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2016 Chicago Bears Expert Predictions and Season Win Totals Picks

by - 9/1/2016

Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler

2015 Record: 6-10

2016 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 7.5

2016 Season Win Total Prediction: 'Under'

Prior to training camp I thought the Bears might be a little undervalued heading into this season. They won just six games against a hellacious schedule last season. But Chicago was scrappy and a tough and suffered six losses by six points or fewer. With some subtle improvements and in Year 2 of the new coaching regime, I felt as if the Bears were a bit better than people realized.

Then I saw them play. And that's when I realized that they probably overachieved to get to six wins in 2015 and they could be worse this time around.

Last season John Fox seemed to bring an air of stability to a franchise that has seemingly made the wrong choice - be it in the draft, with coaches, or with free agents - every single time they've been presented with an option for the last 10 years. I have confidence in Fox's ability to build this team in the long-term. But in the short term things could get worse before they get better.

Chicago's roster is full of holes. They don't really have a running back. Other than Alshon Jeffery, the rest of their receiving corps is awful. The offensive line has been in decline. On defense, their secondary is one of the worst in football. The front seven, particularly the linebackers, are a definite strength. But that's not nearly enough to make up for the other gaping chasms.

Then there's Jay Cutler.

Jay Cutler has been the worst quarterback to bet on in the NFL over the last 25 years, with a minimum of 64 starts. Cutler has gone 54-78-3 against the spread in his career as a starter. That's a 60 percent loss rate for nearly 10 years! Betting against Jay Cutler has been the best gambling system in football.

Cutler is a natural loser. He is the anti-leader, and his total lack of charisma and heart are still the biggest anchor on this team. With a better, less turnover-prone leader maybe the Bears would be able to overachieve again this season. But once things start to go sideways for this overmatched roster you know Cutler's I-don't-give-a-shit attitude will be in full force, helping to drown any hopes of improvement for this squad.

Bears Regular Season Schedule (All times Eastern)

1

Sun, Sep 11th, 2016

at Houston

01:00 PM

NRG Stadium

2

Mon, Sep 19th, 2016

Philadelphia

08:30 PM

Soldier Field

3

Sun, Sep 25th, 2016

at Dallas

08:30 PM

AT&T Stadium

4

Sun, Oct 2nd, 2016

Detroit

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

5

Sun, Oct 9th, 2016

at Indianapolis

01:00 PM

Lucas Oil Stadium

6

Sun, Oct 16th, 2016

Jacksonville

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

7

Thu, Oct 20th, 2016

at Green Bay

08:25 PM

Lambeau Field

8

Mon, Oct 31st, 2016

Minnesota

08:30 PM

Soldier Field

9

Bye

10

Sun, Nov 13th, 2016

at Tampa Bay

01:00 PM

Raymond James Stadium

11

Sun, Nov 20th, 2016

at Ny_Giants

01:00 PM

MetLife Stadium

12

Sun, Nov 27th, 2016

Tennessee

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

13

Sun, Dec 4th, 2016

San_Francisco

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

14

Sun, Dec 11th, 2016

at Detroit

01:00 PM

Ford Field

15

Sun, Dec 18th, 2016

Green Bay

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

16

Sat, Dec 24th, 2016

Washington

01:00 PM

Soldier Field

17

Sun, Jan 1st, 2017

at Minnesota

01:00 PM

U.S. Bank Stadium

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