2022 Chicago Bears Predictions with Odds to Win Super Bowl
The Chicago Bears went 6-11 in 2021, which secured them a third-place finish in the NFC North. The revolving door at quarterback continued in the first season in the post Mitch Trubisky era. Andy Dalton started 6 games, and Justin Fields started 10 games, while Nick Foles also handled a game under center. The flashes shown by Fields is the most intriguing storyline. Dalton began as the starting QB before injuring his knee, and Fields took over. The former 11th overall pick also battled an ankle injury throughout the season. While a lot went wrong last season for the Bears, there is still a good deal of potential for this season. The franchise made a change at Head Coach and hired Matt Eberflus heading into the year.
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Chicago will begin their season at home with a matchup against the 49ers. They then will face the Packers in Green Bay before returning home to play the Texans. The Bears then have back-to-back road games against the Giants and Vikings before facing the Commanders on Thursday night at Soldier Field. The Bears have another prime-time week the following week on Monday night against the Cowboys before back-to-back home games against the Dolphins and Lions. Chicago will then have back-to-back road games against the Falcons and Jets before returning home to face the Green Bay Packers. The Bears bye week falls in Week 14. The Bears will travel to the East Coast to face the Eagles in Week 15 and then the Bills the following week. Their season will finish with back-to-back divisional matchups against the Lions and Vikings.
The Bears are +15000 to win the Super Bowl, which is tied for the second-longest odds in the NFL. They are +7000 to win the NFC Conference and +10000 to win the NFC North. Chicago’s season total over/under is set at 6.5, and the franchise is +400 to make the playoffs.
Key Players: Justin Fields, David Montgomery
The biggest factor heading into this year is that Fields is now officially The Guy. He will be backed up by Trevor Siemian and Nathan Peterman with the expectation that Fields takes the reigns. The Bears offense struggles last season, and finding more consistency could help them find their stride. Chicago ranked 27th in points scored and 24th in yards tallied in 2021. They also were 30th in team passing yards and 29th in passing touchdowns. The Bears turned the ball over at the third highest percentage across the NFL. In the 12 games of action that he played in, Fields was 159 for 270 (58.9%) on pass completions and threw for 7 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Darnell Mooney did manage to record over 100 yards of receiving, which was impressive for the second-year wide receiver.
The running game was the bright spot of the offense. David Montgomery led the team with 848 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Khalil Herbert also provided a nice change of pace and is set to return this year. The Bears ranked 11th in rushing attempts, 14th in rushing yards, and 18th in rushing touchdowns. There is still plenty of room for growth. And with both running backs under the age of 25, there is hope they will take another step forward this year.
Key Players: Roquan Smith, Jaylon Johnson
The arrival of head coach Eberflus brings a change in defense, as the Bears will shift from a 3-4 to a 4-3 defensive scheme. The defense had some notable losses this offseason, including Khalil Mack, Akiem Hicks, and Eddie Goldman. Each of these players played key roles in the defense last year and will be tough to replace. The return of Roquan Smith and Jaylon Johnson are sure to make an impact. The Bears also did a nice job adding defensive back in the draft.
The defense outperformed the offense in 2021 but still was far from excellent. Chicago ranked 6th in the NFL in yards allowed but 22nd in points allowed. They allowed the 3rd most passing yards 4th most passing touchdowns. The Bears are at their best when they have a dominant defense, and this unit does not seem to have that type of potential. Expect an improvement from the defense in 2022, but not one large enough to drastically alter the outlook of the team.
There is reason for optimism surrounding the Chicago Bears in 2022. With a new head coach designing the offense around Fields in his first full season as a starter, the outlook of the franchise is reliant on how good the young QB truly is. The 23-year-old showed flashes of brilliance but also struggled at times in the 2021 season.
While the Bears are set to see some improvement in 2022, they will not make any major noise. Their schedule is relatively easy, which makes the over 6.5 wins a solid bet. Winning at least 7 games should be a doable goal for this team. However, any postseason noise is likely a longshot, as the odds indicate.
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