch.

Kelly’s last attempt as an NFL offensive coordinator was a dumpster fire. His 2016 offense in San Francisco was No. 31 in the league in total yards. Perhaps this old dog learned some new tricks during his forays through the college ranks over the past decade. And we’ll see if his scheme can ignite something for a franchise that hasn’t fielded a Top 10 unit since their first season in Sin City (2020).

Geno Smith had a career resurgence in Seattle and should be expected to produce his usual brand of mid-tier NFL quarterbacking. Smith completed over 70 percent of his passes in Seattle last season. But he did throw 15 interceptions and his decision making was shaky at best.

Brock Bowers is an animal and Jeanty is expected to produce immediately. They, and Smith for that matter, will only be as good as Las Vegas’ makeshift offensive line. The Raiders were dead last in the NFL in rushing offense last year (79.8 yards per game). Between Kelly’s scheme and line improvements this team has to figure out how to move the ball on the ground.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 2025 DEFENSE

The Raiders have Maxx Crosby.

That’s really been the only positive thing that you could say about this group over the last two decades. Over the last 18 years the Raiders have fielded one – ONE! – Top 10 group on defense. And that was the No. 9 scoring defense they had in 2023. Besides that, they have been ranked No. 20 or worse in scoring defense in 17 of 18 seasons and No. 20 or worse in total defense in 12 of 18 seasons.

“Not great, Bob.”

Defensive coordinator Patrick Graham is not the answer. He was somehow retained despite the coaching change. The Raiders are hoping that a flood of new blood – they should have six new defensive starters – will help Graham find mediocrity, which is his ceiling.

Keep an eye on journeymen Jeremy Chinn, who is someone I have always really liked, and Devin White. The Raiders could also use a third-year bump from 2023 first rounder Tyree Wilson. If those three play well this group might have an outside chance of cracking the Top 20.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 2025 SCHEDULE

Sun, Sep 7        @ New England Patriots        1:00 p.m.

Mon, Sep 15    vs Los Angeles Chargers        10:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 21     @ Washington                           1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 28     vs Chicago Bears                       4:25 p.m.

Sun, Oct 5        @ Indianapolis Colts               1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 12      vs Tennessee Titans                4:05 p.m.

Sun, Oct 19      @ Kansas City Chiefs               1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 26      BYE

Sun, Nov 2       vs Jacksonville Jaguars           1:05 p.m.

Thu, Nov 6       @ Denver Broncos                   8:15 p.m.

Mon, Nov 17   vs Dallas Cowboys                   8:15 p.m.

Sun, Nov 23     vs Cleveland Browns               1:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 30     @ Los Angeles Chargers        1:25 p.m.

Sun, Dec 7        vs Denver Broncos                   1:05 p.m.

Sun, Dec 14     @ Philadelphia Eagles            10:00 a.m.

Sun, Dec 21     @ Houston Texans                   1:25 p.m.

Week 17           vs New York Giants                 TBD

Week 18           vs Kansas City Chiefs               TBD

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 2025 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS

There are some bona fide reasons for confidence and positivity in the desert. However, the Raiders are another loser organization that doesn’t deserve the benefit of the doubt.

Carroll and Smith significantly raise the floor of this team. Carroll has only had four losing seasons in his 18-year NFL coaching career and has just one season with fewer than seven wins. Smith has posted three straight winning records as a starter.

The Raiders were crushed by injuries last year. Their offensive and defensive YPP were both in positive regression range. Their -1.3 Pythagorean wins expectation suggest that this team was more competitive than it seemed.

No, it doesn’t help that Vegas is in the second-toughest division in football. Yet this team has beaten their win total in four of the last six years. Their 7.5 total is still a little higher than I feel comfortable playing, though. Especially with a schedule that sees them eating a -19 rest disadvantage.

My best advice is to treat this team like the $10 Fremont Street hooker that they are and just stay away.

Robert Ferringo has posted seven of 10 winning football seasons, including last year thanks to an astounding +10,830 three-month run. Robert banked nearly +40,000 in profit between 2010-2019 for a 10-year average profit of nearly +4,000. He has earned 11 of 16 overall winning years and 69 of 114 winning months while also going 23-9 with his football futures rated 5.0+ and earning 16 of 19 winning Super Bowls. He is a member of the Football Writers Association of America and he is set for another amazing football season. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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