2025 Cincinnati Bengals Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

A rough 4-8 start for Cincinnati in 2024 limited how far the Bengals would go last season. They opened up the season with three straight losses (by just 12 points combined) and they would limp to a 4-8 record through Week 13. Seven of those eight losses were by one possession. After the slow start, they found a spark and wound up going on a five-game winning streak to close out the regular season. Unfortunately for them, it was too little too late, and they wound up missing the playoffs. They were the only team in the AFC to miss the playoffs despite having a positive point differential on the season.
The offense ranked ninth in the league in YPG as they averaged over 365 yards, though most of this was through their air. The Bengals 27.8 PPG ranked sixth in the NFL. Joe Burrow was the man behind this top offense as he led the league in passing yards, passing touchdowns, and he managed a 70.6% CMP%. Burrow finished with 4,918 yards, 43 touchdowns, and just nine interceptions. He also added another 201 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Chase Brown led the rushing attack as he finished with 990 yards and seven touchdowns on 229 carries. Zack Moss finished second on the team with 242 rushing yards despite only appearing in eight games last season. Burrow’s favorite target, Ja’Marr Chase led the NFL in receiving yards (1,708) and receiving touchdowns (17). Tee Higgins also had an incredible year as he finished with 911 yards and 10 touchdowns on 73 receptions. Mike Gesicki finished with 665 yards and two touchdowns while Andrei Iosivas finished with 479 yards and six touchdowns.
Cincinnati’s defense was not great. They ranked 25th in the NFL in allowed YPG and in PPG. Germaine Pratt led the way with 143 tackles as the linebacker padded the stat sheet with five TFL’s, two interceptions, two forced fumbles, and six pass deflections. Logan Wilson joins Pratt as the other 100+ tackler for Cincinnati as he finished with 104 tackles. Trey Hendrickson finished the year with 17.5 sacks, which led the league, while also recording 19 TFL’s, six pass deflections, and 46 tackles. Geno Stone led the team with four interceptions while Cam Taylor-Britt led the way with 16 pass deflections. Taylor-Britt also recorded three interceptions and one TFL.
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Key Additions/Losses
The Bengals are returning most of the roster this season, pending the Hendrickson saga. Khalil Herbert has departed for the Colts while the offense line lost Trent Brown and Alex Cappa. Sam Hubbard retired, Pratt signed with the Raiders, and Mike Hilton hit the free agent market.
The incoming group was limited in potential due to the Bengals handing out extensions to Chase, Higgins, and Gesicki. However, they were able to replace Brown and Cappa with Lucas Patrick while the defense added McTelvin Agim, Taven Bryan, T.J. Slaton, and Oren Burks.
New Kids on the Block
The Bengals did not have the best draft class, and it could have been much worse if Shemar Stewart and the front office failed to reach an agreement. After an offseason full of drama between Stewart and the Bengals executives, the Bengals reached an agreement with their first-round pick. Stewart should be looked at as a replacement for Hendrickson in the long run, though he will need time to develop. He has an incredibly high ceiling, though it is worth noting that his production did not live up to the prowess. The rest of the draft class is as follows: Demetrius Knight Jr. (LB, South Carolina), Dylan Fairchild (OG, Georgia), Barrett Carter (LB, Clemson), Jalen Rivers (OG, Miami), Tahj Brooks (RB, Texas Tech).
X-Factors
Trey Hendrickson- The highly productive pass rusher has grown discontent with the Bengals front office. While he has remained on the team over the course of the offseason, he seems to be one of the few bandages holding this defense together. For a short time, the defensive line could be solid with Hendrickson and Stewart. However, there is little hope in thinking this defense will be any better than last years unit and losing Hendrickson could completely ruin this defense.
Cincinnati Bengals Notable Odds
Super Bowl Winner: +2300
AFC Champion: +1100
AFC North Winner: +270
NFL MVP- Joe Burrow: +600
AP Offensive Player of the Year- Ja’Marr Chase: +900
AP Offensive Player of the Year- Tee Higgins: +7500
Cincinnati Bengals Schedule Breakdown
Predicted Win Total: 9.5 Games
This win total is one of the toughest win totals to gauge. The offense should once again be one of the best in the NFL, but the defense could very well end up being the worst. They get the benefit of the Browns being one of the worst teams in the league, but other than their Week 8 matchup against the Jets, the lineup doesn’t feature too many teams totally down on their luck. They have an incredibly tough stretch from Week 3 to Week 7 with three road games (Minnesota, Denver, and Green Bay) and their two home games are against Detroit and Pittsburgh. Stealing just one win in that stretch could be incredibly important for their playoff hopes. They have another tough stretch from Week 13 to Week 15 with back-to-back road games against Baltimore and Buffalo and then a rematch against Baltimore at home. A slow start may also prompt a Hendrickson trade as they punt on the season and try and rebuild the defense. The extensions indicate a win now approach, but the defense is that bad.
2025 Cincinnati Bengals Predictions
I am taking the under on the win total. I do not see the Bengals reaching 10 wins with a lousy defense and a tough schedule. Hendrickson may not finish the season with the Bengals and while a return package would surely benefit in the long run, there would be little impact on the ensuing season which could keep the Bengals from the postseason. Chase could be the AP Offensive Play of the Year as he is the clear favorite for Burrow who continues to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. At +900 there is a lot to like in terms of value. As for the season, the Bengals have +122 odds to miss the playoffs which is another under the radar value pick as the standings should look similar again this season with Baltimore and Pittsburgh finishing ahead of the Bengals.
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