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2025 New Orleans Saints Season Win Total Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 8/6/2025

New Orleans Saints predictions Chris Olave

No team in the league has been a bigger underachiever over the last three years than the New Orleans Saints.

Last year the Saints opened 2-0, outscoring the Panthers and Cowboys by a combined 91-29, before a crippling swarm of injuries gutted their roster and led to a 3-12 close to the campaign.

Looking back at the numbers, the Saints fell two wins short of their Pythagorean wins expectation, meaning they had the statistics of a team two wins better than they were. That marked the third straight season that New Orleans came up at least one win short of what their wins expectation and they have fallen nearly five combined wins below their expected mark over the past three years.

Not coincidentally, New Orleans has come up ‘under’ their Vegas season win total for four straight years. And not with small misses, either, lagging at least three games below their Vegas win total in two of the last three years.

Dennis Allen was strapped to the guillotine after three sullen years. And his departure opened the door for rookie head coach Kellen Moore.

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Here is a closer look at the 2025 New Orleans Saints:

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 2025 OFFENSE

The Saints were 5-4 with Derek Carr last year and 0-8 without him. There is no secret where the focus is heading into 2025.

Unfortunately, Tyler Shough (LOL), Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler make up the worst group of quarterbacks in the NFL. Yes, even worse than whatever the hell is going on in Cleveland. This trio is awful. Just awful. There is no hope for anyone in this group and this group is why the Saints are near the bottom of the barrel in my NFL power rankings.

Beyond that, if you squint your eyes and tilt your head you can kind of, sort of, see the foundation for a decent attack here.

If Chris Olave gets his bell rung one more time his career may be over. But while he is on the field he is a Pro Bowl-caliber target. Brandon Cooks and Alvin Kamara both may have a little bit left in the tank. Rashid Shaheed and Juwan Johnson have shown signs of ascending talent.

The Saints also have four former first round draft picks and a second rounder starting on the offensive line. They should at least be adequate there.

Throw in the fact that Moore has had a lot of success guiding offenses in Dallas and Philadelphia and this is a group that could be better than the one that averaged a pathetic 16.5 points per game over their final 15 outings last year.

Well, if they had a quarterback, that is.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 2025 DEFENSE

I am wondering if it is a red flag that veteran safety Tyrann Mathieu decided to retire rather than play in his 13th season. Maybe he took one look at this squad and was like, “Nope.”

Even without Honey Badger, the Saints defense isn’t wanting for veteran leaders. Cameron Jordan and Demario Davis are both 36 years old and with multiple All-Pro seasons to their names. New defensive coordinator Brandon Staley will need to lean on that pair.

The Saints posted a 16.2 defensive yards per point for the season – which has the arrow pointed downward for a group. That’s a problem since New Orleans was No. 30 in total defense, No. 27 in passing defense, and No. 31 against the run.

I think Moore will try to grind games down by running the ball on offense. That should help the defense a little bit. And if the Saints attack can’t support the stop unit at all then Staley’s group will get exposed.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 2025 SCHEDULE

Sun, Sep 7        vs Arizona Cardinals               1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 14     vs San Francisco 49ers           1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sep 21     @ Seattle Seahawks                 4:05 p.m.

Sun, Sep 28     @ Buffalo Bills                           1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 5        vs New York Giants                  1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 12      vs New England Patriots       4:25 p.m.

Sun, Oct 19      @ Chicago Bears                       1:00 p.m.

Sun, Oct 26      vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers    4:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 2       vs Los Angeles Rams               4:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 9       @ Carolina Panthers                1:00 p.m.

Week 11           BYE

Sun, Nov 23     vs Atlanta Falcons                    4:25 p.m.

Sun, Nov 30     @ Miami Dolphins                    1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 7        @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers    1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 14     vs Carolina Panthers               4:25 p.m.

Sun, Dec 21     vs New York Jets                       1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 28     @ Tennessee Titans                 1:00 p.m.

Sun, Jan 3/4    @ Atlanta Falcons                     TBD

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 2025 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS

Moore was willing to take a job that seemingly no one wanted. The Saints have a horrendous salary cap situation. They have the worst quarterback room in the NFL. And despite a roster stacked with high draft picks the best players on this team are some combination of aging, brittle, overpaid and/or disappointing.

Yet, it is still all upside for Moore.

If the Saints stink again then everyone will say it was a suicide mission and no one could’ve expected better. If they win some games and show a little fight then he will justify his hiring and provide a little hope to a fan base about to endure a sustained rebuild.

This season win total number – currently at 5.5 with heavy juice on the ‘under’ – doesn’t have much value. There is no way in hell I would put a dime on that crop of quarterbacks to surpass expectations. Yet I do think that this team has some sneaky talent and will be capable of springing an upset or two to threaten this number.

The most likely outcome is a 4-13 mess that has the Saints in the Arch Manning Sweepstakes late in the year.

Robert Ferringo has posted seven of 10 winning football seasons, including last year thanks to an astounding +10,830 three-month run. Robert banked nearly +40,000 in profit between 2010-2019 for a 10-year average profit of nearly +4,000. He has earned 11 of 16 overall winning years and 69 of 114 winning months while also going 23-9 with his football futures rated 5.0+ and earning 16 of 19 winning Super Bowls. He is a member of the Football Writers Association of America and he is set for another amazing football season. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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