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Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots Prediction, 10/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

by Guy Bruhn - 10/18/2022

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Game: Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Date: Monday, October 24, 2022

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 38.5

Gillette Stadium is the site where the New England Patriots (3-3) will compete against the Chicago Bears (2-4) on Monday. Chicago opens this game as 6-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 38.5.

The Chicago Bears head into this game 2-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bears played against the Commanders and ended up losing by a score of 12-7. Justin Fields went 14/27 with 190 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 71.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. Dante Pettis left with an average of 21.0 yds per reception by accounting for 84 yds on 4 catches. Justin Fields led the offense in rushing for the Bears with 12 carries for 88 yds (7.3 yds per attempt). In all, they had 69 plays which gave them a total of 392 yds. The Chicago Bears ran the football 37 times and accumulated 238 yards, which came out to an average of 6.4 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Bears gave up 128 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 4.6 yds per run allowed. Chicago conceded 12 completions on 22 attempts for 86 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%.

The Bears have earned 1,762 total yards for the season. Chicago has a total of 35 1st downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 31 infractions for 253 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Chicago has compiled 4 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 10 times (5 interceptions and 5 fumbles). As a unit they hold an average of 170.8 yards rushing ranking this team at 2nd in the NFL. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Chicago Bears are averaging 15.5 points per outing.

The Bears are ranked 12th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, allowing 19.7 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 163.0 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. In total, they have allowed 978 rushing yards through 6 games. Concerning passing yards, the Bears have allowed 1,072 yards which has them sitting in 3rd in the league. They are giving up 178.7 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.2%. For the season, they are allowing 341.7 yards per game which ranks them 16th in football. They have given up 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 9 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Patriots head into this game 3-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots took home the win by a final score of 38-15 against the Browns. Bailey Zappe (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 309 yards on 24/34 through the air while his quarterback rate was 118.4. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 9.1 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 19 times for 76 yards, ending the contest with 4.0 yds per carry for New England. DeVante Parker was featured in the passing game for the Patriots, grabbing 4 passes for 64 yards (16.0 yards per catch). New England ran for 3.4 yds per carry, finishing with 98 yards on 29 carries. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 399 yards while running 65 plays (6.1 yards per play). The Patriots secondary conceded a completion rate of 46.7%, surrendering 258 yards on 21 out of 45 through the air. New England allowed 18 attempts on the ground for 70 yards (3.9 yards per rush).

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When looking at their ability to score points, the Patriots sit 12th in football holding an average of 23.5 PPG. Over the course of the season to this point, the Patriots have earned 1,340 passing yards as well as an average of 223.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 19th in the league. They have an average of 131.3 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 788 yards overall. The New England Patriots average 354.7 yards per contest ranking them 13th out of all teams in the league. The New England offense has 299 yds of penalties on 38 violations, which has them sitting 9th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 6 picks while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have obtained 63 first downs.

The Patriots are giving up 18.8 PPG, which has them ranked 8th of all teams in the league. They have given up 9 touchdowns via the pass and 218.8 yards/outing, ranking them 14th in the NFL. Over the course of the season, they have given up 113 total points. New England has conceded a total of 714 yards rushing (119.0 yards per game) as well as 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. The Patriots defense has been on the field for 378 plays, which has them ranked 18th in the NFL. They have 12 takeaways (6 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots -6

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