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2025 Washington Commanders Predictions with Odds to Win the Super Bowl and Season Win Totals

by Spencer Toth - 8/17/2025

Washington Commanders predictions Jayden Daniels

This is a pivotal season for the Washington Commanders. The franchise is on Cloud 9 after getting their first playoff win in two decades last season, then following it up with another one just one week later. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels had a dream first season in Washington, but the job is far from finished for the Commanders. The rest of the league now has a full season of film to dissect, and Daniels must avoid the dreadful ‘sophomore slump’ this season. However, Washington hasn’t left Daniels out to dry, as an abundance of offseason changes have this team ready to take the next step this season.

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Offseason Recap

The Washington Commanders could’ve sat back and taken time rebuilding around Jayden Daniels, but they elected to go all out and try to win the Super Bowl while the iron is hot. Their 12-5 record, followed by a pair of playoff wins, was certainly impressive, but there were still numerous holes in this roster that needed to be plugged. The Commanders went out and got Deebo Samuel for a fifth-round pick to slot into the WR2 role alongside Terry McLaurin. Samuel is certainly past his prime, but this move comes with little risk for the potential of huge upside. Samuel does his best work after the catch, and his flexibility, combined with Daniels’ wide variety of tricks, will give Kliff Kingsbury plenty of options on every play. There were a few departures from the receiving room, with Olamide Zaccheaus and Dyami Brown leaving the ranks, but Washington still has no shortage of pass catchers on their roster. 

The other big offensive change the Commanders made was solidifying their line. Protecting their prized quarterback is the top priority, and GM Adam Peters made sure Daniels is in safe hands this season. They brought in one of the best offensive linemen in the league from Houston, as it doesn’t get much better than Laremy Tunsil. Tunsil will be tasked with protecting Daniels’ blindside, and cost the Commanders a pretty penny to secure his services. Once you add in first-round draft pick Josh Conerly Jr., the Commanders' offensive line will give Daniels even more time in the pocket. That’s a terrifying thought for opposition defenses. 

On defense, the story wasn’t as kind for the Commanders as on the other side of the ball. Washington was a bottom-ten team in most of the major defensive categories, and they were badly exposed in the NFC Championship when they allowed 55 points against the Eagles. Their secondary was the biggest concern, and many Commanders fans will be happy to see Benjamin St-Juste depart this roster. He makes way for the incoming Will Harris from the Saints and second-round draft pick Trey Amos. A pair of new players in the secondary who can stop both the pass and the run is crucial for the Commanders. Too many times last season, Washington needed Daniels to bail out the defense in the fourth quarter, and the front office will be hoping that will no longer be the case. Finally, Washington also retooled their pass rush. The maligned Jonathan Allen leaves after nearly a decade in the DC area, but those tears were quickly dried when Von Miller came to town. The former Super Bowl MVP is a pure pass rusher at this stage of his career, and he will be an effective player on second and third down for the Commanders. They also picked up Javon Kinlaw to replace the outgoing Dante Fowler Jr. Fowler Jr. had an excellent season with the Commanders last year, and Kinlaw has big shoes to fill on the inside. Overall, the Commanders got better on both sides of the ball, and there is no reason to limit the aspirations of this team. 

Season Expectations

There are mixed expectations in Washington. On the one hand, it is easy to forget this team was 4-13 just one year ago, with limited expectations for their rookie quarterback. On the other hand, Washington just went 12-5 and smashed their way to the NFC Championship, and there is reason to expect an even deeper run this year. No matter how you slice it, it all comes down to the play of Jayden Daniels. 

Daniels has the potential to be the next great dual-threat quarterback, and that has taken the spotlight away from his electric passing game. His scrambling abilities will come in handy, but Daniels does his best work when he has time in the pocket, and he will have even more of that this season compared to last. One thing that is hard to portray with pure numbers is his clutch abilities for Washington. ‘As long as we have 5 (Daniels’ number), we have a chance’ was a motto thrown around their locker room last year, and it could not be more accurate. His relationship with Terry McLaurin in the fourth quarter is something special, and that is a partnership the Commanders must prioritize this season. McLaurin is currently holding in as he searches for a contract extension, but there is little doubt he will suit up in Week 1. He is one of the longest serving Commanders/Football Team/Redskins members, and has caught passes from an astonishing 12 different quarterbacks. It is hard to imagine him demanding out of Washington now that they are contenders with the franchise quarterback secured. 

It is incredibly difficult to find sustained success in the NFL without a top-half defensive and offensive unit, and the ceiling for Washington will hinge on its defensive play. Daniels is unlikely to take a step back this season and could potentially be the next face of the league if he continues his upward trajectory. However, we have seen Joe Burrow and the Bengals get limited by poor defense, and the Commanders will need to avoid falling into the same trap. 

Washington Commanders Schedule Breakdown

Washington has a difficult schedule to navigate this season. They are in the NFC East alongside the Super Bowl champions, and the Dallas Cowboys are also expected to be better this season. Their opponents' combined win percentage of .550 is the 8th hardest, as they also have to go through the AFC West and NFC North. Both of those divisions could send as many as three teams to the playoffs this season, and there aren’t too many easy wins on the Commanders' schedule. They wrap things up with three games against the Dolphins, Seahawks, and Falcons as a result of finishing second in the NFC East last season. The early-season games are worth the same as their last season contests, but it already feels like this team’s fate will be decided in the final three weeks, with two matchups against the Eagles and one against the Cowboys. 

Washington Commanders Odds

Washington came into the season last year with +15000 odds to win the Super Bowl. They now find themselves with the sixth shortest odds at +1800 coming into this year. What a difference one year can make for Washington, as the odds correctly identify this team as a legitimate postseason threat. In the regular season, Washington has a win total below their 12 wins last year at 9.5 wins. This feels a little disrespectful for a team coming off what they did last year, and the oddsmakers don’t even think it’s a sure thing they make the playoffs with -150 odds to do so. If they do make the playoffs, a Wild Card spot is the most likely path. The Eagles are -150 to win the NFC East, while the Commanders are +225 to do so. The odds are relatively confident in the exact order of Eagles-Commanders-Cowboys-Giants in the NFC East, as there are only +375 odds for that prop, which is the shortest for any order in any division. 

2025 Washington Commanders Season Predictions and Best Bets

Washington may not be able to replicate their magical run to the NFC Championship this season, but making the playoffs feels like the floor for this team. I am not a big fan of laying juice on season-long futures, but the -150 odds on the Commanders to make the playoffs are simply too good to be true. Daniels getting hurt is the only way this prop doesn’t cash, as this team is truly built to succeed on the offensive side of the ball. They could challenge for the top offensive spot in the league this season, and their defense is also expected to get slightly better. That is a no-brainer first bet to make on this team, and we will also be swinging for the fences with their Super Bowl odds at +1800. There isn’t much incentive to take their NFC odds at +850, as if this team is legit, they are a real Super Bowl threat. Daniels may turn out to be nothing more than a flash in the pan, but he may also turn out to be the next great NFL quarterback. The longer odds make hunting for the big payout the way to go, as Washington is set for another great season after decades of misery. 

Top Pick: Washington Commanders to make the Playoffs -150

Pick: Washington Commanders to win the Super Bowl +1800

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