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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 14


by - 12/5/2018

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill

Last week is a good example of how sometimes just picking winners straight up can be tougher than making winning bets. We wound up going a pretty dismal 9-7 straight up, but against the spread we passed on two games and went 9-5 ATS on the others. It was an ugly week on the field but a less ugly week at the betting window. I'll take the profit over NFL office pool success any time, but it would be even better to have both. And that's just what we are going to be on the hunt for here.

Jacksonville at Tennessee: Tennessee won ugly against the Jets last week, but it was a true masterpiece up against the ugly Jacksonville win. Neither of these teams are in a good place, but Tennessee is at home and has more stability at quarterback. Take the Titans.

New York Giants at Washington: Washington has Mark Sanchez as their starting quarterback. He hasn't been with the organization for long, and as I write this they don't have a viable backup. I don't like much about New York, but they beat a good Bears team, so they can certainly beat the Sanchize. Take the Giants.

Atlanta at Green Bay: Atlanta has given up. Green Bay has given up. There was a time when this would have been a marquee matchup. Now it's a game not even the players want to check out. Green Bay is at home, and they have a potential short-term boost from their coaching change coming, so they get the nod here. Begrudgingly. Take the Packers.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay: New Orleans had an inexplicable loss last week. They should be very angry. And they are very good - much better than Tampa Bay. Don't over think this one - take the Saints.

Baltimore at Kansas City: Baltimore has won three in a row and is playing pretty well, while Kansas City struggled to beat an awful Oakland team. But the game is in Kansas City, and the home side is a week removed from their off-field drama, and they should be angry. Take the Chiefs.

Carolina at Cleveland: Carolina had a horrible offensive game last week and dealt with it by firing two defensive coaches. Makes sense to me. The season had so much promise at the outset, but it has gone so wrong. Cleveland is in far from an ideal place, but they are at home and are more stable. Take the Browns.

Indianapolis at Houston: The Colts had improbably found some real success, but they threw all credibility out of the window when they got shut out by the Jaguars. Ugly. Now they travel to play a Houston team that is about to win 10 straight. Take the Texans.

New England at Miami: New England is the far better team - even if they are far from the best they have been - and they have always done well against these Dolphins. There is only one play - take the Patriots.

New York Jets at Buffalo: The Bills are a long way from good, but Josh Allen has quietly really established himself on the ground. The Jets aren't playing great, and they don't have stability at QB. Take the Bills.

Denver at San Francisco: It would have been impossible to believe a month ago, but the Broncos are in good form and are playing really well right now. San Francisco, to be kind, isn't. Total mismatch. Take the Broncos.

Cincinnati at L.A. Chargers: Remember at the start of this season - and the last several, for that matter - when I was very confident that the Bengals would be a disaster. And see how I am right - both now and then. Why so confident? Because Marvin Lewis really is that bad. Worse, even. The Chargers are the only real team here, and they are the very easy pick.

Pittsburgh at Oakland: Pittsburgh is a good team coming off an unfortunate loss. Oakland is a shockingly awful team coming off a solid offensive day ruined by a defensive travesty. Easy pick - take the Steelers.

Detroit at Arizona: Arizona got a surprising win last week, but that has as much to do with a Green Bay team sick of their fate and done with their coach as it did with anything Arizona did. Now they are home, and Detroit is a long way from a good team, but the Lions are still more talented, and they have to be the pick.

Philadelphia at Dallas: In the ever-shifting pit of true mediocrity that is the NFC East, this game has suddenly become a very crucial one for divisional supremacy. I really don't like much of what either team is doing, but Dallas is at home and their win over the Saints was either impressive or a massive fluke. Either way, it gives them the nod. Take the Cowboys.

L.A. Rams at Chicago: The Rams had a concerning day in many ways and still won handily. The Bears had a concerning day in many ways and managed to lose to the Giants. Really good teams don't lose to the Giants. And L.A. has shown that they only lose to really good teams. Take the Rams.

Minnesota at Seattle: I still don't think that the Seahawks are really any good, but they have won three in a row and are in pretty good shape in the playoff race in a conference that isn't nearly as deep or impressive as it seemed like it would be. Minnesota is one of those teams that has been a letdown, and they have been lousy on the road. Take the Seahawks.

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