NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers
by Alan Matthews - 10/10/2017
If we are being honest, the football on Thursday nights usually isn't great. The NFL wants to ensure that every team is showcased on national television each once, so nearly every team will play a Thursday night game. It's why we were subjected to Titans-Jaguars on Thursday the past couple of years; now that they are both pretty good, it figures we don't get them in a TNF game.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/9/2017
It turns out we were all correct: the worst team in the NFL this season is a New York club that plays its home games at MetLife Stadium. What, you thought I meant the Jets? They are 3-2 (most books closed the Jets with a season total of 4.5 wins and I would have gone under that) and might even be saving the job of embattled coach Todd Bowles.
NFL Betting Odds: Week 5 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 10/6/2017
My marquee Sunday preview this week was Packers at Cowboys, but I nearly went with Kansas City at Houston for two reasons. The first was whether members of the 1972 Miami Dolphins will be able to pop some champagne late Sunday night/early Monday morning if the Chiefs lose. I'm not sure if guys from that team still do that when the last unbeaten loses each NFL season (or how many are even still alive), but you get my drift.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
by Alan Matthews - 10/4/2017
I guarantee you that if there was flex scheduling allowed on Monday Night Football that ESPN would dump the Vikings-Bears matchup - a game I will preview here at Doc's - for Sunday afternoon's big Packers-Cowboys showdown. But you can't show Green Bay and Dallas on national television every week, and you can't take every big matchup from CBS or Fox. There are only three games in the 4 p.m. ET window in Week 5, so practically the whole country will get Green Bay-Dallas regardless.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
by Alan Matthews - 10/3/2017
Sure, I predicted that the Buffalo Bills would be leading the AFC East Division entering Week 5 and that the New England Patriots would be in second place with two losses - as many defeats as they suffered all of last year and as many victories as the 2017 New York Jets. Sure, I did. Also have some beachfront property in Kansas that I'd like to sell you.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/2/2017
When the NFL schedule is announced every April, you always see the Top 10 Games of the Year stories. And, regardless of site, they are essentially the same 10 games give or take one or two. Boring! Me? When the 2017 schedule was released April 20, I circled one game immediately: Jets at Browns, Oct. 8, FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland. Expected to be "Toilet Bowl 2017". Unfortunately, the Jets ruined this showdown a bit by upsetting the Dolphins in Week 3 and then winning again Week 4 in overtime against Jacksonville (must be a Florida thing).
NFL Betting Odds: Week 4 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/29/2017
I really, really didn't want to get involved in this whole NFL National Anthem protest thing. I wouldn't do it and don't really like it, but this is America so you can protest however you want as long as it's peaceful. I thought some of President Trump's comments last weekend were a bit unpresidential, and that clearly spurred players/teams into action.
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 4 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 9/29/2017
Every single week in the NFL there are one or two games that bettors circle and claim to be a "trap game". For those who don't know what a "trap game" is, let me explain. A "trap game" is a game in which the "better team"plays a tough game one week, faces a bad opponent the next week and then takes on a good opponent the following week.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos
by Alan Matthews - 9/27/2017
If you don't think that flying across country (west to east not so much the other way around) following a big win doesn't sometimes lead to a major letdown game, then I give the Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos as proof that it can as both suffered their first loss of the season last Sunday in that scenario.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
by Alan Matthews - 9/26/2017
Most Chicago Bears fans I know don't want their team to win many games this season. Better to get another very high draft pick and select a receiver or defensive difference-maker in the 2018 NFL Draft. That said, pretty much all Bears fans want them to win twice a year: the Green Bay games. The NFL's oldest rivalry is renewed in the Thursday night game this week and, rather incredibly, each side has a record of 94-94-6 (including playoffs). A couple of times, the Bears led the series by 24 games, but Brett Favre and then Aaron Rodgers have helped Green Bay dominate for most of the past two decades.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 4 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/25/2017
Wow, was Week 3 interesting around the NFL or what (I'm not getting into all this National Anthem nonsense)? The first two weeks left much to be desired with some ugly football - I think the lack of practices in the offseason makes the first two weeks or so glorified exhibition games - but Week 3 was chock full of interesting results with many underdogs winning outright. You knew we were in for some weekend fun last Thursday when the Rams and 49ers, two teams it was painful offensively to watch at times in 2016, had one of the most entertaining Thursday night shootouts in recent history. The Rams and 49ers!?!
NFL Betting Odds: Week 3 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/22/2017
Most weeks in this space, I will address some Bovada weekly NFL specials as that site tends to have the most unique ones (caveat: I used to help create some). I'm not going to go into the statistics of how often 2-0 teams make the playoffs on average and how many 0-2 teams don't. That's been repeated often -- it's obviously more often than not and rare, respectively.
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 3 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 9/22/2017
Before I write 1,000 words explaining who I like and why I like them this week, let me take a moment to thank the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers for saving the NFL season and giving us something to be excited about heading into Week 3. Everywhere I turned and every expert who wrote or spoke words about this game expected it to be a sloppy, low-scoring, typical Thursday night football game like we've grown accustom to. Instead, the consensus pick of "under" 39 was basically toast at half time and that missed extra-point from Robbie Gould early in the fourth quarter came back to bite the Niners in the butt. It was also a fantasy owners dream, with Todd Gurley, Carlos Hyde, and Sammy Watkins all breaking 20 points. But that's a story for another day.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
by Alan Matthews - 9/19/2017
I originally planned to look at Seattle-Tennessee as my Sunday intriguing matchup in Week 3 as that could be a potential Super Bowl preview (not saying it's going to happen, but it could). Plus, those clubs are a lot alike. However, after watching the New York Football Giants on Monday night and their inept offense against the Detroit Lions, I felt compelled to switch up to Giants-Eagles in Philadelphia's home opener.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
by Alan Matthews - 9/19/2017
I'm not going to lie to you: This week's Rams-49ers matchup looks like the worst Thursday night game of the 2017 season. Perhaps the only one in the competition would be Bills at Jets on Nov. 2. But, you can bet on Rams-Niners, so here we are.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 3 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/18/2017
I'm sure most of you sprint to your computers every Monday mid-afternoon during football season to check out my NFL Weekly Opening Line Report. Unfortunately, last week wasn't an option thanks to Hurricane Irma. If Hurricane Maria also hits my area, I'm definitely moving. But that's a story for another day.
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 2 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 9/15/2017
Week 2 of the National Football League got underway last night and proved to bettors that sometimes overreacting to a team's Week 1 performance is a good thing. Take last night's game for example; both Houston and Cincinnati were putrid offensively. As a bettor, we should have seen it coming though.
NFL Betting Odds: Week 1 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/8/2017
It was an absolute no-brainer for the NFL to postpone Sunday's Buccaneers at Dolphins game because it looks like Miami is going to get pummeled by incredibly dangerous Hurricane Irma. There's going to be major damage in South Florida - perhaps even to the Dolphins' Hard Rock Stadium, although when that was recently renovated it was strengthened against potential hurricanes.
Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans
by Alan Matthews - 9/6/2017
Sometimes the marquee matchups aren't always the most interesting ones each week in the NFL. Sure, I could have previewed, say, Seahawks-Packers or Giants-Cowboys among Week 1 Sunday games as all four of those clubs made the playoffs last year and easily could again (I expect Seattle, Green Bay and Dallas to do so; maybe New York).
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 1 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 9/6/2017
With the NFL set to return tomorrow, bettors will be able to place their wagers on a plethora of betting options. Seasoned bettors tend to stick to sides and totals, while newbies or "square" bettors tend to play more parlays, props and teasers, all of which are options that play right into the house's advantage.
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