2020 Chicago Bears Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
Last season, Chicago coach Matt Nagy learned that fortunes change quickly in the NFL. After his breakout 12-4 rookie coaching campaign in 2018 Chicago, regressed back to 8-8 and a third-place finish last season. Nagy is not on the hot seat, by any means. But that would change again if he can’t get the Bears back to their winnings.
This preseason, Nagy will face the most consequential decision of his coaching tenure in Chicago. He will have to choose his starting quarterback between three-year starter Mitch Trubisky or free agent acquisition Nick Foles. This is THE storyline for the Bears, and this decision will impact the entire trajectory of their season.
Nagy made his initial choice this weekend, naming Trusbisky as the team’s Week 1 starter. That doesn’t mean that the competition is over, though, and poor play from Trubisky could lead to Nagy having to make another decision on the matter during the season.
Personally, I don’t think there is a real choice here. Trubisky is a dud. History will view his selection (including the trade Chicago used to move up and acquire him) as one of the biggest gaffes in NFL history. The Bears already declined Trubisky’s fifth-year option, making him a free agent after this season, and nothing about his play over the last three seasons had made me think he’ll ever be anything but a replacement-level quarterback.
Foles has been a hard-luck guy his entire career. Despite some monster seasons (like his Pro Bowl 2013) and major moments (his 2017 championship run and Super Bowl MVP), Foles has never been able to find a home. Chicago is his fifth team in six years. Injuries have sabotaged chunks of his career – including a fractured clavicle in the first quarter of his first game in Jacksonville last year – and he just has not been able to establish himself as a consistent long-term option.
There is no doubt that Foles is the better player. But is he reliable? Will the Bears front office feel compelled to give Trubisky one more chance to save them from embarrassment? How short of a lease with Nagy have his fourth-year quarterback on?
The Bears offense has a lot of potential. Allen Robinson is one of the best and most underrated wide receivers in football. Anthony Miller, Cordarrelle Patterson and Ted Ginn are all capable compliments, and the Bears invested heavily in the tight end position this offseason. The Bears have an above average offensive line as well.
Tarik Cohen and David Montgomery are both versatile running backs. But since Nagy has taken over, the Bears have gotten too soft on offense. Neither Cohen or Montgomery have proven that they can be reliable 20-carry backs, and neither can be counted on to grind out tough yards. Nagy and OC Bill Lazor need to find a way to rectify that issue.
Take Chicago Bears ‘Over’ 6.5 Wins.
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