NFL Handicapping Articles
2017 Oakland Raiders Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/9/2017
The Raiders entered last season as Everybody's Sleeper Team. Normally that's the kiss of death. Those "sleepers" generally enter the year overhyped and overvalued, shackled by the weight of unrealistic expectations, only to watch it all crumble. Shockingly, the Raiders didn't just live up to the hype - they surpassed it. They won 12 games, the franchise's most since 2000, and tied for the most wins by a Raider team in 40 years. And now it is time for an encore.
2017 Atlanta Falcons Home Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 8/9/2017
For the second year in a row, we have an NFL team playing in a sparkling new stadium. Last year, it was the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium, although it didn't help that team make the playoffs. In 2017, the Atlanta Falcons move into the spectacular Mercedes-Benz Stadium, a retractable roof building right in downtown. I urge you to check out some video tours of that place. It's quite something and it will host this season's College Football Playoff National Championship Game (and certainly future Final Fours and Super Bowls).
2017 Kansas City Chiefs Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/9/2017
Andy Reid has won over 60 percent of his games as a head coach in the NFL. He's had just three losing seasons in 18 years and has won 10 or more games 11 times. Reid is yet to have a losing season since taking over the Chiefs, and he's increased Kansas City's win total each of the past two years.
2017 Denver Broncos Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/9/2017
Denver's follow-up campaign after their Super Bowl season left a lot to be desired. Well, not a lot, really. Just a quarterback. Denver won nine games last year on the back of its devastating defense. The Broncos fielded a Top 5 total defense for the third year in a row, and, despite some offseason personnel shuffling, they should be in that neighborhood yet again. Von Miller is a force, and Denver's secondary is the best in football. They did lose Wade Phillips, but the scheme should remain under new coordinator Joe Woods.
2017 Los Angeles Chargers Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/9/2017
When is a five-win season progress? When you won only four games the season before. The Los Angeles Chargers (that still doesn't sound right) are just 9-23 in their last two seasons, squandering what were likely the final two years of Phil Rivers' prime. The soon-to-be-36-year-old quarterback has a new city and a new coach. But he's still weighted down by the same shoddy roster that's only made the playoffs once in the last seven years.
NFL Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions: Wide Receiver Yardage
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
The receivers who score a lot of touchdowns are the flashy guys, but it's the guys who pile up a lot of yards that are really doing the work for their teams. They do what it takes to move the ball all the time - not just when they are close to the goal line. A highly-productive receiver is the best friend a quarterback can have, and the confidence that can give a QB has a profound impact on a team in general. BetOnline has a long list of potential receivers who could lead the league in this category and their odds of doing so. Our job here is to assess the favorites for possible betting value:
Free NFL Picks: Expert Predictions for Wide Receiver Touchdown Props
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
Wide receivers generally don't have the smallest egos at the best of times. And the guy who leads the league in receiving touchdowns isn't going to see his ego shrink. He's not going to get more bearable. So, our job today is to look at the strongest contenders to lead the league in receiving touchdowns according to the prop odds at BetOnline to see if there is any betting value to be had. One spoiler up front - the leading receiver isn't going to play for the Jets. I'm pretty sure you have to have a quarterback in order to score passing touchdowns.
NFL Betting Props: Most Passing Yards Odds with Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/6/2017
We're going to look at the prop for the most passing yards by a QB to see if we can find some betting value. What we are really looking at, though, is whether anyone can knock Drew Brees for the perch he has an iron grip on. For five of the last six years, including the last three, Brees has been tops in the league in passing yards. And in 2013 he still passed for 5,162 yards - and finished second to Peyton Manning. He's a passing yards machine. So, will he keep it up, or will someone finally wrestle his crown from him?
Expert NFL Picks: Most Interception Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/6/2017
There are all sorts of statistical categories that any quarterback would love to lead the league in. Interceptions, of course, are not one of them. There is no way to spin an interception into a positive in any way. It stalls your offense and makes your defense work too hard. You are just begging your opponent to beat you when you throw a lot of interceptions. So, obviously we need to find a way to make some money by figuring out who will be the unfortunate guy to top this category. The odds from BetOnline suggest that it's a crowded race:
Odds for Best Quarterback in NFL: Most Touchdowns Props and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/4/2017
Our job here is simple. People love watching quarterbacks throw touchdowns, and we are going to try to make some money by figuring out who is likely to throw more touchdowns than anyone else. BetOnline has listed odds for 18 different quarterbacks to lead the league in passing touchdowns, and if you don't like any of them you can bet the rest of the "field" at a combined +1600. Let's look at the seven players with the lowest odds on the list and one long shot that is fairly attractive:
Expert NFL Betting Picks: "Over/Under" Touchdown Passing Props
by Trevor Whenham - 8/4/2017
We just looked at who is most likely to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns this year (I picked Aaron Rodgers again, but hated the +600 price, and looked at Marcus Mariota at +3300 as the live long shot). That category is really only relevant to a few quarterbacks who combine the skills with the situation to put up big numbers, though. So what I want to do now is be more democratic and let other QBs have their moment in the TD sun.
NFL Betting Odds: Which QB Will Sign First?
by Raphael Esparza - 8/4/2017
Earlier this week we wrote about two ageless running backs going toe-to-toe on the gridiron with some betting propositions, and today we continue to write about guys who just want to play football. NFL Preseason kicked off with the Hall of Fame Game, and NFL practices are at full strength, and we have already seen one team have some devastating news regarding their starting QB.
NFL Betting Odds and Free Picks: Next Coach Fired Props
by Trevor Whenham - 8/3/2017
There are few things as entertaining as watching NFL coaches who are about to get fired, and on some level I feel bad about that. I mean, they are human beings. But they are human beings who get paid millions and willfully took on a hugely thankless task. Almost every coach only gets to leave one way - escorted out by security when their usefulness ends. That's just how it is. And since that's how it is we might as well try to profit from their pain. BetOnline has set odds for the next NFL coach to be fired, and it's worth a look:
Which NFL Teams Will Make the Playoffs? Odds and Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/3/2017
There are 12 NFL Playoff spots and 32 teams that want them. If ever there was something that could create offseason betting opportunities, it is that. BetOnline has listed playoff specials for all 32 teams - "yes/no" odds on their playoff participation. Obviously some are not hugely attractive - I can't make a case to bet for Cleveland making it at +1000. Others are so likely as to be ridiculous for bettors - New England is all but a lock to make the postseason yet again, but you only get -1800, so you would have to hate money to make that bet.
NFL Expert Handicapping: Training Camp Storylines with Interest for Bettors
by Trevor Whenham - 8/2/2017
I have a love-hate relationship with this time in the NFL schedule. On one hand, the start of training camps is exciting because it means that football season is on the way. That's a very good thing. On the other hand, it also signals that the preseason games are about to start, and there is no bigger waste of this planet's oxygen than those 'contests'.
Expert NFL and College Football Picks for Quarterback Battle Props Odds
by Aaron Smith - 7/31/2017
The football season is just around the corner! I know there are a lot of fans excited to watch their favorite team or teams, and many of you are excited to put some money down and try to build your bankroll as well. Bookmaker.eu has put up odds on some of the most highly-anticipated quarterback battles in both the NFL and college football. This gives bettors an option to try to make some cash even before the season gets underway. Keep in mind that these odds can change quickly, so if you see value on any betting option available, you'll want to move on it right away.
Free NFL Picks: Peterson vs. Beast Mode Betting Prop Predictions
by Raphael Esparza - 7/31/2017
The NFL Hall of Fame Game is this week, and that means we are now football 24/7. And if you know me then you know I want to find those betting odds you haven't heard about! I'm not the biggest NFL regular season proposition player, but since two NFL teams signed interesting running backs I'm sold on a couple props.
NFL Playoff Predictions: Props Odds for Teams to Make the Postseason
by Robert Ferringo - 7/13/2017
"Who is going to win the Super Bowl this year?" That's one of my least favorite questions. Whenever I inform people of my profession, invariably the first question they ask is about who will win the championship of whatever sport is currently in full swing. And since Football Is King, more times than not the question is about who will win the Super Bowl.
2017 Los Angeles Rams Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 7/10/2017
Look, I don't pretend to tell Stan Kroenke how to run his business. The guy is one of the richest men in the world, and in addition to owning the Los Angeles Rams also owns the Denver Nuggets, Colorado Avalanche, Colorado Rapids (MLS) and is the majority owner of Arsenal of the English Premier League. So clearly this guy is doing something right in life - No. 1 being marrying the daughter of Walmart co-founder James Walton.
2017 Cincinnati Bengals Road Schedule Odds with Expert Picks and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 6/29/2017
OK, another year another story about how Cincinnati Bengals coach Marvin Lewis is squarely on the hot seat. I have yet to see the sportsbooks post that first coach fired prop, but we should see it sometime soon. He will absolutely be among the favorites with the Jets' Todd Bowles, Bears' John Fox and Colts' Chuck Pagano.
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