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Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, 1/2/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

by Tony Sink - 12/27/2022

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Game: Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Monday, January 2, 2023

Location: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN/ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Bengals (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) will try to beat the Buffalo Bills (12-3) at Paul Brown Stadium on Monday. Buffalo opens this contest as 1-point favorites. The total comes in at 49.5.

The Buffalo Bills head into this matchup 12-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Bills played against the Bears and took home the win by a score of 35-13. Josh Allen went 15/26 with 172 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 71.3 and walked away from the contest with 2 picks. Devin Singletary led the offense in rushing for the Bills with 12 totes for 106 yds (8.8 yards per attempt). Gabriel Davis averaged 15.0 yards per reception by accumulating 45 yds on 3 catches. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 31 different times and compiled 254 yds, earning them an average of 8.2 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 58 plays for 426 yds. Buffalo allowed 18 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 129 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.3%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bills conceded 80 yds on 29 tries, which is 2.8 yds per run allowed.

The Bills have earned 6,034 yards in total for the season. Buffalo has accrued 202 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 90 infractions for 689 yds. With reference to getting in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 32 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 24 different times (13 picks and 11 fumbles lost). Offensively they're holding an average of 142.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 8th in the league. In terms of scoring points, the Buffalo Bills are averaging 28.0 points per outing.

The Bills sit in 2nd in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 17.5 points per game. They are giving up 4.3 yards per tote and 104.4 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,566 rushing yards through 15 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Bills have allowed 3,199 yards which ranks them 15th in the league. They have conceded 213.3 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 63.4%. In total, they are giving up 317.7 yards/game which has them ranked 7th in the NFL. They have yielded 18 touchdowns via the pass as well as 10 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bengals head into this matchup 11-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Bengals went home victorious with a score of 22-18 when they played the Patriots. Joe Burrow (3 TDs) finished the contest with 375 yards on 40/52 through the air while his quarterback rating was 99.4. He tossed 2 interceptions and his Y/A was 7.2 yards. Tee Higgins was featured in the passing game for the Bengals, hauling in 8 throws for 128 yards (16.0 yds per reception). Joe Mixon carried the ball 16 times for 65 yds, ending the game with 4.1 yds per attempt for Cincinnati. The Bengals finished the contest with 442 yards and they ran 78 plays (5.7 yds per play). Cincinnati rushed for 3.0 yds per attempt, totaling 73 yards on 24 attempts. Cincinnati relinquished 16 running attempts for 61 yds (3.8 yards per carry). The Bengals pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 63.6%, surrendering 224 yards on 21 out of 33 through the air.

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The Cincinnati Bengals maintain an average of 367.4 yards per contest which has them sitting 7th in the league. They maintain an average of 98.2 run yards per game and have run for 1,473 yards for this season. The Cincinnati offense has compiled 588 yds of penalties on 78 violations, which is good for 24th in football in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 12 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 209 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bengals have thrown for a total of 4,038 passing yards as well as holding an average of 269.2 throwing yards per game, putting them at 5th in football. Regarding how much they score, the Bengals rank 6th out of all teams in football with 26.1 PPG.

They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 225.9 yards/game, which has them in 21st in football. Cincinnati has allowed the opposition a total of 1,596 yards rushing (106.4 yards/game) and 11 touchdowns by ground this season. They have tallied 20 turnovers (9 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) on the season. The Bengals defense has participated in 921 plays, which has them ranked 10th in football. This season, they have relinquished 306 points in total. The Bengals are relinquishing 20.4 points per contest, which has them in 9th in football.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Bengals NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bengals +1

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