NFL Office Pool Picks Week 4 - ATS Predictions for Every Game!
If you go on to win your NFL against the spread office pool, no one can say it was a fluke. Staying on top over the course of the 272 regular-season games is not an easy task, but Doc’s Sports can help you navigate that challenge each week. We are looking to beat our 142-125-5 record from last season, and still have a long way to go to achieve that feat. Last week, we went 9-7 against the spread, bringing our season total to 23-25 this year. Two straight winning weeks after a poor Week 1 have us back on track. The favorites mostly took care of business in Week 3, going 12-4 straight up, and 9-7 against the spread. The lines have dropped for Week 4, so let’s get cracking.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Arizona Cardinals (+1.5) Over Seattle Seahawks
There is a lot to like about these sneaky NFC West contenders. However, the Cardinals, in the slight underdog role at home, make them the only reasonable choice. Kyler Murray has looked great this season, and a few costly drops from Marvin Harrison Jr. are the only reasons they aren’t 3-0. Cardinals 27, Seahawks 17
Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) Over Minnesota Vikings
It is surprising to see the Steelers in the underdog role. Minnesota dominated the Bengals last week, but that was largely due to stellar special teams and a few game-changing defensive plays against Jake Browning and company. Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers offense have looked consistent, and it is only a matter of time before the league’s highest-paid defense steps up for Pittsburgh. We can’t trust Carson Wentz in the favorite role in a game where nothing will come easy. Steelers 17, Vikings 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) Over Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles got a stunning comeback win last week, but a couple of blocked field goals are the only reason they got the victory. As long as Tampa Bay takes care of business on special teams, they have already proven they can go shot-for-shot with the reigning champions. They are one of the few teams that can match the Eagles’ physicality, and have won five of their last six head-to-head meetings. Once you factor in that this is a key number in the NFL, the Bucs are the way to go. Buccaneers 24, Eagles 20
New Orleans Saints (+16.5) Over Buffalo Bills
The Saints are terrible, but a chunky spread like this in Week 4 is not a line I can get behind. Buffalo hasn’t been blowing teams out this season, and covering a line of more than two touchdowns is never easy. There isn’t much to like about the Saints right now, but there is no justification for laying this spread with the Bills. It’ll still be a blowout, but the Saints will hold on for the cover. Bills 31, Saints 17
Detroit Lions (-8.5) Over Cleveland Browns
Cleveland got the upset of the week in Week 3, but building on that momentum will not be easy against Detroit. The Lions offense has sliced apart whoever they come up against, and the Browns offense doesn’t have enough juice to respond. Don’t forget the Browns were shut out heading into the fourth last week, and Joe Flacco has two touchdowns to four interceptions this season. Lions 34, Browns 10
Tennessee Titans (+7.5) Over Houston Texans
The Titans haven’t looked good this year, but frankly, neither have the Texans. Houston has an abysmal offensive line that hasn’t allowed CJ Stroud to cook in the pocket. Cam Ward has the protection he needs, and would be getting more attention if the Titans' defense weren’t so bad. It’s hard to be too confident that either of these teams will pick up their first win of the season, but one of them has to. Either way, taking a thick spread in a divisional game is never a bad call. Texans 23, Titans 20
Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) Over New York Giants
The Giants will be turning to Jaxson Dart under center, but that is a move with long-term goals rather than short-term gains. An already struggling offense will be handcuffed as the Giants look to protect Dart, and unlocking a hungry Chargers defense is no easy task. Justin Herbert is looking as good as ever this season, and the Chargers will roll to a comfortable victory. Chargers 28, Giants 13
Washington Commanders (-1.5) Over Atlanta Falcons
The injury concerns for the Commanders are certainly troubling, but even a healthy Falcons team is only as good as the banged-up Commanders. Atlanta relies on Bijan Robinson for their offense as Michael Penix Jr. continues to struggle. Question marks around Jayden Daniels and Terry McLaurin are the only reason this spread is less than a field goal. If either plays, we are laughing, and even if they both sit, this will be a close one. Commanders 20, Falcons 14
Carolina Panthers (+5.5) Over New England Patriots
The Panthers earned every bit of their 30-point win over the Falcons, and we will happily scoop up a boatload of points once again. New England is trending in the right direction, but they haven’t shown the ability to cover thick spreads like these. They will probably get the win at home, but covering is a whole other story. Patriots 25, Panthers 22
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Over Indianapolis Colts
The Rams will be livid with how they lost their perfect record last week and will take out their anger on a helpless Colts defense. Daniel Jones is due to regress, but even if he puts up 20+, the Rams offense is on another level. Los Angeles is a sneaky contender in the NFC, and a win and cover at home should happen more often than not. Rams 29, Colts 24
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) Over San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers' injury list continues to grow, but they remain favorites against competent teams. Nick Bosa is a huge loss on defense, and the Jags offense is slowly taking shape as the season develops. Brock Purdy should be back for San Fran, but covering this key number is far from a sure thing. Jacksonville has been able to hang around when they need to, and it still feels like this team will get better in the coming weeks. Jaguars 27, 49ers 17
Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) Over Baltimore Ravens
The Chiefs in the home underdog role? Yes please. Baltimore’s defense has let them down in big matchups, while the Chiefs have been able to step up when it matters most. Derrick Henry’s fumbling problems will allow doubt to start creeping into this team’s mind, and one of these contenders will plummet to 1-3. I trust Patrick Mahomes to deliver in the clutch more than Lamar Jackson, and the free points are just icing on the cake. Chiefs 30, Ravens 27
Chicago Bears (+1.5) Over Las Vegas Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders just got picked apart by Marcus Mariota and an otherwise less-than-impressive Washington offense. Once you add in the fact that Geno Smith continues to struggle in his new home, taking the Bears with a minimal spread is the way to go. Ben Johnson is settling into his new role with his new team nicely. Caleb Williams is still improving, and the Bears will claw their way back to .500 in Las Vegas. Bears 37, Raiders 20
Green Bay Packers (-6.5) Over Dallas Cowboys
The only reason the Cowboys have been able to stay afloat is thanks to elite play from their offense. A poor defense will be exposed by Green Bay, and the Packers' defense is still one of the best in the league. An emotional homecoming for Micah Parsons will steal center stage as this one quickly turns into a blowout on Sunday Night Football. Packers 30, Cowboys 11
Miami Dolphins (-2.5) Over New York Jets
Two 0-3 teams battling it out on Monday Night Football. Eek. We will side with the Dolphins as they have a rest advantage, are playing at home, and have the better quarterback. A spread under 3 points is a crucial number to get, and this offense still has a bit of life after a decent showing in Buffalo. Dolphins 28, Jets 17
Denver Broncos (-7.5) Over Cincinnati Bengals
Jake Browning is an average backup quarterback, and that simply isn’t good enough to compensate for a dreadful Bengals defense. Bo Nix and the Broncos' offense have come up against strong defenses this year, and this will be a breath of fresh air for their offense. A feel-good win for Denver will set them back on track, and this spread isn’t wide enough to deter me. Broncos 35, Bengals 20
Season Record: 23-25
Last Season Record: 142-125-5
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