NFL Office Pool Picks Week 10
On paper this should be a pretty manageable week in our NFL office pools. There are four games with double-digit point spreads, which indicates that we don't need to think about those teams too much when picking the games straight up. And some of the games with smaller spreads feel straightforward, too. I am quite confident heading into this week's action. That often isn't a great thing for some reason, but we'll hope for the best:
Carolina at Pittsburgh: Both of these teams are playing pretty good football right now and are riding winning streaks. Pittsburgh's four-game streak is one longer than Carolina's, but I still don't believe in the Steelers as much as their opponents. It's purely a gut play, but take the Panthers.
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Detroit at Chicago: The Bears are leading the division. That is not a misprint. The Lions are in last in the division. That's not much of a surprise. Detroit will have issues with this Chicago team in a few ways, and Soldier Field is an advantage when the home team is playing well. Take the Bears.
New Orleans at Cincinnati: Cincinnati's defense is porous, and they are a mentally-weak team. The Saints are red-hot and very confident after beating the Rams, and their offense is very well-positioned here to have a big day. Take the Saints.
Atlanta at Cleveland: I just hate this game. The Falcons are weak and deeply-flawed. The Browns are probably more flawed and are dealing with a lot of changes. But they are at home, and they could get a boost in the second game after a coaching change. Total coin flip. The Falcons are more talented, so they get the nod - but I sure don't feel good about it.
New England at Tennessee: Tennessee's defense is strong, but the way the Patriots are playing right now that likely isn't going to matter too much. And the Tennessee offense is troubled and just isn't going to be able to match their opponent blow-for-blow. Take the Patriots.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis: Ugly divisional contest between two teams that just aren't very easy to care about right now. Indianapolis has played better of late, and have the much better offense, so they are the clear choice at home.
Arizona at Kansas City: Kansas City scores more than 36 points per game. Arizona scores less than 14. If you see this game as anything other than a stone-cold lock, you are doing it wrong. Take the Chiefs.
Buffalo at New York Jets: The Jets are inconsistent and problematic - as expected with a new QB being thrown into the deep end. But the Bills are a complete and utter mess. I hate having to trust bad teams, but there is no choice here - take the Jets.
Washington at Tampa Bay: Washington is a first-place team, but they sure didn't look like one last time out, and I have trouble trusting them as a result. Ryan Fitzpatrick has his issues, but his team obviously likes playing with him, and that is what matters. He is the difference here. Take the Bucs.
L.A. Chargers at Oakland: The Raiders have shown that no player is safe and that this year is just not anything close to a priority. The Chargers, meanwhile, have won five in a row and are playing their best football in years right now. Ugly mismatch. Take the Chargers.
Miami at Green Bay: Green Bay is a heavy betting favorite in this one, and I just don't get it. They are below .500, their coach is clearly and obviously going to be fired, and they just aren't clicking. But Miami isn't a great team, and Lambeau is still a tough place to play. I don't feel great about it by any means, but I have to take the Packers.
Seattle at L.A. Rams: Seattle is a flawed team just aching for a coaching change and a rebuild. The Rams are an angry team looking to work out their frustrations after a tough loss last week. This is a game that could get ugly. Take the Rams.
Dallas at Philadelphia: Amari Cooper wasn't the problem in his Dallas debut - far from it. But that game made clear that the team has neither the right QB nor the right coach to get things on track. Philadelphia is far from great right now, but they are clearly better, and they are at home. Take the Eagles.
New York Giants at San Francisco: Nick Mullens is not only an NFL starter, but also the difference in this game. And that's why the NFL is a bizarre league. Take the Niners.
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