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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 3 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!

by Spencer Toth - 9/17/2025

NFL office pool picks Week 3 Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers

Navigating an entire season of against-the-spread picks is not for the faint of heart, and we still have nearly 90% of the regular season to go. It won’t be one lucky win or loss that will determine your office pool standings, but rather consistent, positive results over the course of the 18-week season. Last week, we went 9-7 against the spread, bringing our season total to 14-18. We are on track to dig our way out of our cold Week 1 and get closer to the 142-125-5 record from last season. The favorites had another good week in Week 2, going 11-5 straight up and 9-7 against the spread. The lines have been released for the Week 3 slate, so let’s get cracking. 

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Buffalo Bills (-11.5) Over Miami Dolphins

This could be the biggest mismatch in the NFL right now. Buffalo is cruising on both sides of the ball, while the Dolphins are a complete disaster. We have seen big blowouts in the past on Thursday nights, but this one could take the cake. Josh Allen will take a seat in the fourth quarter once the Bills build a 30+ point lead. Bills 41, Dolphins 10

Washington Commanders (-3.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders

The looming injury for Jayden Daniels has dropped this line from 6 points to 3.5. Daniels is still questionable to suit up in Week 3, but Marcus Mariota is good enough to guide the Commanders to a win and cover if Daniels is out. The Raiders have a mediocre defense with an inconsistent Geno Smith on offense, and there isn’t much to like about this team on the road. Washington has legitimate playoff hopes, and they will win regardless of who is under center. Commanders 24, Raiders 17

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) Over Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons completely ran over the Vikings on Monday night, but this spread is too wide for this matchup. Atlanta still can’t be trusted to run up the score against anyone in the NFL, and the Panthers refuse to give up regardless of the scoreline. Maybe it will be a backdoor cover, or maybe this is the type of game to go down to the final play. Either way, we will take the points with the home team. Falcons 20, Panthers 17

Green Bay Packers (-7.5) Over Cleveland Browns

This spread is puzzling. Green Bay just dominated the NFC finalists on Thursday night, has extra rest for this game, and is facing the lowly Cleveland Browns. Micah Parsons has elevated a good defense to a stellar unit, and Jordan Love has looked consistent in the pocket. There isn’t much to like about the Browns right now, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they are held out of the end zone. Packers 27, Browns 3

New England Patriots (+1.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh got a harsh reality check with the aging Aaron Rodgers last week. Rodgers is still serviceable, but will struggle to win games if the Steelers' defense is no longer a dominant unit. New England showed they are capable on both sides of the ball, and we will take them to pick up the home win over their AFC rivals. Patriots 24, Steelers 21

Los Angeles Rams (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles

This is a game that I expect to be tight throughout, and we will take the Rams with the extra insurance. Philadelphia’s offense hasn’t looked very good over the last three halves of football, while the Rams are firing on all cylinders. Los Angeles nearly upset Philadelphia in the playoffs last season, and they could get some revenge in this meeting. Matthew Stafford still has it, and a bustling young defensive core has propelled the Rams back into contention. Rams 24, Eagles 20

Tennessee Titans (+4.5) Over Indianapolis Colts

Cam Ward is settling in with his new team nicely and could be in store for the first win of his young career against the Colts. Daniel Jones has looked good for Indianapolis, but this level of play is not something we can expect on a weekly basis. This is a fun matchup between these AFC South rivals, but we have no choice but to take the points with the home team. Fading road favorites in divisional matchups is never a bad strategy, especially with a team as overvalued as the Colts. Indianapolis may find a way to get the job done again, but it will be another late field goal rather than a blowout win. Colts 28, Titans 25

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5) Over New York Jets

The Buccaneers keep finding ways to win football games thanks to heroics from Baker Mayfield. There isn’t a lot to like about the Jets since their defense has fallen off a cliff, and they are walking towards their demise when they touch down in Florida. The Buccaneers routinely dispatch bottom-half teams with ease, and this feels like another straightforward win for Mayfield and company. Buccaneers 24, Jets 10

Minnesota Vikings (-3) Over Cincinnati Bengals

Neither of these backups can be trusted on offense, so we will side with the stronger defensive unit in Minnesota. Brian Flores will not be happy with how his defense looked on Monday night, but the Vikings are still capable of shutting down Jake Browning and a lackluster offensive line from the Bengals. This one won’t be pretty, but the Vikings will find a way to win at home. Vikings 17, Bengals 13

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) Over Houston Texans

The Texans won’t start winning games until they can protect CJ Stroud. Their abysmal offensive line will be their downfall again when they face a formidable Jaguars pass rush. Jacksonville still has flaws of its own, but a player like Trevor Lawrence will usually make the right choice when he has time in the pocket. Stroud will take five plus sacks again, as the Texans fall to 0-3. Jaguars 29, Texans 20

New Orleans Saints (+7.5) Over Seattle Seahawks

Seattle will end up winning this game, but a touchdown spread for a disjointed offense is too many points. New Orleans has already battled back in the fourth quarter before, and another garbage-time touchdown could allow them to secure a backdoor cover. Seattle is strong on both sides of the ball, but they lack the true explosivity needed to cover spreads like this one. Seahawks 26, Saints 21

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) Over Denver Broncos 

The Chargers are a complete team on both sides of the ball and are a few years ahead of the Broncos in terms of their rebuild. Denver is a side that has shown life, but a pair of lackluster performances to kick off the season has dampened their preseason hype. Justin Herbert is already on his way to becoming the next truly dominant quarterback, and a soft line like this makes the Chargers a no-brainer. Chargers 27, Broncos 19

Arizona Cardinals (+1.5) Over San Francisco 49ers

The Cardinals didn’t look phenomenal against the Saints and Panthers, but they got the job done. Meanwhile, the 49ers are very banged up, have Mac Jones at quarterback, yet they are still favorites against the 2-0 Cardinals. Arizona is unlikely to be Super Bowl-bound, but this is a great chance to fade the overvalued 49ers. Cardinals 30, 49ers 23

Chicago Bears (PK) Over Dallas Cowboys 

The Chicago Bears' defense has not played up to their lofty standards through the first two weeks of the season. Dak Prescott will likely find success for Dallas, but it will take another 30+ point showing to compensate for the Cowboys’ poor defense. This one will turn into a shootout, and I predict this will be a coming-out party for Caleb Williams and new head coach Ben Johnson. Bears 34, Cowboys 28

Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) Over New York Giants

The Chiefs are 0-2 for the first time in the Patrick Mahomes era. The Ravens are on tap for next week, meaning this game against the Giants is nothing short of a must-win for the AFC champions. New York is one of the worst teams on both sides of the ball, and the Chiefs have the offensive line needed to slow down their daunting pass rush. Kansas City can’t afford to let this one stay close. Chiefs 28, Giants 9

Detroit Lions (+5.5) Over Baltimore Ravens

The Lions reminded the league they are still a force on offense with their 52-point showing in Week 2. Despite that, the odds still imply it will be a straightforward victory for the Ravens. While Baltimore has the quality needed to dominate on offense and defense, expecting a big win against a hungry Lions side is not realistic. Baltimore will win this one, but the Lions will keep it close. Ravens 30, Lions 28

Season Record: 14-18

Last Season Record: 142-125-5 

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