NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Betting: Recapping the First Quarter of Season
by T.O. Whenham - 10/2/2012
With the exception of Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, all teams in the NFL have now played a quarter of their NFL schedule. All have survived, some have thrived, and some probably wish they could start over again. For bettors, there have surely been some highs and some lows — hopefully more of the former.
NFL Handicapping: Any Value in Saints Futures Odds?
by Ricky Dimon - 10/2/2012
Bounty-gate was never expected to end well for the New Orleans Saints, but few could have imagined that it would have turned out like this through four weeks of the 2012 NFL season. The Saints, who went 13-3 last year and had compiled a 37-11 record over the course of the three previous regular seasons, are a shocking 0-4. Is another Super Bowl victory out of the question?
NFL Handicapping: Home Underdogs Very Profitable
by T.O. Whenham - 9/28/2012
I’ve seen a lot of talk recently about how strong underdogs have been early in this NFL season. Of most interest from a betting perspective have been the start that home underdogs have gotten off to. There has been a road favorite in 19 games through the first three weeks of the regular season. In 13 of those games the road dog has covered the spread. Even more impressively, 12 of those 13 underdogs have won outright. For moneyline bettors that means a serious payday.
NFL Handicapping: Can 0-3 Saints Save Their Season?
by T.O. Whenham - 9/28/2012
What a mess. The New Orleans Saints came into this season with high expectations. The NFC is very deep, but the Saints were seen by many as a very legitimate Super Bowl contender — an elite squad. Just three games into the season, though, the season is spinning out of control, and it’s on the verge of being lost.
NFL Handicapping: Ditch the Assumptions
by T.O. Whenham - 9/27/2012
Most sports bettors are lazy. They get an idea about a team or player’s performance and they stick with it — even if it isn’t particularly accurate any more. Getting stuck on assumptions and outdated opinions is a problem when you are having an argument, but when you are using those assumptions to base your betting decisions on it can be downright expensive.
Handicapping Rough Starts for NFL Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 9/26/2012
Teams don’t want to start out 1-2 in the NFL, but this year it seems like that is the “cool” record. Nearly half of the league — 15 of the 32 teams — have started out at this mark. That’s more than we would expect. Some teams at 1-2 are on the road to futility, while others are going to be headed for the playoffs once they get back on track.
NFL Picks: Browns at Ravens Betting Predictions and Football Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 9/26/2012
The first edition of the Modell Bowl this year has some added significance — it’s the first one played since Art Modell died earlier this month. Most Cleveland fans probably won’t miss him. Unfortunately, the fans in Cleveland haven’t had much to cheer for since Modell left town, and this year so far has been more of the same. Cleveland is one of only two teams in the league that hasn’t won a game yet.
NFL Betting: Handicapping Jay Cutler and the Bears
by T.O. Whenham - 9/20/2012
Jay Cutler is... unique. He’s far from the best quarterback in the league (with Jason Campbell as his backup I don’t even think he’s the best QB on his team), but the league would unquestionably be less interesting if he wasn’t in it. Of course, I can say that because I have no emotional attachment to the Bears whatsoever, and I rarely feel the need to bet on them.
NFL Handicapping: Are Arizona Cardinals a Contender?
by T.O. Whenham - 9/20/2012
If you tell me that you predicted that the Cardinals would be at 2-0 at this point in the season, and that one of those wins would be at New England, then even though I probably don’t know you I am going to call you a liar. You would have to be a really committed Arizona fan or a pill popper to have seen this one coming. Yet, there are only six unbeaten teams remaining, and one of them is based in Phoenix. Truly bizarre.
NFL Picks: Giants at Panthers Odds and Betting Predictions
by T.O. Whenham - 9/19/2012
This game should be a lot more than it is. You have the defending Super Bowl Champion playing last season’s Rookie of the Year -- one of the most exciting players in the league in years. It should be a thrilling game, and a great way to start the third week of the NFL season.
Weekly Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks: Week 3 vs. Cardinals
by David Schwab - 9/19/2012
The Philadelphia Eagles renew an old division rivalry this Sunday afternoon when they travel to University of Phoenix Stadium to square off against the Arizona Cardinals. The game is scheduled to kick off at 4:05 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on FOX. This betting preview is part of an ongoing series that started with Game 1 of the preseason where I take an in-depth look at each and every Eagles game this year and offer a free NFL pick using Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System.
NFL Betting: Are Washington Redskins a Super Bowl Contender?
by T.O. Whenham - 9/13/2012
I have now had four days to digest what I saw on opening Sunday of the NFL season in New Orleans when the Redskins manhandled the Saints, but it still doesn’t make any sense. The story of the game heading in was pretty much universally shared. New Orleans was an elite team coming off a tough season that had galvanized them, and they were ready to prove they were among the class of the NFC. Washington had an exciting young QB, but he was still a raw rookie and he had a shocking shortage of depth around him, so it was likely to take time for him to find his wings.
NFL Week 2 Quarterback Performance Special Props and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/13/2012
Bovada has always been great about releasing some NFL player/team special props each week of the season, and there are several out for Week 2. Here is a look at the ones involving a few quarterbacks because, let’s face it, the NFL is a quarterback league. That is what the public likes to bet on.
NFL Picks: Bears at Packers Predictions and Betting Odds
by T.O. Whenham - 9/12/2012
The NFC North should be a three-team dogfight this year, so this bitter rivalry has particular importance. A loss would be a real blow for either team — and especially the Packers after their opening setback. After losing only once all of last year, starting off 0-2 would definitely not be the way things were supposed to start out.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 2 Over and Under Predictions
by David Schwab - 9/12/2012
The 2012 NFL regular season got underway with a bang last week as the average number of points scored was the most in Week 1 since 1970. Nine of the games went “over” the total, with six of the games covering by double-digits. I missed the mark on two of my three picks last week, so it is back to the drawing board for Week 2.
NFL Handicapping: Week 1 Bad Quarterback Performances
by T.O. Whenham - 9/11/2012
The opening week of the NFL season was defined by two contrasting themes this year. On one hand there was some shockingly good offensive production on display — five teams scored 40 or more points, and that has never happened before in the opening week. For teams that weren’t so lucky, though, there was some shockingly bad QB play on display.
NFL Handicapping: First Head Coach Fired Props and Prediction
by Alan Matthews - 9/7/2012
The NFL is not Major League Baseball, the NBA or the NHL. Those leagues’ seasons drag on for months and months, with 162 regular-season games in MLB and 82 in the NBA and NHL. Because of the length of those seasons and the possibility that a team can turn its fortunes around as late as midseason, you often see coaches/managers fired during the season.
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Week 1 Props and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 9/7/2012
The 1983 NFL Draft has long been considered the “quarterback draft” as six signal-callers were drafted in the first round that year, oddly all by AFC teams: No. 1 John Elway (Colts, but then traded to Denver; Hall of Famer), No. 7 Todd Blackledge (Chiefs – big mistake), No. 14 Jim Kelly (Bills, Hall of Famer), No. 15 Tony Eason (Patriots, mostly a bust but did lead Pats to a Super Bowl), No. 24 Ken O’Brien (Jets, major reach but was decent for a while) and No. 27 Dan Marino (Dolphins, you may have heard of him; Hall of Famer).
NFL Odds: Line Movement for Week 1
by Robert Ferringo - 9/5/2012
I have been staring at these NFL Week 1 odds long enough to make my eyes bleed. Now its time to make the books bleed. The sportsbooks, both online and in Las Vegas, posted early NFL lines back in May. They do this to generate interest and stoke the flame of the biggest moneymaker in gambling. Then the NFL Week 1 spreads hit the board in earnest back in July, with most of the early action on these games came from sharp, professional bettors.
Weekly Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks: Week 1 vs. Browns
by David Schwab - 9/5/2012
The Philadelphia Eagles will open their regular season this Sunday afternoon with an interconference matchup against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium. The game is set to kick off at 1 p.m. (EST) and it will be broadcast locally on FOX. This betting preview is part of an ongoing series that started with Game 1 of the preseason where I take an in-depth look at each and every Eagles game this year and offer a free NFL pick using Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System.
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