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2025 Seattle Seahawks Season Win Total Picks

by Robert Ferringo - 8/8/2025

Seattle Seahawks season win total picks Sam Darnold

Very quietly, the Seattle Seahawks have been one of the best bets in the NFL futures market.

Seattle has beaten its Las Vegas season win total three straight seasons and six of the past seven years. Since 2011, the Seahawks have gone 10-4 against their season win total and they enter the 2025 season still underrated, sporting the lowest win total in the NFC West (7.5).

In 2024, they flew over their preseason number of 7.5 by winning 10 games. They lost out on the division title thanks to a tiebreaker with the Rams but still locked up the team’s 12th winning season in the last 13 years.

Mike Macdonald had a solid rookie coaching campaign. The Seahawks weren’t content with double-digit wins, though, and made one of the biggest moves in the league this offseason, swapping out quarterback Geno Smith for Sam Darnold in a personnel decision that may define this franchise for the rest of the decade.

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SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 2025 OFFENSE

I said at the end of last season that I was going to laugh my ass off at whoever fell for Sam Darnold’s “renaissance”. Whenever a guy has a career year in a contract season, regardless of the sport, it is a major red flag.

Darnold is a dud. This guy stinks and is a turnover machine. He was in the NFL for six years, with three different organizations, before his “awakening” in Minnesota. And even there, Darnold reverted to form when the chips were down – losing a massive Week 18 game at Detroit before flaming out in the Wild Card Round.

Darnold wasn’t the only significant move Seattle made. They parted ways with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, adding Cooper Kupp in their stead. Seattle used five of its first six draft picks on offense and have fully committed to a youth movement on this side of the ball. In fact, 14 of their top 24 players on the two-deep have two or fewer years of NFL experience.

Seattle also made one of my favorite moves of the offseason, scooping up offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. I think Kubiak is outstanding. And he may be able to paper over some of Darnold’s incompetence and get this offense going after it finished No. 8 with the pass but just No. 28 in rushing offense last year.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 2025 DEFENSE

The Seahawks were perfectly mediocre on defense last season, finishing No. 11 against the pass and No. 11 in scoring defense. That was an upgrade for a group that had finished No. 25 or worse in total defense and scoring defense in 2022 and 2023.

Macdonald is a “defensive guy” and is looking to make strides in his second season at the helm. Last year it took a minute for his system to stick. When it did Seattle became one of the best defenses in football over the second half of the year.

The big offseason move on this side of the ball came when they poached DeMarcus Lawrence away from the Cowboys. The 33-year-old defensive end only played four games last season and has just 16 sacks in his last four years.

Seattle was -6 in turnovers and only mustered 18 takeaways. The Seahawks have a load of good, young talent in the secondary. They lack depth and star power in the front seven. But if they figure out the pass rush I think their takeaway numbers will go up.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 2025 SCHEDULE

Sun, Sept 7      vs San Francisco 49ers           4:05 p.m.

Sun, Sept 14    @ Pittsburgh Steelers             1:00 p.m.

Sun, Sept 21    vs New Orleans Saints            4:05 p.m.

Thu, Sept 25   @ Arizona Cardinals                8:15 p.m.

Sun, Oct 5        vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers    4:05 p.m.

Sun, Oct 12      @ Jacksonville Jaguars            1:00 p.m.

Mon, Oct 20    vs Houston Texans                   10:00 p.m.

Week 8             BYE

Sun, Nov 2       @ Washington                           8:20 p.m.

Sun, Nov 9       vs Arizona Cardinals               4:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 16     @ Los Angeles Rams               4:05 p.m.

Sun, Nov 23     @ Tennessee Titans                1:00 p.m.

Sun, Nov 30     vs Minnesota Vikings              4:05 p.m.

Sun, Dec 7        @ Atlanta Falcons                    1:00 p.m.

Sun, Dec 14     vs Indianapolis Colts               1:25 p.m.

Thu, Dec 18     vs Los Angeles Rams               8:15 p.m.

Sun, Dec 28     @ Carolina Panthers               TBD

Sun, Jan 3/4    @ San Francisco 49ers           TBD

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 2025 SEASON PICKS AND PREDICTIONS

I don’t like Darnold but I really like Kubiak, making it a wash on offense.

The talent on defense doesn’t inspire much confidence, but Macdonald was able to stabilize that side of the ball and could be better in his second season.

We also have a team with a track record of surpassing expectations.

I also think the Seahawks have a favorable schedule. They only have one back-to-back road trip, they get a midseason bye after a Monday night game, and they get most of their toughest nondivisional opponents (Houston, Tampa Bay, Minnesota) in Seattle.

With all that in mind, I’m going to take the ‘under’. But barely. I think Seattle is pointed in the right direction. But the NFC West may be the third- or fourth-best division in the league and should be a dogfight.

Further, after a season-opening win against Denver (at home, against a rookie starting quarterback), Seattle only won one game against 2024 playoff teams. And that win came in Week 18 when the Rams were resting their starters.

This looks like a season for the franchise to take a step back before taking a step forward.

Robert Ferringo has posted seven of 10 winning football seasons, including last year thanks to an astounding +10,830 three-month run. Robert banked nearly +40,000 in profit between 2010-2019 for a 10-year average profit of nearly +4,000. He has earned 11 of 16 overall winning years and 69 of 114 winning months while also going 23-9 with his football futures rated 5.0+ and earning 16 of 19 winning Super Bowls. He is a member of the Football Writers Association of America and he is set for another amazing football season. SIGN UP HERE TODAY AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR 3-FOR-1 FOOTBALL SPECIALS!

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