NFL Office Pool Picks Week 6
Last week was a mixed bag when it comes to my NFL picks , but after looking back at it I don't have a lot of regrets. There were some picks that felt tough at the time but worked out right - Seattle over the Rams, Arizona over the Bengals, Carolina over Jacksonville. And, for the most part, the games I got wrong are games that I would pick the same way if I had to - the Chiefs, Chargers and Bears all lost games they shouldn't have, and it doesn't feel like any of those teams would lose those games a majority of the time if they were played over and over again. The only game I have real regrets about is taking the Giants over the Vikings. Even with the Kirk Cousins fiasco, the Vikings are the dramatically better team, and picking against them was just too cute. Stupid, even. So, let's avoid the stupid picks and see how things turn out in Week 6 , shall we?:
New York Giants at New England: The Patriots have some concerns that could turn into issues - their lack of a stellar tight end, and a lack of receiver depth, for example. But that has yet to be an issue because their schedule has been laughable. And though Daniel Jones and company are somewhat less humiliating than I expected, they still don't exactly elevate the degree of difficulty for New England. Take the Patriots.
Carolina at Tampa Bay: The Bucs are a team I have struggled to figure out all year. Not the only one, and not even the most confusing, but definitely one that causes me to scratch my head. Carolina is a team that I liked a lot coming into the season, and despite the QB woes, they are on a roll. This is a tough one, but I'll count on the roll to keep going. Take the Panthers.
New Orleans at Jacksonville: Gardner Minshew has been a great story, but the problem is that he is on a team with more distractions than strength. And despite plenty of excuses, the talent in New Orleans continues to shine through. Take the Saints.
Houston at Kansas City: Houston's offensive line has been shockingly good of late, and it made a huge difference last week. And it feels like a weakness has been found for the Chiefs - man coverage. Houston has the momentum. But the Chiefs are at home and are too talented to get caught flat footed three games in a row. Take the Chiefs.
Seattle at Cleveland: One of the biggest hype trains heading into the season was the Cleveland Browns. And I was into it. But so far they look disturbingly like the Browns. And it is a problem. That offense - or total lack of it - last week was just so ugly. Seattle is playing well right now and is the easy pick here. Take the Seahawks.
Philadelphia at Minnesota: The Vikings had a better outing last time, but it was also against the Giants, so there is an asterisk. And I still don't trust Kirk Cousins at all - not against a real team like this one. Take the Eagles.
Cincinnati at Baltimore: Only one of these teams is currently a real NFL team. Only one has proven, competent coaching. Only one has a QB that the team is happy about. Only one is good enough to win this game. Take the Ravens.
Washington at Miami: When was the last time a game this bad was played? It has been awhile. Both teams are so irredeemably awful. I guess we'll give Washington credit for a potential new coach bounce, but this game is just awful. Take the Redskins.
Atlanta at Arizona: Atlanta is a broken team. Just a mental mess. And they know it. Arizona is deeply flawed, but they are working at it and look like they are having fun. Home team rules here. Take the Cardinals.
San Francisco at L.A. Rams: The Rams are still looking for their mojo. The Niners have no doubt where theirs is, and they are playing great defense to go with solid enough offense. A year ago, this game would have felt very lopsided. Now it feels so much different. Take the Niners.
Dallas at New York Jets: This is a tougher game than it should be. The Jets are a mess and have too many issues. And the way the Cowboys were playing through the first three weeks, it seemed like they were true Super Bowl contenders . It would have been a mismatch at that point. And it probably is still. But the Cowboys have seen their wheels fall off the last two weeks, and the problems feel like the type that could linger because they feel like they are mental. You still have to take the Cowboys, but it's not as comfortable as it should be.
Tennessee at Denver: Denver finally got a win, but it felt far more circumstantial than it was a sign of things to come. I don't think any corner has been turned. Tennessee is a tough team to call because you never know what you are going to get from them, but their best is so much the best in this one. Take the Titans.
Pittsburgh at L.A. Chargers: This should have been an instant classic, but now it's just a mess. At this rate, I will be starting at quarterback for the Steelers in the next few weeks. And the Chargers just keep finding new and increasingly painful ways to shoot themselves in the foot each week. It felt like there was a good chance that these were the wild card teams in the AFC heading into the season. Now they both face an uphill battle just to finish at .500. Take the Chargers, but don't bet on it.
Detroit at Green Bay: I am pleasantly surprised by a lot that is going on in Detroit. I, and everyone else, didn't see it coming, but it feels surprisingly sustainable. And Green Bay is a team that I still struggle to trust. But they are at home, and they are scoring more points. Take the Packers.
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