NFL Handicapping Articles
NFL Handicapping: Don’t Put Too Much Stock in Preseason
by T.O. Whenham - 9/4/2012
NFL Preseason records are notoriously hard to trust. Every year we see good teams that don’t care about their preseason performance, and we also see bad teams that shine in August. During the heyday of the Manning Colts, the team was notoriously weak in the preseason but managed to move on and dominate the regular season consistently. The reason for that was simple — neither Manning nor Tony Dungy seemed to care even slightly about the scoreboard until September rolled around. By contrast, in 2008 when the Lions compiled the only 0-16 season in league history they were the only undefeated team in the preseason.
This Week in NFL Betting by the Numbers
by Adam Richard - 9/4/2012
The first game this season falls on a Wednesday and it is a legitimate battle of two squads with high hopes every season. Dallas against the New York Giants in a heated, early division fight that will likely have major implications on the division late in the season.
NFL Handicapping: Keys to Success for Every Team
by T.O. Whenham - 9/4/2012
As we get ready for the start of the much-anticipated NFL season, it’s a good time to look at the biggest key to success for each of the 32 teams in the league. It oversimplifies things to say that just one thing can make the difference between a good season and a disappointing one, but each of these factors will have a big impact on how things turn out:
Overrated NFL Handicapping Storylines for Week 1
by T.O. Whenham - 9/4/2012
As we get closer to the start of the NFL season, the media goes crazy writing, talking about, and examining every possible storyline. Some storylines in particular get a whole lot of attention — far more than they deserve. They sound good and they seem important, so they get talked about much more than they deserve. And as a result the betting public attaches more significance to them than they deserve.
Dallas Cowboys Player Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 8/31/2012
Give Jerry Jones credit: He keeps the Dallas Cowboys in the national conversation. You could argue that the Cowboys remain “America’s Team” even though they have exactly one playoff victory in the past 15 years: a 2009 wild-card victory over the Eagles. Yet Cowboys games usually are among the highest-rated each season on NFL telecasts. Dallas will have a minimum of five nationally televised games this season (four prime-time, Thanksgiving Day) starting with Wednesday’s season opener at the Super Bowl Champion Giants.
NFL Handicapping: Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks
by T.O. Whenham - 8/30/2012
One of the more interesting developments in this NFL Preseason has been the announcement out of Seattle that Russell Wilson won the three-way race for the starting quarterback gig over free agent addition Matt Flynn and incumbent Tarvaris Jackson. The degree to which people are surprised by this development is directly related to how much they have watched Wilson play. As a Big Ten fan I watched him play a lot at Wisconsin last year. As such, the only thing I was surprised about was that it took him three preseason games to win the job. I thought he might have won the job sooner.
10 Bold NFL Predictions for 2012-13
by T.O. Whenham - 8/30/2012
The Packers had an epic season that ended in a far-from-ideal way. When that happens to a team they can either use it as a motivation or it can set them back. I expect the latter. This team won’t fall off a cliff, and the playoffs are still very possible — perhaps even likely. I just don’t quite think they’ll be the tremendous force that they were last year. They spent most of last season looking a long way from mortal. That won’t be the case this year.
Weekly Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks: Preseason Week 4 vs. Jets
by David Schwab - 8/28/2012
The New York Jets will be in town this Thursday night for their annual preseason matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles. This fourth and final preseason game for both teams is set to get underway at 6:35 p.m. (EST) at Lincoln Financial Stadium and it will be broadcast locally in each team’s home market.
NFL Handicapping: Bad Offensive Lines
by Robert Ferringo - 8/27/2012
Offensive line play is the most underrated aspect of NFL handicapping. While media bobbleheads and square bettors spend a majority of their time talking about quarterbacks, running backs and the next-big-thing at wide receiver – this focus is due in part to America’s “other” gambling obsession, fantasy football – one of the most overlooked issues for any given team is the play of the large mammals along the o-line.
Opinion: NFL Replacement Officials Will Cost Bettors Money
by Robert Ferringo - 8/23/2012
Officiating is one of The Great Unknowns in sports betting. You can quantify, predict and handicap just about all aspects of a given game, regardless of sport. But when the bullets start to fly, the referees, umpires and officials can be a bettor’s best friend or worst enemy.
Weekly Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks: Preseason Week 3 vs. Cleveland
by David Schwab - 8/22/2012
The Philadelphia Eagles and the Cleveland Browns will stage of preview of their 2012 opening day matchup when they clash this Friday night in Week 3 of the NFL Preseason. Friday night’s game at Cleveland Browns Stadium is slated to kick off at 7:30 p.m. (EST) and it will be broadcast locally in each team’s home market.
2012 NFL Player Props for Offensive Prowess
by David Schwab - 8/22/2012
The start of the 2012 NFL regular season is just two weeks away, but there is still plenty of time to take advantage of the numerous wagering opportunities that exist for prop bets for individual player performances. The following is a look at two of our favorites on the offensive side with money lines provided by BetOnline Sportsbook.
Weekly Philadelphia Eagles Betting Picks: Preseason Week 2 vs. Patriots
by David Schwab - 8/17/2012
Week 2 of this year’s NFL Preseason wraps up on Monday night when the Philadelphia Eagles invade Gillette Stadium in Foxboro to square off against the New England Patriots in a clash of two Super Bowl contenders. Monday night’s contest is slated to get underway at 8 p.m. (EST) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. This is part of our weekly series where we will look at the Eagles games each week of the season and offer free NFL picks using Doc’s Unit Betting System.
2012-13 NFL Rookie of the Year Predictions
by By Alan Matthews - 8/16/2012
Last season was a bit tough to predict the NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookies of the Year because the lockout robbed all rookies of OTAs, etc. In fact, because it wasn’t clear if the 2011 season would even start on time I wrote the Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year stories in May last year.
NFL Handicapping: Most Improved Team Units
by T.O. Whenham - 8/16/2012
There are some teams in the NFL that are expected to be much better because they have made dramatic changes -- Peyton Manning to Denver or Mario Williams to Buffalo are the two most obvious ones this year. Often times, though, teams can make a dramatic improvement while doing much less-publicized, dramatic things to improve areas of major concern.
Peyton Manning 2012 NFL Props and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 8/15/2012
Certainly one of the biggest storylines heading into the 2012 NFL season is the return of future Hall of Fame quarterback Peyton Manning to the playing field. Of course, Manning missed all of last season, the first time in his NFL career he didn’t start a game. Prior to missing the 2011 opener against Houston, Manning, the top pick in the 1998 draft, had started 208 consecutive regular-season games and 227 straight games if you include playoffs.
NFL Preseason Handicapping: Common Betting Mistakes
by T.O. Whenham - 8/15/2012
I hate the NFL Preseason. It is, for too many reasons to count, painfully pointless. For bettors who read too much into the games it can also be seriously misleading and, ultimately, very damaging to their bankroll. There are a lot of ways to make handicapping mistakes watching the preseason. Here are three big ones:
How NFL Replacement Officials Will Affect Handicapping and Betting
by T.O. Whenham - 8/15/2012
The NFL seems incapable lately of starting a season without labor issues. Last year it was the players, and this year it is the officials. NFL officials are without a contract, and replacement officials have taken their place in preseason action as the work action has escalated. The betting public is obviously sensitive to NFL labor issues in the first place, so this story is definitely a concern. Given that these replacement officials are far from comparable replacements — Division I officials have pledged not to moonlight, so the league had to scrape the bottom of the barrels to find these guys. That means it’s sure to be a bigger story as time goes along, too.
NFL Preseason Quarterback Rankings
by Robert Ferringo - 8/9/2012
When would Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers find themselves on the bottom of a list ranking NFL quarterbacks? When we’re talking about NFL Preseason betting, of course! One of the most important factors to consider when betting on the NFL preseason is the quarterback rotations.
2012 Oakland Raiders Predictions
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 8/8/2012
The Oakland Raiders reached Super Bowl XXXVII. That was following the 2002 season. They have not had a winning season since. Bill Callahan coached that Super Bowl bound team. Since then Oakland has seen Head Coaches Norv Turner, Art Shell, Lane Kiffin, Tom Cable and Hue Jackson come and go. The 2001 NFL MVP Rich Gannon quarterbacked that Super Bowl-bound team. Since then Oakland has used Kerry Collins, Aaron Brooks, Marques Tuiasosopo, Josh McCown, Daunte Culpepper, JaMarcus Russell, Andrew Walter, Bruce Gradkowski and Jason Campbell as starting quarterbacks.
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