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2020 AFC East Predictions with Betting Odds

by Chris Vasile - 8/17/2020

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen

There are so many storylines to cover among the four AFC East teams, with perhaps the most intriguing storyline taking place off the field in New England. We already know the Patriots are going to be without the services of Tom Brady, who left in free agency for Tampa Bay. They replaced him with Cam Newton, who has a lot to prove before Patriots nation and bettors alike start to trust him. The Patriots have had a handful of players opt out due to safety concerns, which leaves them thin at positions they already had no depth in. We already believe that the Patriots dynasty has come to an end. And without Brady, the Patriots will falter. The absence of several key players will not only be music to the Jets, Bills and Dolphins ears, but we are finally going to see whether Bill Belichick made Brady, or if Brady made Belichick.

As of writing this, the Buffalo Bills are +110 to win the AFC East, which is an implied probability of 47.6 percent. Given the fact the Patriots are on the downswing, the Dolphins still suck, and the Jets will always be in limbo, there is some good value in taking the Bills to capture their first division title in more than 24 years. If you want to start winning while betting on the NFL, I highly suggest joining Doc’s NFL team. Doc’s is the industry standard in NFL, and the 2020/21 season will be a profitable one. Join now by clicking here. Doc’s also offers free NFL picks for every game of the season!

New England Patriots
Season Win Total (U9 -125)

Super Bowl Odds (+1200)

AFC East Win Odds (+145)

Until I see Cam Newton healthy and performing at the caliber he did when he took the Panthers to the Super Bowl, I’ll be fading the Patriots. They have no real weapons on offense, and their elite defense from last year figures to regress based on numbers as they were simply playing at too high of a level to keep it up through the entire season -- we saw them fall apart last year in the playoffs. Not to mention they will be without several key cogs due to health concerns. Belichick and Josh McDaniel’s may have the brains to run the team in the best way possible, but the players they have at their disposal may very well be their worst roster yet. I’ll take the under on the season win total, as I’m high on the Bills and I think it’s their year to win the division.
New York Jets

Season Win Total (U6.5 -150)

Super Bowl Odds (+9000)

AFC East Win Odds (+800)

The Jets are a terrible football team. Until otherwise noted, they will continue to be a fade for me. Sam Darnold has shown flashes, but the rest of the team isn’t anything to write home about. I’d take them under the number, and the drop in juice (-125 to -150) tells you this team is a border lining top-five draft pick next year. Oh, did I mention they just traded away their best player, star safety Jamal Adams? This team has no real direction, and it’s hard to see them getting to .500, let alone fighting for the division late on in the season.
Buffalo

Season Win Total (U9 +100)

Super Bowl Odds (2200)
AFC East Win Odds (+110)

It’s essentially now or never for the Bills to dethrone the Patriots and win the division. This is a team that was a fluke play away from beating the Texans in last year’s playoffs and one that returns two solid units on both sides of the football. The Bills pushed more chips in the middle in the offseason by acquiring Stefon Diggs from Minnesota in exchange for their first-round pick. However, the Bills still had a solid draft, picking up some guys that can plugin right away. With the offense set to take a step forward, and the defense still figuring to be elite, the Bills should have what it takes to fend off the Patriots for their first division title since 1995. 

Miami Dolphins

Season Win Total (U6 +125)

Super Bowl Odds (+8000)
AFC East Win Odds (+800)

By all accounts, the Dolphins had a solid draft this past offseason, drafting Tua Tagovailoa with the sixth pick and offensive tackle Austin Jackson from USC with the 18th pick. They are still many pieces away from pushing for a .500 season, let alone a playoff spot, but I do think they’ll be competitive this year. The Dolphins are generally good for an upset or two throughout the season. Therefore, with the Patriots reeling, the Jets sucking, and the fact that they play the Bills close every game, I’ll take a shot with the Fish going over their six-win total.

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