NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Handicapping: Ranking the Available QB Options
by Trevor Whenham - 3/15/2013
The top prize of the year for teams that needed a new quarterback in the NFL was Alex Smith. The Chiefs have secured him, but there are still a whole lot of teams that need a new guy under center — either right now or in the near future. This year is a whole lot different than last year where Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III were can’t-miss prospects and a few others were fairly low-risk. This year there doesn’t seem to be a home run out there — in the draft, in free agency, or through trade. There are some interesting options, though. Here is my ranking of the top 5 QB options teams could settle for this year:
NFL Odds and Picks: Wes Welker & Reggie Bush Props
by Alan Matthews - 3/14/2013
There have been some very curious free-agent decisions made in recent years, but I can't remember one that has drawn more scrutiny and surprise than New England Patriots receiver Wes Welker deciding on Wednesday to sign with the Denver Broncos. The only move I could see in this year's free agency rivaling that as a surprise is Chicago Bears linebacker Brian Urlacher, who is an unrestricted free agent, choosing to finish his Hall of Fame career with the hated Packers.
NFL Odds and Picks: Percy Harvin & Anquan Boldin Trade Props
by Alan Matthews - 3/12/2013
Remember the 2010 regular season when the NFC West was being pilloried as one of the worst divisions in National Football League history? The Seattle Seahawks made history that year by winning the West and reaching the playoffs with a 7-9 record. The San Francisco 49ers, in their final season pre-Jim Harbaugh, finished a game back of the Seahawks and Rams at 6-10.
Alex Smith to the Chiefs Betting Props Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 2/28/2013
Last offseason there was a rare big trade in the NFL, with the Miami Dolphins sending star receiver Brandon Marshall to the Chicago Bears for two third-round picks. Chicago immediately become considered a significant Super Bowl contender. The team fell short of the playoffs despite a 10-6 record, but it wasn’t Marshall’s fault as he had the best season for a receiver in Bears history with 118 catches for 1,508 yards and 11 touchdowns. Marshall just didn’t have any help on offense.
2013 NFL Draft Predictions: Combine Risers and Fallers
by Trevor Whenham - 2/26/2013
A player’s career can’t be made or ruined at the NFL Combine, but they sure can change the impression of teams and fans in a hurry. Guys like Vernon Davis can go from obscure to highly-valued with one explosive athletic display. I won’t pick on any one player who has disappointed athletically at the Combine in the past, but there are plenty of those as well.
Top Quarterbacks in the 2013 NFL Draft Class
by Trevor Whenham - 2/18/2013
We have been very spoiled by the quarterback draft classes in the last couple of years. Just think about it — Wilson, Griffin and Luck last year, and Newton, Dalton and Kaepernick the year before. That’s six very competent starting quarterbacks, and that doesn’t include incomplete projects with upside like Locker, Gabbert, Ponder, Tannehill, Weeden, Foles or Cousins. That is two straight bumper crops of starter-caliber (with more than a couple superstars) quarterbacks. Impressive.
Key Offseason Storylines for NFL Handicappers
by Trevor Whenham - 2/12/2013
There really is no real time off for bettors who want to be serious about winning in the NFL. It’s a long time until we will be able to watch another game, but there is no shortage of things to pay close attention to until then. Coaching shuffles, free agency, the Combine, the draft, mini camps — it never ends. As we head into the very busy offseason, here are five key storylines for bettors on the hunt for value to pay close attention to.
2013 NFL Draft: Players That Will Make Immediate Impact
by Trevor Whenham - 2/11/2013
Now that the Super Bowl is behind us, it is time to turn our attention to the NFL Draft. It is a bit of a different draft this year because there quite possibly won’t be a quarterback taken in the Top 10 picks, and there isn’t a QB certain to be a star this year. In recent years we have been spoiled by the rookie classes of QBs, but now we need to look deeper for real impact in this draft.
2014 Super Bowl Handicapping: Can Ravens Repeat?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/4/2013
I have written a whole lot of articles over the years. Thousands. This one could be the shortest one yet. Will the Ravens win the Super Bowl again next year? No. I could leave it there, and I am pretty confident that I would be right. Since I have the time, though — football doesn’t start up for seven months after all — I’ll go a little deeper. The Ravens are going to be very hard pressed to repeat their hard earned Super Bowl next year because of at least five reasons:
Grading the 2013 NFL Coaching Hires
by Trevor Whenham - 1/21/2013
Eight NFL teams — fully a quarter of the league — fired their coaches last year, which is yet more proof of how thankless the job of NFL head coach has become. All eight vacancies have now been filled, which means it is a good time to grade the hires. Before we look at each team and grade their coaching hire in turn, let me just say that this is an impressive group of new coaches. Most years there are a couple of picks that leave you scratching your head — or imagining how soon the team will be hiring again. This year, though, it’s hard to find major fault with any of the picks. Teams did a far worse job filling GM vacancies, but on the coaching front the early returns are that this was a strong offseason.
NFL Conference Championship Player Props Odds and Betting Picks
by Alan Matthews - 1/18/2013
Well, as has been the case for most of the past decade, both No. 1 seeds failed to make it to conference championship weekend in the NFL playoffs. In fact, we came only about 31 seconds from both failing to do so this season, but Atlanta’s Matt Ryan showed why his nickname is “Matty Ice” with last week’s game-winning field goal drive against Seattle for the NFC’s top-seeded Falcons.
Ravens at Patriots Picks and NFL Betting Odds
by Trevor Whenham - 1/17/2013
The Ravens should not be able to beat the Patriots. Not on the road, and not when they are facing a future Hall of Fame quarterback playing at the peak of his abilities. Of course, the exact same thing could have been said last week, and after one of the craziest games in memory the Ravens were left standing, and Peyton Manning was left to consider what could have been. Now Baltimore needs to get their emotions in charge, reload their luck, and give it another try as we await the next chapter of their unlikely run.
Potential Super Bowl Matchups: Odds and Analysis
by Trevor Whenham - 1/15/2013
We don’t yet know which two teams will be playing in the Super Bowl, but at this point there are only four possibilities. It seems like a good idea to rank each of those four possibilities in terms of betting attractiveness (odds of each matchup occurring are from Bovada):
NFL Divisional Round Weekend Player Props Odds and Betting Picks
by Alan Matthews - 1/11/2013
Well, that was a disappointing NFL wild-card weekend. Every game went under the total and every game was pretty ugly offensively. They say pitching wins championships in baseball, and considering the offensively-challenged but pitching-rich San Francisco Giants have won two titles in the past three years, it’s true. And maybe defense and a running game are still the most important things in the NFL’s postseason. That was the case last weekend, with no team scoring more than 24 points. Thus I did technically win the highest-scoring team prop as I went with the Packers; the Ravens and Seahawks also put up 24 points.
Packers at 49ers Picks and NFL Betting Odds
by Robert Ferringo - 1/9/2013
When listing the top playoff rivalries in the NFL, it might take someone a long time before they get to Green Bay vs. San Francisco. But when the Packers and 49ers square off this weekend, it will be reminiscent of some of the most epic postseason battles of the last quarter-century.
NFL Totals Betting: Divisional Round Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 1/9/2013
This season’s NFL Super Bowl derby kicked off last weekend with the Wild-Card Round of the playoffs. Not only did all four favorites win their game both straight up and against the spread, the total stayed “under” in all four games. After a successful regular season, I carried my winning ways into the postseason with a 2-1 record on last week’s picks.
NFL Teasers: Divisional Playoffs Basic Strategy Teases
by George Monroy - 1/9/2013
The divisional round of the NFL playoffs is finally here. Now is the point where we separate the men from the boys. This weekend fans will be treated to four fantastic playoff matchups, all of which have no shortage of interesting storylines and drama. On the AFC side of things, both the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots are favored by anywhere from nine to 10 points (depending on the sportsbook). Over in the NFC, the games are a bit closer as both home teams are 2.5-point favorites, which mean two things for fans: the possibility of an exciting game, and, most importantly, the chance to bet basic strategy teaser games. Let’s take a look at the two basic strategy teaser games on the docket and try and see if they are worth a bet.
NFL Divisional Playoffs: Ranking the Games
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2013
The NFL Wild-Card Round this year was, in a word, horrible. The matchups largely weren’t intriguing, and even when they were the games didn’t turn out well. There wasn’t a game played last weekend that would rank in the Top 20 all year. Or even the Top 50. That’s not what the playoffs are supposed to be about. Thankfully, things should be much better this weekend. The teams are better, the matchups are more intriguing, and surely we can’t have such bad luck two weeks in a row. Here’s a look at how the four divisional playoff games rank this weekend from a betting perspective:
NFL Wild-Card Weekend Player Props Odds and Betting Picks
by Alan Matthews - 1/4/2013
I had some moderate success picking the “mosts” during the regular season in terms of rushing, passing and receiving yards and highest-scoring teams each week. But I will have no excuse for not hitting at least two of those each of the next two weeks during the NFL playoffs with only four games each weekend.
This Week in NFL Betting by the Numbers
by Ricky Dimon - 1/4/2013
And then there were 12…. Eight will be in action this weekend, with the Broncos, Patriots, Falcons, and 49ers enjoying the luxury of sitting back and relaxing. The 2013 playoff action will begin with a team that was favored to win the Super Bowl as recently as mid-November (Houston), and the wild-card round will end with two rookie quarterbacks going head-to-head. In between we’ll be treated to the favorite for NFL MVP (Adrian Peterson) paying a visit to the Frozen Tundra, plus an encounter that has more storylines than “The NeverEnding Story” (Colts at Ravens).
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