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2025 Chicago Bears Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Spencer Toth - 7/31/2025

Chicago Bears predictions Caleb Williams

There were plenty of positives to take away from Caleb Williams' first season in a Bears uniform, but a playoff spot was not one of them. A fresh head coach, an improved offensive line, and a potentially generational quarterback have the Chicago fanbase buzzing for the upcoming season. The Bears haven’t won a playoff game since 2010. However, if everything falls into place, the possibilities are endless in a wide-open NFC. 

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Offseason Recap

The Chicago Bears needed an offensive overhaul in the offseason, and it appears they have gotten exactly that. It all starts with the head coach, and there is no understating what an upgrade from Matt Eberflus to Ben Johnson is. Chicago was lifeless in possession last year, and Johnson will not be scared to loosen the reins on sophomore quarterback Caleb Williams. While some of the blame can be put on Williams for holding the ball too long, a league-high 4.0 sacks per game against starts with the offensive line. Chicago got a pair of new guards in Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson, along with a new center in Drew Dalman. Thuney is certainly the best of the trio with his history in Kansas City, and he will provide the Bears' offensive line with stability and leadership all season long. Jackson and Dalman are also massive upgrades for Chicago, and the combination of these additions and a faster release from Williams will lead to a much crisper offense for the Bears. 

On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears bolstered their defensive line. They picked up Grady Jarrett and Dayo Odeyingbo to go alongside trade deadline acquisition, Montez Sweat. Chicago realized how crucial winning the lines is to winning football games in the NFL, and Ben Johnson will feel confident he has the roster he needs to find defensive success. The Bears' defense wasn’t terrible last year, but they were unable to get pressure on the quarterback often enough and struggled at slowing down inside runs. These signings will help stop that bleeding, and there is plenty to like about a new-look Chicago team heading into the 2025 season. 

Season Expectations

As it is with many NFL teams, the Chicago Bears will be able to go as far as Caleb Williams will let them. It is hard to put too much blame on Williams based on last season, as this entire organization was crumbling in the NFC North. Williams finished the year with an impressive 20/6 TD/INT ratio despite leading the league in sacks. Not only do those negative plays stunt drives, but Williams was playing scared football as a result of constantly checking his blindside. The USC graduate will look poised in the pocket this season, and he was drafted first overall for a reason. His ability to improvise broken plays, combined with his strong arm, has gotten him into some trouble in the past, but that is natural for a rookie in the NFL. Williams will look like a completely different, and better, quarterback for Chicago in the pocket. The Bears scored the second-fewest points in the NFC last season, trailing teams like the Saints, Panthers, and disastrous Cowboys. While all that cannot be pinned on Williams, this is a crucial season for the young quarterback to prove himself. 

An offensive improvement will certainly be necessary for the Bears, but they also need to start getting stops and generating turnovers on defense. They had just 7 interceptions last year and failed to stop the run. The defensive line improvements will help the Bears in both of those categories, but they need a few explosive plays on defense to help lift Williams' confidence going the other way.  

The Bears have the tough task of playing in the NFC North, which means there will be few easy matchups for them this season. They are expected to be on the fringe of the postseason, but this is a team that truly feels boom-or-bust. There are reasons to expect a double-digit win total for the Bears, but also reasons to wonder if it will be a 5th straight sub .500 season. Knowing the Bears' history, it will probably be the latter, but a well-rounded team and a quarterback waiting to explode is a recipe for success in the NFL. 

Schedule Breakdown

On paper, the Bears have the second hardest schedule in the NFL with a combined opponent win percentage of .571. The trio of playoff teams from the NFC North last year contributes to a bulk of that number, but other matchups against the NFC East and AFC North are all incredibly difficult, too. Chicago has some layups with the Saints, Giants, Browns, and Raiders all penciled in as wins, but the rest of their schedule is certainly daunting. However, the Lions and Vikings are both expected to regress this season. If the Bears can split their divisional matchups while winning their ‘easy’ games, they will only need a few highlight reel wins to book a place in the playoffs. We will learn a lot about this team early on when they open up the year against the Vikings and Lions before heading to Dallas. 

Chicago Bears Odds

The Chicago Bears are expected to finish 8-9 this season. The Over 7.5 win line is juiced -155 to the over, while Under 8.5 wins is also -155. This would be a three-win improvement compared to their 5-12 record last season, but the Bears can walk away with even more. One line that I have been drooling over is the incredible +500 odds on Chicago to win the division. Taking the 5-12 Bears over three teams that made the playoffs last year is certainly a tall task, but they are all expected to regress. Detroit lost several key players in free agency, while the 14-3 Vikings were truly remarkable in one-score games. Assuming those two teams finish the year with more than the 5 combined losses they had last season, this will be a wide-open division and the +500 ticket will be the one you want in your fist. Regarding the postseason, Chicago has +175 odds to make the playoffs and -220 odds to miss. This seems reasonable considering their record and division from last year, but I have the utmost faith in Caleb Williams. Let’s not forget this team had a midseason coaching change last year after starting the season 4-2 before the infamous Jayden Daniels Hail Mary. To take it a step further, if the Bears can start the year off strong, they have +1600 odds to win the NFC and +4000 odds to win the Super Bowl. 

2025 Chicago Bears Season Predictions and Best Bets

I am going all-in on the Bears, and you should be too. This team is poised for a great season of football in Chicago, and the oddmakers are a little slow to react to their developments. Williams will put on a show with more protection in the pocket, and you can’t go wrong with Ben Johnson calling the plays. The Bears were crafty with their signings in free agency and cut plenty of dead weight, and I am calling for them to go on and win the NFC North. The other NFC North contenders are due to regress, and they did not make enough adjustments to get better in the offseason. At +500 odds, this is by far the best bet you can make. But I’m not done there… When looking for a season-long future to tail, it is always better to go for a longshot rather than lock up a significant portion of your bankroll. At +4000 odds, sprinkling on the Bears to win the Super Bowl is too good to pass up. If Chicago beats both Detroit and Minnesota to open up the season, they will suddenly be NFC North favorites, and these odds will be slashed. You will certainly have the chance to hedge this ticket in the playoffs, but this screams value and is a pick that must be locked in immediately. 

Top Pick: Chicago Bears to win the NFC North +500

Pick: Chicago Bears to win the Super Bowl +4000

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