NFL Handicapping Articles

Which NFL Teams will make the Playoffs? Odds and Best Bets
by Mike Allen - 11/6/2024

The 2024 NFL trade deadline has come and gone. You're most likely aware of the early moves. It began with Davante Adams reuniting with the old gunslinger in New York. Somehow, the league let the Kansas City Chiefs trade for DeAndre Hopkins. He was targeted nine times, catching eight of them for 100+ yards and two touchdowns in Monday night's win.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/5/2024

It is very difficult to consistently beat the sportsbooks in the NFL, but one of the most effective strategies for doing so is by securing Closing Line Value (CLV). There is a massive advantage created by an extra point or two in your favor, and taking advantage of the opening lines is a great way to lock in that edge.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 9: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/31/2024

Heading into Week 9 of the 2024 NFL Regular Season, most bettors are in the red. I heard one ridiculous statistic the other day about betting on sports. It was that 99.5% of all bettors, meaning anyone who's ever placed a bet on a sporting event, is down money in their lifetime. That's brutal.

Week 10 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/31/2024

It's officially Week 9 of the 2024 regular season. I'm sure you have some NFL bets lined up already. Sometimes, though, betting the pro football lines the week of the game can be frustrating. That is about the time of the year for me when the waters get muddy. I'm having my best year of picking and betting on the NFL of my life, but there is still another half of the season to go.

2024 NFL Division Winner Odds and Best Bets
by Mike Allen - 10/29/2024

It’s officially Week 9 of the 2024 NFL Regular Season. Consider this, your almost halfway, never too early odds and best bets article for 2024 NFL division winners. I didn’t include all of the divisions today because some are not close at all, and I know you’re busy.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/28/2024

One of the most effective ways to generate a profit when betting on the NFL is by finding the closing line value (CLV). CLV is when the line you wager on before the game shifts in your favor by the time kickoff rolls around. The books are often very sharp with the closing lines, but there is almost always value available in the early stages of the week.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 8: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/24/2024

Entering Week 8 of the 2024 NFL regular season, the public has been in the green for the past few weeks. They are setting themselves up for an all-time terrible day of betting. In response to the public winning, the sportsbooks have raised betting lines on the favorites significantly in hopes of scaring some people off.

Week 9 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/23/2024

After another successful week from the betting public, we’re looking at some massive spreads in Week 8. Working our way down the slate, we have favorites of 11, 9, 7, 7.5, 10, 9, and 6.5 points, and only three games with betting odds under a field goal. For example, the Denver Broncos are now 9-point betting favorites at home against the 1-6 Carolina Panthers. That’s a lot of points. Do you want to lay nearly double digits on a rookie quarterback?

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/22/2024

The opening lines can offer value that is impossible to find on gameday. The bookmakers are usually pretty sharp with their closing lines, but they can leave extra points of value on their opening guesses. An extra point or two on the spread can be the difference between winning and losing in the long run, and it is crucial to lock in these bets as soon as possible.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 7: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Outside of just picking a side for fun or one being your favorite team, how many bettors are lining up to seriously make money on a game like the Chiefs visiting the 49ers? The line is (-1.5) for the home 49ers, so that makes this essentially a pick'em. This game, along with a few others like the Jets vs Steelers and Lions vs Vikings, will probably be decided in the final quarter. Think about all the bounces and or penalties that could or could not go your way. If only there were a way we could give ourselves a little cushion on the betting odds. Well, we could tease the games.

Week 8 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Week 6 was the most public betting week of the year. Road favorites covered at an all-time high, 9-0. In fact, against the spread. Home-field advantage doesn’t equate to 3 points anymore or even 2. If your bets left you in the green after the weekend, resist the urge to double down your winnings with the current slate of games. Resist recency bias when deciding which teams and or point totals to bet.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/14/2024

One of the most effective ways to churn a profit when betting on the NFL is by finding Closing Line Value (CLV). The closing spreads for NFL games are usually pretty accurate, but if you can secure CLV from a line only available earlier in the week, you can maximize your chances at a profit. The opening lines report will provide you with three picks you must lock in as soon as possible. There is no guarantee these lines will be available when kickoff rolls around on Sunday.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/11/2024
by Joey House - 10/11/2024

Welcome to the 7th edition of the 2024 Public Action Report, where we study the NFL and college football lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. Our picks went 1-2 last week, with Miami defeating New England 15-10 as a 1-point favorite. San Francisco continued the upset trend by losing to Arizona 24-23 as a 7.5-point, and Penn State looked flat in the first half of their non-covering 27-11 victory over UCLA as a 28.5-point favorite.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 6: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/10/2024

As the NFL regular season rolls on, the point spreads get sharper by the week. It's about the time of year when many NFL bettors' bankrolls begin to shrink. If you do your homework in the offseason, and keep your attachment levels in check, the first few weeks of the season aren't too difficult to come out ahead, provided you bet responsibly, of course. In Weeks 4-6, more or less, the public player who still does his homework can continue his success.

NFL Week 7 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/9/2024

As bettors, the mountains we overcome, the obstacles we evade, the ego control, and the self-discipline it takes to be profitable are just a few reasons why only 3% are successful. We're also overloaded with information. That is especially true for betting on the NFL. It takes consistent work to stay afloat, and it's easy to get behind. That's why we stay ahead.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/7/2024

There are few better feelings than securing closing line value on a shifting NFL spread. The opening line can bring up unique betting opportunities that will not necessarily be available when kickoff rolls around. Guaranteeing yourself an extra point or two of value may not seem that important, but every half point matters when attempting to beat the sportsbooks.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/4/2024
by Joey House - 10/4/2024

Welcome to Week 6 of the Public Action Report, where we analyze college and NFL lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. We went 1-2 last week, with Washington winning outright against Arizona 42-14 as a 3.5-point road dog and a non-covering win with Houston downing Jacksonville 24-20. Carolina battled valiantly but fell to Cincinnati, falling 34-24. The line was 6.5 points when I wrote the column but closed at 4.5, with reverse movement the entire way.

NFL Week 6 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/3/2024

In the world of handicapping and sports betting, we stay zoomed in. Yes, it’s a great idea to break down one game at a time. However, zooming out at least once a week and focusing our camera on the following week’s slate of games allows us to see the game from a different perspective.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 5: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/2/2024

Parlays can be a lot of fun…until they aren't. Whether or not you decide to parlay 2 or 3 selections or to go for 5 or 6, you're probably going to lose. When you do, it seems as if you are just one win away from cashing. At least, those are the ones you don't forget. It's hard enough to pick one winner in the NFL, much less several.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/30/2024

The bye weeks are beginning in the NFL, as Week 5 brings another tantalizing slate of NFL football to the table. The opening lines can often be significantly different from the closing lines, and it is crucial to lock in the extra value when possible. Last week, we went 1-1 with a push on our opening lines report, bringing our season record to 4-4-1. The Buccaneers made quick work of the Eagles, but the Saints failed to cover the spread by a single point against the Falcons.